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Asian Metals Market Update: October-17-2017

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news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 17 October 2017

Diwali greetings to all

The inability of gold and silver to trade over $1311 and $1750 is not a very positive sign in the short term. If by Friday gold and silver are unable to break and trade […]

I Know What the Economy Did Last Summer Part 1 : Carmageddon and the Retail Apocalypse

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news.goldseek.com / By David Haggith / 3 October 2017

Summer closed in a whirlwind of weather chaos for the United States and its territories. At the start of the summer, the US economy began to show signs that it was flying apart. The two most obvious were […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-28-2017

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news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 28 September 2017

Trump tax plans if passed can result in nearly one percent more GDP growth to the US economy every year. This optimism resulted in gains for the US dollar and the fall in precious metals. Lack of escalation […]

Stock Market Survives Nibiru, Gets Jittery on “Declaration of War”

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 09/25/2017

The stock market narrowly avoided a major collapse this weekend as the mysterious Planet X (aka Nibiru) failed to collide with earth and blast us all to smithereens.

However, things didn’t start off so well on Monday with North Korea claiming that President Trump’s tweet amounted to “a declaration […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-25-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 25 September 2017

Fundamentally the US economy is strong enough to withstand an interest rate hike. Central banks stance of various economic matters like interest rates also tell us their currency stance. Currency market moves in the third quarter will be the key to precious metals and […]

Bi-Weekly Economic Review: As Good As It Gets

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Joseph Y. Calhoun • September 24, 2017

The incoming economic data hasn’t changed its tone all that much in the last several years. The US economy is growing but more slowly than it once did and we hope it does again. It is frustrating for economic bulls and bears, never fully satisfying […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-21-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 21 September 2017

A December interest rate hike and more hikes next year is more or less a certainty. This is the first time this year that the Federal Reserve has been very clear on the US economy and the US interest rate cycle. Any reduction […]

Holy Moly, Now Wells Fargo Recommends a Credit Freeze in Equifax Hack

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Sep 17, 2017

Third largest US bank reaches out to its customers. A mass credit freeze would have a huge impact.

No one knows yet how the Equifax hack – during which Social Security numbers, birth dates, addresses and, “in some instances,” driver’s license numbers of 143 million […]

Dreamers Dreaming Dreams

wallstreetexaminer.com / by James Howard Kunstler via Kunstler / September 15, 2017

Hurricanes Harvey and Irma are so out of the news now that people not listening to the mold grow in their sweltering bedrooms probably think these events had something to do with the Confederate defeat. Both The New York Times and the WashPo […]

A Hot Mess

wallstreetexaminer.com / by James Howard Kunstler via Kunstler / September 1, 2017

It wasn’t until more than a week after Hurricane Katrina slammed into New Orleans in 2005 that the full extent of the damage was recognized and so it will go with the hot mess where Houston used to be. Mostly, it is inconceivable […]

Is the US Economy Doing Just Fine?

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 08/29/2017

With or without Trump’s help, the US economy is doing just fine. What does that mean for the US stock market?

Consider Urban Carmel: “No Reason to Suspect Bull Market Has Ended”

“The reality is that bull markets end when economic expansions end and the balance of the […]

Vice Index – Consumer Spending & Confidence Rolling Over

financialsense.com / ANDREW ZATLIN / 08/30/2017

One of the important aspects of the US economy is that recent business cycles have been longer. But also shallower.

I believe that the internet is playing a big role in this “lower-for-longer” phenomenon.

Increased communication that is the essence of the internet has also meant:

a) Pricing […]

ADP Employment Surges By The Most In 5 Months

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 30, 2017 8:23 AM

ADP reports the US economy added 237,000 jobs in August, notably more than the expected 185k. This is the biggest addition since March, and follows upward revisions for July. While Services dominated (adding 204k), Goods-producing jobs rose 33k (with manufacturing adding 16k).

