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Revolver Maps

US Stock Buybacks In Biggest Slide Since The Financial Crisis

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 14, 2017 11:23 AM

In light of today’s euphoric market reaction, which has seen the VIX plunge by over 3 vols, or 20% lower, to just over 12 and sent both the Nasdaq and S&P higher by 1% on relief that there were no mushroom clouds of […]

Small Cap Rout Is Flashing Red Flag For US Economy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 11, 2017 3:30 PM

The post-election small cap bounce in US stocks has now been completely erased as it seems tax-reforms have now been entirely priced-out of markets. However, as BofAML notes, the demise of small cap stocks relative to the broad market augurs badly for forward-looking […]

Only Employment Gains In The Past Year: Those With A High School Diploma Or Lower

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 4, 2017 10:22 AM

In its latest, July, snapshot of the US economy, the NY Fed observed something startling, and which hasn’t received much discussion in the media: when looking at the June report, over the past year the only employment gains have gone to less educated […]

Trump’s Fatal Mistake: The President Can’t Stop Taking Credit For The Stock Market Bubble

shtfplan.com / Mac Slavo / August 1st, 2017

So far it appears that Trump’s ascent to the White House is going to have a positive effect on the US economy. It’s good that we have a president who is willing renegotiate disastrous trade deals, back our country out of crippling agreements like the Paris Climate […]

Manufacturing Loses Most Jobs Since Election As ADP Employment Growth Weakens

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 2, 2017 8:22 AM

After April and June’s disappointment, ADP reports the US economy added 178k jobs in July (less than the 190k expectation and below June’s upwardly revised 191k). This is somewhat in line with the 180k expectation for NFP on Friday.

Two months in a […]

Vice Index Nails Retail Forecast AGAIN

financialsense.com / ANDREW ZATLIN / 07/28/2017

Heads Up: Retail Spending Momentum Turns Negative

(Note: The Vice Index is lagged: recent vice spending pullbacks are reflected in the chart above starting June.)

Consumer Spending Slowing Down

Regular readers know the Vice Index is the real way to measure the breadth of the US consumer. It […]

Bill Blain: “Are We In A Bubble About To Burst, Or Are We Facing Massive Equity Upside?”

zerohedge.com / by Bill Blain of Mint Partners / Jul 27, 2017 8:17 AM

Are We In A Bubble About To Burst, Or Are We Facing Massive Equity Upside?

“A liberal is a conservative who has been arrested.”

No surprises from the Fed last night. Unchanged rate talk and hints about reducing the balance sheet […]

Wall of Optimism Cracking? IMF Lowers US Economic Growth Forecast

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JULY 25, 2017

Over the last several years, mainstream analysts have built a wall of optimism about the US economy. “Everything looks great,” they say. “Look at the jobs numbers!” “Look at the stock market!”

A number of contrarians have said things aren’t so great and a massive crash is […]

A Pro-Growth Move

financialsense.com / PATRICK O’HARE via Briefing.com / 07/24/2017

When President Trump was elected last November, the stock market threw a pro-growth party that resulted in a robust year-end rally for the major indices. Stock market participants were enthused by the prospect of reduced regulations, increased infrastructure spending, the repeal and replacement of the Affordable […]

Secular Disinflationary Trend Hits New Highs: Deflation on Deck? What’s That Mean for Gold?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 20, 2017

Wage and CPI inflation, even core inflation, has surprised to the downside four consecutive months. If a recession hits, and that is just a matter of time, outright price deflation is likely.

Via email, Albert Edwards of Societe Generale discusses the subject in Global Strategy […]

Qualifying Shortage (Labor)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investments / July 17, 2017

There isn’t a day that goes by in 2017 where some study is released or anecdote is published purporting a sinister labor market development. There is a shortage of workers, we are told, often a very big one. The idea is […]

Bi-Weekly Economic Review: Attention Shoppers

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Joseph Y. Calhoun via Alhambra Investments / July 16, 2017

The majority of the economic reports over the last two weeks have been disappointing, less than the consensus expectations. The minor rebound in activity we’ve been tracking since last summer appears to have stalled. Retail sales continue to disappoint and inventory/sales ratios […]

We’re Partying Like It’s 1928; Are We Heading for a Crash?

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JULY 14, 2017

We’re partying like it’s 1928.

