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Fed Up: Yellen’s Mouth Is Moving But She’s Not Telling Us Anything

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JULY 13, 2017

Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen spoke to Congress yesterday. She talked. But she didn’t say a whole lot.

Most analysts seemed to view Yellen’s speech as “more dovish.” She expressed concerned that inflation my not be rising fast enough to meet the mythical 2% target, and […]

Chart of the Week; Marathon, Not A Sprint

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investments / July 5, 2017

After the 2013 “reflation” selloff, it took just about two years for the treasury market to revisit (10s) the 2013 lows (rates). In all that time, each and every bond selloff was met by the same assurances that “rates had nowhere […]

Fed Warns “Equity Prices Are High”, Sees Low Volatility As A “Risk To Financial Stability”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 5, 2017 2:20 PM

While the core focus in the June FOMC minutes was on whether and when the Fed would hike next, and/or begin its balance sheet unwind (indicentally, Fed Funds futures now shows odds of another rate hike in 2017 at about 60%), what was perhaps […]

5 Ways Fed Rate Hikes May Squeeze Your Wallet

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JUNE 21, 2017

The Federal Reserve nudged up interest rates another .25 points last week. Of course, nobody was surprise by the central bank’s move. It was widely expected. Nevertheless, the Fed’s latest policy move has everybody bullish on increasing rates into the future

Of course, nothing has fundamentally […]

Asian Metals Market Update: June-01-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 1 June 2017

Factors which can affect markets

There are a lot of economic data releases today. There is even the US weekly crude oil inventory today. The next two days are make or break days for metals and energies. Either they rise or there will be […]

Goldman Turns Less Confident On June, September Rate Hikes

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 16, 2017 9:07 AM

Following disappointing CPI prints for two months in a row, even such stalwart believers in the Fed’s tightening cycle as Goldman Sachs (recall Hatzius warned recently that the Fed may need to “shock” markets to tighten monetary conditions in light of the S&P relentless […]

“Hawkish” Fed Shrugs Off “Transitory” Weakness In Data, Signals More Rate Hikes Ahead

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 3, 2017 2:02 PM

Having perfectly top-ticked US economic data with its March rate-hike, the subsequent collapse in ‘data’ has been shrugged off as transitory (or seasonal) and by all indications The Fed seems set on two more rate hikes this year no matter what (even as […]

Kansas City Fed says Rate Hikes “Necessary” as Weakness is “Transient”: June Rate Hike Odds Sink

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / April 18, 2017

Esther George, president and chief executive officer of the Kansas City Fed says Continuing With Rate Rises Is ‘Necessary’.

She also claims weak economic data is “transient”.

Meanwhile, the market increasingly believes the economy is weakening and rate hikes are less likely.

Federal Reserve […]

Rate Normalization to Continue Above 2 Percent

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 04/11/2017

The following is a summary of our recent interview with Gargi Chaudhuri, which can be accessed on our site here or on iTunes here.

We’ve heard talk about Fed rate hikes being range bound recently, with several analysts on FS Insider suggesting that the Fed doesn’t have much room […]

Two Fed Presidents Warn Markets Getting “Frothy”, Valuations “May Come Down”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Mar 29, 2017 3:11 PM

In what was the clearest sign to date that the Fed is targeting the stock market bubble with its rate hikes (recall two weeks ago Goldman caused a stir when it suggested that the Fed had made a policy error by being overly […]

Rising Inflation, Four Rate Hikes, Financial Repression on Menu in 2017: Fed Heads

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter /Mar 20, 2017

Bondholders, savers, consumers to be put through inflation wringer.

Inflation will rise above target, and that’s OK, the Fed heads who’ve been talking since last week’s meeting said. The Fed will hike rates, maybe faster than expected, but they won’t catch up with inflation, keeping […]

What’s Different This Time? Stocks

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Mar 2, 2017

This market (“Dow 30,000”) assures Fed rate hikes.

