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Yield Curve to Completely Flatten in 2018: But How?

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themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / November 17, 2017

The T. Rowe Price Group expects the yield curve to completely flatten in 2018. This is not a surprise as I have been commenting the same way for quite some time. The more important question is how? By […]

Dollar Slammed, USDJPY Roiled On Trump Campaign Subpoena Report

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zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 16, 2017

it has been a rocky session for the dollar which has dumped to a 4-week low, dragging with it USDJPY, the Nikkei and Treasury yields – and to a lesser extend US equity futures – all of which […]

Gresham’s Law meets its Minsky Moment

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investmentresearchdynamics.com / Dave Kranzler / November 12, 2017

There’s a reason that the Fed pursues these actions and it’s not a conspiracy theory. When unlimited cash hits a limited supply of assets, whether paper or hard, this inflationary deluge boosts taxable asset values by 100-1000%, fattening the coffers of […]

Does Jerome Powell Hear the Alarm Bells from Flattening Yield Curve?

wallstreetonparade.com / By Pam Martens and Russ Martens / November 9, 2017

In November of 2016, there was more than 100 basis points (one percent) difference between the yield on the 2-year and the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note. As of this morning, that difference stood at 68 basis points, a dramatic flattening in the […]

The Thrill Is Gone! Treasury Curve (10Y-2Y) Remains Under 70 BPS As 10Y Term Premium Remains Negative

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders / November 8, 2017

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Snake Hole Lounge. To view original,click here. Reposted with permission.

BB King sang it best with “The Thrill Is Gone.”

Now that hopes for tax reform are gone (probably for a year), the US Treasury 10Y-2Y […]

Robert Rubin’s Selective Memory and the Collapse of Citigroup

Robert Rubin, Former Treasury Secretary and Citigroup Executive Committee Chair

wallstreetonparade.com / By Pam Martens and Russ Martens / November 8, 2017

According to the now publicly available transcript of the testimony that former U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin gave before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) on March 11, 2010, he was not […]

The US government quietly added $200+ billion to the debt this month alone.

sovereignman.com / Simon Black / October 30, 2017

There’s been something happening this month that very few people have noticed.

It’s been lost beneath all the other headline-dominating news, from the Las Vegas shooting to Harvey Weinstein to the Mueller investigation.

But very quietly behind the scenes there’s been an extremely rapid uptick in […]

The Big Macro Play Ahead

news.goldseek.com / By Gary Tanashian / 27 October 2017

At NFTRH, we are about major macro turning points above all else. Of course, it is often years between these turning points or points of significant change so we are also about the here and now, and managing the trends, Old Turkey style.*

Since we are […]

Mnuchin Deploys Stock Market Bubble as Political Weapon

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Oct 18, 2017

But the National Debt has disappeared from the agenda.

The S&P 500 has soared 20% since the presidential election, the Dow Jones Industrial Average 26%, and the Nasdaq 28%, in about 11 months. Understandably, everyone is taking credit for the surge in stock prices, […]

Why Did Sears Holdings’ Largest Outside Shareholder Suddenly Jump Overboard?

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Oct 16, 2017

4th director to quit in 10 months. Bankruptcy prospects heat up.

The board of directors of Sears Holdings keeps shrinking – and that makes sense: Who’d want to be a director as the retailer careens along its path to bankruptcy, it only being a question […]

Recession Red Flag Rears Its Ugly Head – Treasury Yield Curve Crashes To Post-Crisis Flats

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 16, 2017

Probably nothing…

The last two times the spread between 30Y and 5Y Treasury bonds was below 90bps, the US economy entered recession…

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And the 2s10s curve is tumbling too – to its flattest since the crisis…

READ MORE

The Death Of Petrodollars & The Coming Renaissance Of Macro Investing

zerohedge.com / by John Curran via Barrons / Oct 14, 2017

The petrodollar system is being undermined by exponential growth in technology and shifting geopolitics. What comes next is a paradigm shift…

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In the summer of 1974, Treasury Secretary William Simon traveled to Saudi Arabia and secretly struck a momentous deal with the […]

Here Is A Look At A Terrifying Wild Card

kingworldnews.com / October 11, 2017

As we move through the middle of the second trading week in October, here is a look at a terrifying wild card.

