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Short-Term Improvement, Long-Term Concerns

financialsense.com / MATTHEW KERKHOFF / 08/22/2017

Most averages are creeping higher today, but the last couple of weeks of volatile price action has caused some significant damage to the charts. In particular, there are concerns developing in the S&P, the small-caps and the Transports.

Let’s begin with the S&P.

Below you can see a […]

S&P Nears Critical Support Level, Small Caps Underwater Year-To-Date

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 21, 2017 10:14 AM

The S&P 500 has dropped to its 100-day moving-average support (2417) for the first time since the election as the usual dip-buyers are absent amid heavy volume.

READ MORE

Seeking Confirmations – US Stock Market

news.goldseek.com / By Gary Tanashian / 20 August 2017

Below are the opening segment and an excerpt (on the headline indexes and the Healthcare sector) from the first regular segment of this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 461…

Seeking Confirmations

We have several inputs forecasting change (market pivots) ranging from seasonal […]

Fearful Investors Losing Faith in Trump?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / August 17, 2017

Mainstream media likes to assign a reason for every squiggle in the stock market, bond market, or commodities.

Today provides an amusing example.

Reuters says Washington’s Mounting Woes Push S&P to Biggest Loss in Three Months.

U.S. stocks sold off on Thursday, with the S&P […]

Stocks Push Higher Even as CEOs Flee White House Council

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin via Money Morning / August 16, 2017

The Dow Jones news today is highlighted by political turmoil in Washington, as U.S. President Donald Trump’s controversial remarks sent CEOs fleeing from his “American Manufacturing Council.” Dow Jones futures are up 43 points this morning, as investors look for clues to […]

Beware The Dead Cat Bounce: “Exuberant Markets Can’t Escape The Shadow Of Negatives”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 15, 2017 9:55 AM

Treasury yields have erased the knee-jerk losses from retail sales, Nasdaq is now tumbling, and gold is bouncing…

This is not the market we saw yesterday that was relieved that the world had not ended and Bloomberg’s macro strategist Mark Cudmore is worried […]

Junk Bonds Wave a Red Flag at Risk

news.goldseek.com / By Graham Summers / 14 August 2017

The market should bounce this morning, but after that we’re heading down.

The technical damage from last week was severe with the bull market trendline that has supported stocks since early November being violated on the S&P 500.

READ MORE

[…]

Is This the Best Bear-Market Warning Indicator?

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 08/11/2017

Today’s chart comes from Callum Thomas, Head of Research at Topdowncharts.com, who says that this is probably one of the most important indicators to watch if you are trying to predict a bear market.

Simply put, it shows whether banks are tightening or loosening standards on large and […]

How To Prepare For Another Market Face-Pounding

zerohedge.com / by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com / Aug 11, 2017 3:10 PM

“Markets make opinions,” goes the old Wall Street adage. Indeed, this sounds like a nifty thing to say. But what does it really mean?

Perhaps this means that after a long period of rising stocks prices otherwise intelligent people conceive of clever […]

Dow Jones News Today: Stocks Continue to Fall as North Korea Threatens ‘Enveloping Fire’ on Guam

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin / August 10, 2017

The stock market news today is highlighted by falling stock prices as tensions rise between Washington and North Korea. Dow Jones futures are down 48 points this morning ahead of earnings reports from brick-and-mortar retailers and major American brands. Traders will get to see how much […]

Elevated 2018 Estimates Widen Gap Between GAAP & Non-GAAP Earnings

zerohedge.com / Via Hedgopia.com / Aug 7, 2017 12:15 PM

As of last Thursday, a little over four-fifths of S&P 500 companies reported 2Q17 results. Of the 422 companies, 70.1 percent beat on operating earnings, 20.6 percent missed and 9.2 percent met, as per S&P Dow Jones Indices.

In the latest week (through Thursday), 2Q17 […]

Median Price-to-Revenue Ratio Higher in All Deciles vs 2007, 90% vs Dot-Com Bubble: THE Choice

@hussmanjp notes “fear of missing out is becoming increasingly evident in the major indices, particularly the Dow." I concur. Add Bitcoin.