Of course, that was the year before the Black Tuesday stock market crash and the beginning of the Great Depression. During a recent interview on CNBC’s Power Lunch, Morgan Creek Capital CEO Mark Yusko said he sees a lot of parallels […]

When It Shows Up in Economic Releases, This Data Will Push Fed to Tighten Fast

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler via The Daily Reckoning / July 10, 2017

The other day we explored Federal Withholding Tax collections that suggested that the US economy is beginning to overheat. Data on other tax collections in June from the US Daily Treasury Statement also is leaning that way. It takes a month […]

Weird Obsessions

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investments / June 26, 2017

People often ask why I care so much about China. In some ways the answer is obvious, meaning that China is the world’s second largest economy (the largest under certain methods of measurement). Therefore, marginal changes in the Chinese economy are […]

Joe LaVorgna Has Left Deutsche Bank

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 26, 2017 1:00 PM

Two years after correctly abandoning his long-held bullish perspective on the US economy’s growth prospects, Deutsche Bank’s chief economist Joe LaVorgna has reportedly left the bank, “planning to work elsewhere in financial services.”

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SocGen: The Fed Is Raising Rates Too Slowly To Contain Asset Bubbles

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 20, 2017 8:03 AM

Yesterday, when looking at the divergence between the slowing US economy and the Fed’s insistence on hiking rates, Bank of America’s David Woo asked if there is a different motive behind the Fed’s tightening intentions, namely is the Fed trying to pop the […]

Carmageddon Crashes into “the Recovery” Right on Schedule — EXACTLY as Predicted Here

news.goldseek.com / By: David Haggith / 18 June 2017

Carmageddon, as Wolf Richter has called it, is hitting the US economy exactly as I said a year and a half ago would start to happen at the very end of 2016 or the start of 2017. Measured year-on-year, auto sales have declined every month […]

When Will The Fed Tighten Enough To Cause The Next Recession?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 18, 2017 4:00 PM

In addition to the wildly popular topic of the market’s record low volatility, coupled with speculation what could break the current spell of “endemic complacency” and what its impact would be on asset prices (yesterday we posted a fascinating take by DB’s Aleksandar […]

Meet The 22 Economists That Want To Kill Your Purchasing Power

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 10, 2017 8:15 PM

After the Fed failed to spark any notable increase in aggregate demand despite keeping interest rates at zero for seven years, a group of economists is pressuring the central bank to rethink one of its most closely held-policy parameters.

The group of 22 […]

Consumers Hit The Brakes: Smallest Increase In Consumer Credit In 6 Years

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 7, 2017 3:22 PM

In the latest red flag for the US economy, moments ago the Fed reported that consumer credit for the month of April rose a paltry $8.2 billion, barely half the consensus estimate of $15.5 billion, and 40% of march’s $19.5 billion. This was […]

The Key Things To Look For In Today’s FOMC Minutes, And How To Trade Them

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 24, 2017 1:00 PM

Despite a near-collapse in the US economic surprise index – a key leading indicator, and major negative for the US economy…

… and recent disappointing inflation readings, largely attributed to the telecom sector in general and unlimited phone plan packages, not to mention […]

Sordid Saudi Signals

news.goldseek.com / By: Jim Willie CB via GoldenJackass.com / May 23rd, 20

THE US-SAUDI ARMS DEAL

THE SAUDI ARMS DEAL SUDDENLY TRIPLED IN SIZE WITH LONG TIME SCHEDULE WITHIN THE AGREEMENT… TRUMP COMPLETED THE SINGLE LARGEST ARMS DEAL IN US-HISTORY, DONE WITH SAUDI ARABIA… IT EXCEEDED THE PREVIOUS COMMITMENT FROM TWO WEEKS AGO, NOW WORTH […]

Bad Economic News? Blame It on the Weather!

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / MAY 17, 2017

Have you noticed it’s always the weather?

Tucked away in virtually every story reporting negative economic news, you will find some reference to the weather. It was too hot. It was too cold. It was too wet. It was too dry. To hear the mainstream […]

How Amazon Killed The Department Store, In Five Charts

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 12, 2017 10:18 AM

At the end of April, we observed that “The Retail Bubble Has Now Burst” noting that “A Record 8,640 Stores Are Closing In 2017.” We discussed that while there are many reason for this troubling collapse of one of the anchor industries underpinning America’s […]