October 11 (King World News) – Today’s note from legend Art Cashin: Today we will revisit one of the most devastating economic events in recorded history. It […]

Dollar Upbeat to Start Fourth Quarter

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / October 2, 2017

The US dollar is broadly higher as the quarter-end positioning losses seen at the end of last week area reversed. Developments in the US are seen as dollar positive, while the Catalonia-Madrid conflict, and slightly softer EMU manufacturing PMI weighs on the euro. The UK […]

Market Report: Rising bond yields

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / September 29, 2017

Since 7 September, the yield on the 5-year US Treasury bond has risen from 1.64% to 1.9%. There can be little doubt that this move, and the potential for this yield to exceed 2% is having a negative impact on precious metals. To ram the point […]

Trump’s China-Sanctions Madness Imperils the Dollar

mises.org / Ryan McMaken / September 20, 2017

Last week US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin warned the US will impose new sanctions on China if it doesn’t conform to UN sanctions on North Korea:

“If China doesn’t follow these sanctions, we will put additional sanctions on them and prevent them from accessing the U.S. […]

The U.S. Government Massive ONE-DAY Debt Increase Impact On Interest Expense & Silver ETF

srsroccoreport.com / Steve St. Angelo / SEPTEMBER 12, 2017

The U.S. Government’s massive one-day debt increase had a profound impact on the amount of money it will have to fork over just to service its interest payment. On Friday, Sept 9th, the U.S. Treasury increased the total debt by a stunning $318 billion. Thus, […]

If Everything’s So Awesome, Why Did This Happen Yesterday?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 12, 2017

Monday saw US equities ramp exuberantly on the back of a one-way street in USDJPY as the narrative proclaimed that “the world didn’t end” and therefore we should buy stocks. There’s just one thing…

The biggest bond ETF in the world saw the biggest […]

“Things Have Been Going Up For Too Long”

investmentresearchdynamics.com / Dave Kranzler / September 12, 2017

I have to believe that the Fed injected a large amount of liquidity into the financial system on Sunday evening. The 1.08% jump in the S&P 500, given the fundamental backdrop of economic, financial and geopolitical news should be driving the stock market relentlessly lower. The amount […]

“We’ve Never Seen Anything Like This”: Repo Market Snaps As 10Y Suffers “Epic Fail”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 7, 2017

It’s been a while since we saw any major dislocations in the Treasury repo market, i.e., collateral shortages as a result of surging TSY shorts, for the simple reason that after the first quarter when everyone was certain that Trump reflation trade would kick […]

The Storm Is on Its Way – Here’s How You and Your Portfolio Can Weather It

suremoneyinvestor.com / LEE ADLER / September 6, 2017

The LAMPP (Liquidity And Monetary Policy Profits) indicator is little changed this week. It’s barely on yellow, perched precariously on the razor’s edge of turning red.

But there is more than one storm headed our way that will knock our LAMPP into a bright, flashing crimson.

Not […]

Bond Yields Tumble On Trump Tweet

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 5, 2017

Anxiety seems to be the word of the day in bond markets. While reports of North Korea moving its ICBMs managed to send 10Y Treasury yields 1bps lower, a Trump Tweet on building strategic forces in Japan and South Korea has sparked a solid […]

Gold Pops, Stocks Drop As Futures Open After Korean Chaos

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 3, 2017

In an echo of last week’s move following North Korea’s teating of missiles across Japan’s territory, futures markets are opening in a decidedly risk-off mannwr following North Korea’s “hydrogen bomb” test. Dow Futs down 100 points, Gold jumping and Treasury bonds bid…

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All major […]

Harvey Could Bankrupt The Federal Flood-Insurance Program

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 2, 2017

Hurricane Harvey may solve the auto industry’s inventory problem. But right now, it’s about to create a giant headache for the federal government.

Based on the latest estimates from Irvine, California-based CoreLogic, insured flood losses for homes in the affected areas of Texas and […]

The bluff will finally be called…

milesfranklin.com / by Bill Holter / Aug 30, 2017

This was written for JSMineset subscribers and published Tuesday. David Schectman is undergoing a medical procedure and asked if I could publish a couple of articles in his absence. I gladly obliged as we still have close ties between Miles Franklin and JSMineset. If you enjoy […]