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Bad Economic News? Blame It on the Weather!

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / MAY 17, 2017

Have you noticed it’s always the weather?

Tucked away in virtually every story reporting negative economic news, you will find some reference to the weather. It was too hot. It was too cold. It was too wet. It was too dry. To hear the mainstream […]

How Amazon Killed The Department Store, In Five Charts

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 12, 2017 10:18 AM

At the end of April, we observed that “The Retail Bubble Has Now Burst” noting that “A Record 8,640 Stores Are Closing In 2017.” We discussed that while there are many reason for this troubling collapse of one of the anchor industries underpinning America’s […]

The Fed Gets another Reason to Raise Rates and Unravel QE

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / May 11, 2017

Inflation pressures further up the pipeline rise the most in 5 years.

The Producer Price Index, which measures inflation at the wholesale level for goods and services, and thus up the pipeline from the Consumer Price Index, jumped 2.5% in April from a year […]

Why the US Economy Isn’t Earning Its Keep

financialsense.com / PATRICK O’HARE via Briefing.com / 05/08/2017

It is often said that you have to earn your keep to make it in this world. Fortunately, there is an all-time, seasonally-adjusted high of 146,063,000 employees on nonfarm payrolls earning their keep. The unfortunate part is that their average hourly earnings aren’t accelerating in a […]

Did Trump Get Thumped … or Supporters Get Dumped?

news.goldseek.com / By David Haggith / 4 May 2017

Trump’s supporters are increasingly alarmed, outspoken and feeling betrayed as their champion rolls over and plays lap dog for the political establishment. Even Rush Limbaugh, Trump’s golfing buddy and longtime advocate, said this week that what is happening with Trump and the Republicans is a “sellout” […]

Asian Metals Market Update: May-03-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 3 May 2017

The Federal Reserve statement today will also spell the US dollar policy. Incoming US economic data releases so far have been mixed. Long term prospects of the US economy are rosy. Infosys said it plans to hire 10,000 U.S. workers in the next two […]

‘Fragile’ US Economy Hammered In Q1 By Election-Spending Hangover

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 1, 2017 3:04 PM

Growth in U.S. personal consumption expenditures in the first quarter of 2017 was slowest since 2009, according to data released Friday by the Commerce Department.

A big reason for that was the second-largest contraction in spending by non-profits (i.e. election-related lobbying/spending) in 57 […]

Dr. Doom: The US Economy Is Terminally Sick

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / APRIL 28, 2017

Marc Faber appeared on CNBC Futures Now recently to talk about the impending pop of the stock market bubble. “Dr. Doom” has predicted a 20% to 40% stock market selloff in the near future.The show’s host, along will Scott Nations, pressed Faber on the surging stock market. […]

The Disconnect Between Stock Market Perception and Economic Reality

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / APRIL 28, 2017

This week Nasdaq soared to record highs, cracking the 6,000 ceiling for the first time. The Dow Jones surged as well, gaining 1.1% Tuesday. Earlier this year, the Dow shot above the 21,000 mark and hit record highs 12 days in a row in February. Despite […]

What Trump’s Next 100 Days Will Look Like

financialsense.com / REVA GOUJON / 04/25/2017

Trump is often described as a “transactional” president who sees the world as one big negotiating table where he can leverage his business experience to exact better terms and conditions for American workers and corporations. Trump will, therefore, try to keep his core agenda focused on what he regards […]

Crispin Odey: “It Feels Lonely Being Bearish”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Apr 20, 2017 10:40 AM

In Crispin Odey’s latest letter to investors, the billionaire hedge fund manager laments “how quickly everything has changed”, notes that “without the reflation fireworks, equity markets feel vulnerable”, and concludes that while a year ago it was easy to be bearish – China […]

One Boston Employer Gave Potential Workers A Math And Drug Test; The Result Was Disturbing

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Apr 19, 2017 2:42 PM

While the Fed’s traditionally drab Beige Book described the US economy in traditional terms, growing “at a modest to moderate” pace, one relatively new development was the recurring complaint by employers that they are having an increasingly more difficult time in finding qualified […]