— Mike Mish Shedlock (@MishGEA) August 7, 2017

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / August 6, 2017

John Hussman’s report this week, Estimating Market Losses at a Speculative Extreme, has […]

It’s Quiet, Too Quiet – One Trader Warns Tomorrow’s Jobs Data May Change All That

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 3, 2017 9:05 AM

Yesterday marked 3 months (70 trading sessions) since the S&P 500 increased by more than 1% in any one day (and it has only fallen by more than 1% in any day three times in the last 10 months). As former fund manager […]

It’s better to turn cautious too soon…

sovereignman.com / By Simon Black / July 31, 2017

One of the greatest investors in the world is getting worried…

Howard Marks is the billionaire founder of Oaktree Capital, one of the largest and most successful investment firms in the world.

A few times each year Marks write up his thoughts about financial markets– […]

Weekend Reading: Vacation Head

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Jul 28, 2017 4:40 PM

Ah…yes. It is FINALLY that time of the year when I take a week off with the family for our summer vacation.

Don’t worry, I have been fiendishly writing for the past two weeks and have blog posts all ready to go […]

22 Troublesome Facts

zerohedge.com / 720Global / Jul 26, 2017 4:02 PM

Below are 22 troublesome facts explaining why the herd may, in fact, have it wrong.

Equity/Bond Valuations

The S&P 500 Cyclically Adjusted Price to Earnings (CAPE) valuation has only been greater on one occasion, the late 1990s. It is currently on par with levels preceding the […]

“If The VIX Goes Bananas”, Morgan Stanley Shows What It Would Look Like

zerohedge.com / From Chris Metli of Morgan Stanley / Jul 25, 2017 6:45 PM

It’s easy to become numb to the low volatility environment and the risks it presents. While trying to pick a trough in vol has been a fool’s errand, focusing on the risks resulting from vol being so low is not. Low […]

Stocks Now Approaching Historic Year 2000 Bubble Levels But Here Is The Big Surprise

kingworldnews.com / July 25, 2017

With stocks now approaching historic year 2000 bubble levels, here is the big surprise.

July 25 (King World News) – Here is what Peter Boockvar noted as the world awaits the next round of monetary madness: As FOMC members have recently expressed some reservations with valuations in some asset classes […]

Why VIX ‘Acceleration Events’ And Extreme Short Interest Signal “Clear Path To Uglier Scenarios”

zerohedge.com / by Peter Tchir via Brean Capital / Jul 23, 2017 3:20 PM

VIX ETFs and ETNs

We take a deeper dive into the strange world of VIX ETFs and ETNs. We take a quick look at the incredible short interest in both the long VIX products and the short VIX products. This […]

Technical Scoop – Weekend Update July 23

news.goldseek.com / by David Chapman / 23 July 2017

It was another quiet week for the markets even as the S&P 500 hit new all-time highs less than 25 points from 2,500. Investor focus continued to be on Trump and the goings-on at the White House. For months, years even, Republicans and Trump vowed that […]

SPX Cycles, Fed Funds and Gold

news.goldseek.com / By Gary Tanashian / 14 July 2017

This “amateur cyclist’s” chart (I am anything but a cycles analyst) of the S&P 500 shows that the 12 month marker (C12) meant exactly nothing as the market remained firmly on trend, after brief pokes down in April and May. We noted that C12 was a […]

Picking Great Gold Stocks 2

zealllc.com / Adam Hamilton / July 14, 2017

One of the primary keys to success in investment and speculation is picking the right stocks to trade. That’s no mean feat, as it takes great effort, expertise, and time to winnow the whole field down to the likely winners with the best fundamentals. Although deeply […]

Luxury Bull Market

financialsense.com / KURT KALLAUS / 07/13/2017

The wall of worry continues to propel stocks higher as this long plodding economic expansion is assumed to be in the later innings. With low-interest rates and slow growth, many are still waiting for the full-throated recovery to manifest. However, for the luxury and leisure world, the good […]

Yellen Testimony Creates Stock Market Rally

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin / July 12, 2017

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new record high after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen offered a dovish testimony before the House Financial Services Committee.

Here are the numbers before the closing bell from Wednesday for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq:

Index Closing […]

Positive Expectations Ahead Of Shortened Trading Session

sunshineprofits.com / Paul Rejczak / JULY 3, 2017

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year’s all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral Long-term outlook (next […]