Medium- and […]

What Is the Liquidity Trap?

mises.org / Frank Shostak / 08/25/2017

Some economists such as a Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman are of the view that if the US were to fall into liquidity trap the US central bank should aggressively pump money and aggressively lower interest rates in order to lift the rate of inflation. This Krugman holds will pull […]

US Stock Buybacks In Biggest Slide Since The Financial Crisis

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 14, 2017 11:23 AM

In light of today’s euphoric market reaction, which has seen the VIX plunge by over 3 vols, or 20% lower, to just over 12 and sent both the Nasdaq and S&P higher by 1% on relief that there were no mushroom clouds of […]

Small Cap Rout Is Flashing Red Flag For US Economy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 11, 2017 3:30 PM

The post-election small cap bounce in US stocks has now been completely erased as it seems tax-reforms have now been entirely priced-out of markets. However, as BofAML notes, the demise of small cap stocks relative to the broad market augurs badly for forward-looking […]

Only Employment Gains In The Past Year: Those With A High School Diploma Or Lower

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 4, 2017 10:22 AM

In its latest, July, snapshot of the US economy, the NY Fed observed something startling, and which hasn’t received much discussion in the media: when looking at the June report, over the past year the only employment gains have gone to less educated […]

Trump’s Fatal Mistake: The President Can’t Stop Taking Credit For The Stock Market Bubble

shtfplan.com / Mac Slavo / August 1st, 2017

So far it appears that Trump’s ascent to the White House is going to have a positive effect on the US economy. It’s good that we have a president who is willing renegotiate disastrous trade deals, back our country out of crippling agreements like the Paris Climate […]

Manufacturing Loses Most Jobs Since Election As ADP Employment Growth Weakens

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 2, 2017 8:22 AM

After April and June’s disappointment, ADP reports the US economy added 178k jobs in July (less than the 190k expectation and below June’s upwardly revised 191k). This is somewhat in line with the 180k expectation for NFP on Friday.

Two months in a […]

Vice Index Nails Retail Forecast AGAIN

financialsense.com / ANDREW ZATLIN / 07/28/2017

Heads Up: Retail Spending Momentum Turns Negative

(Note: The Vice Index is lagged: recent vice spending pullbacks are reflected in the chart above starting June.)

Consumer Spending Slowing Down

Regular readers know the Vice Index is the real way to measure the breadth of the US consumer. It […]

Bill Blain: “Are We In A Bubble About To Burst, Or Are We Facing Massive Equity Upside?”

zerohedge.com / by Bill Blain of Mint Partners / Jul 27, 2017 8:17 AM

Are We In A Bubble About To Burst, Or Are We Facing Massive Equity Upside?

“A liberal is a conservative who has been arrested.”

No surprises from the Fed last night. Unchanged rate talk and hints about reducing the balance sheet […]

Wall of Optimism Cracking? IMF Lowers US Economic Growth Forecast

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JULY 25, 2017

Over the last several years, mainstream analysts have built a wall of optimism about the US economy. “Everything looks great,” they say. “Look at the jobs numbers!” “Look at the stock market!”

A number of contrarians have said things aren’t so great and a massive crash is […]

A Pro-Growth Move

financialsense.com / PATRICK O’HARE via Briefing.com / 07/24/2017

When President Trump was elected last November, the stock market threw a pro-growth party that resulted in a robust year-end rally for the major indices. Stock market participants were enthused by the prospect of reduced regulations, increased infrastructure spending, the repeal and replacement of the Affordable […]

Secular Disinflationary Trend Hits New Highs: Deflation on Deck? What’s That Mean for Gold?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 20, 2017

Wage and CPI inflation, even core inflation, has surprised to the downside four consecutive months. If a recession hits, and that is just a matter of time, outright price deflation is likely.

Via email, Albert Edwards of Societe Generale discusses the subject in Global Strategy […]

Qualifying Shortage (Labor)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investments / July 17, 2017

There isn’t a day that goes by in 2017 where some study is released or anecdote is published purporting a sinister labor market development. There is a shortage of workers, we are told, often a very big one. The idea is […]