Mnuchin Says Trump Is “Absolutely Not” Trying To Talk Down The Dollar

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Apr 19, 2017 6:04 AM

One week after Donald Trump, in an interview with the WSJ, sent the dollar tumbling in its biggest one day drop in months, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has been engaging in damage control with not one but two appearances in the FT, first stating […]

New Patterns of Disturbance

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investment Partners / April 18, 2017

Having finally established that the economy of the “rising dollar” was appreciably worse than first estimated, we can turn our attention back toward figuring out what that means for the near future and beyond. According to the latest estimates for […]

Putting a Damper on the Dollar

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / APRIL 14, 2017

President Donald Trump put a damper on the dollar earlier this week when he claimed, in a Wall Street Journal interview, it was “getting too strong.”

“I think our dollar is getting too strong, and partially […]

Why the “Trump Rally” Is Nothing But a Bunch of Fake News

financialsense.com / MATTHEW KERKHOFF / 04/04/2017

Many of us in the US have been swept up by what’s come to be known as the “Trump Rally.” The guise for this massive rise in stock prices over the past few months has been the promise of business-friendly tax reform, deregulation and infrastructure spending, among other “shareholder-friendly” […]

Last Two Times After Our Dear Government Reported Data Like This, Stocks Crashed

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Mar 30, 2017

Wall Street claims surge in stocks is based on rising corporate earnings.

So, let’s see. The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis released its third estimate of fourth quarter 2016 GDP and corporate profits today. This second revision of its first estimate of January 27 […]

Commercial Real-Estate Bubble “Can Breathe Easier” after Health Bill Collapsed in Congress

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter • Mar 28, 2017

To keep from deflating, property bubble needs Obamacare.

When the effort in Congress to pass a health-care bill – the American Health Care Act, designed to replace the much maligned Affordable Care Act – failed on Friday, the thing that wasn’t supposed to happen happened: The […]

The Last Time Americans Felt This Good About Stocks, The Dot Com Bubble Burst 2 Months Later

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Mar 28, 2017 2:47 PM

Earlier today we noted that overall US Consumer Confidence, at least according to the Conference Board, smashed expectations and rose to the highest level since 2000.

The recent euphoria about the US economy is likely a continuation of the record partisan split, in […]

Commercial Real-Estate Moguls “Can Breathe Easier” after Health Bill Collapsed

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Mar 28, 2017

Who would have thought: Property bubble needs Obamacare.

When the effort in Congress to pass a health-care bill – the American Health Care Act, designed to replace the much maligned Affordable Care Act – failed on Friday, the thing that wasn’t supposed to happen happened: […]

Health-Care Industry Debt Turns into “Systemic Recession Risk”

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Mar 27, 2017

Debt binge hits its limit, with big impact on overall economy.

Sector booms and busts have historically been driven by speculation and over-borrowing, often triggering regional or even national recessions. Textbook examples include the 2014 Energy and 2008 Financial sector collapse. In both of these […]

Is Bank Lending a Concern?

financialsense.com / TIM DUY PHD / 03/23/2017

I have seen some angst recently over declining growth in commercial bank lending. See, for example, the Wall Street Journal:

Bank loans across all categories are increasing 4.6% annually, the slowest pace since 2014, according to weekly Fed lending data from March 1. The trend is particularly […]

El-Erian Warns Of America’s CONfidence Economy

zerohedge.com / by Mohamed El-Erian via Project Syndicate / Mar 20, 2017 11:30 AM

Financial markets seem convinced that the recent surge in business and consumer confidence in the US economy will soon be reflected in “hard” data, such as GDP growth, business investment, consumption, and wages. But economists and policymakers are not so […]

Divergence Theme Questioned

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / March 19, 2017

Recent developments have given rise to doubts over the divergence theme, which we suggested have shaped the investment climate. There are some at the ECB who suggest rates can rise before the asset purchases end. The Bank of England left rates on hold, but it was […]

US Adds 235,000 Jobs In February, Beating Expectations But Earnings Disappoint

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Mar 10, 2017 8:35 AM

The US economy added 235,000 jobs in February, beating upward revised expectations of 200K, in-line with whisper expctations of 233K. Last month’s report was upward revised from 227K to 238K with the net addition for the past two months coming to +9K.

Nonfarm private […]