The two-year US Treasury yield just shot through 1.33%, the highest since June 2009, when it had briefly spiked from 1% to 1.42%. And that had been the highest since November 2008. It eventually hit a low of […]

Vague Fed Minutes on “Fairly Soon” Rate Hikes; Market Yawns; Robust Economy in Pictures

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / February 22, 2017

Fed Minutes of the FOMC Meeting suggest rate hikes are coming “fairly soon”.

Let’s check out the market reaction and how mainstream media played up the minutes.

FOMC Statement

“In discussing the outlook for monetary policy over the period ahead, many participants expressed the […]

Five Rate Hikes This Year?

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Brian Maher via The Daily Reckoning / February 16, 2017

Janet Yellen’s announced plans to raise rates three times this year…

But could she actually deliver five?

A scandalous question no doubt. Three hikes are possible, and barely. Four’s over the top, and five is simply out of court. Five would kill […]

Richmond Fed’s “Uber-Hawkish” President Jeffrey Lacker To Retire

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jan 10, 2017 12:35 PM

Just three months after Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart announced he would step down as president effective February 28, moments ago another (non-voting) FOMC member, the uber-hawkish president of the Richmond Fed, Jeffrey Lacker, 61, also decided to call it quits as well, […]

Why Morgan Stanley Threw Up All Over Those “Great” Rising Earnings

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jan 9, 2017 2:19 PM

Following last Friday’s disappointing payrolls report, the punditry was understandably focused on the silver lining: the 0.4% monthly jump in average hourly earnings, which translated into a 2.9% annual increase in hourly earnings – the hottest since the financial crisis. The strong increase […]

Why One Trader Believes The Dollar Rally Is Over

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jan 5, 2017 11:44 AM

The dollar’s slump this morning may be the start of a much larger correction, according to Bloomberg’s Mark Cudmore.

It’s worth paying attention to the inability of both the dollar and U.S. yields to make the most of strong U.S. data this week.

[…]

Are 3 Rate Hikes Really Possible Next Year?

zerohedge.com / by Eric Bush via Gavekal Capital blog / Dec 22, 2016 12:29 PM

The Fed has communicated that the plan for 2017 includes three rate hikes. The market isn’t quite buying into that plan yet.

According to Bloomberg’s WIRP function, the first meeting with over a 50% chance of a rate hike […]

Survey Shows Economists Lack Confidence in 2017 Rate Hikes

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / DECEMBER 21, 2016

According to a recent Financial Times survey, a majority of top economists predict the Fed won’t be as aggressive on raising interest rates as it suggests. After last week’s rate hike announcement, the Fed’s own dot plot showed it had planned for three federal funds increases […]

After Raising Rates Once During The Obama Years, The Fed Promises Constant Rate Hikes During The Trump Era

theeconomiccollapseblog.com / By Michael Snyder / December 14th, 2016

Now that Donald Trump has won the election, the Federal Reserve has decided now would be a great time to start raising interest rates and slowing down the economy. Over the past several decades, the U.S. economy has always slowed down whenever interest rates have […]

DEC 14/FED RAISES RATES BY .25%/HIGHLIGHTS 3 MORE RATE HIKES FOR 2018/STATES THERE WILL BE NO NEED FOR TRUMP FISCAL STIMULUS/ANOTHER MASSIVE RAID ON GOLD AND SILVER TODAY AFTER ANNOUNCEMENT OF THE FED HIKE/

harveyorganblog.com / by harveyorgan / December 14, 2016

Gold at (1:30 am est) $1161.30 UP $4.60

silver at $17.15: UP 15 cents

Access market prices:

Gold: 1143.40

Silver: 16.85

Today, the USA probably ignited their destruction and no doubt the entire globe. They have decided to raise rates which will cripple the emerging nations. China […]

Rate Hike Spotlight: Interest on National Debt; What Can Possibly Go Wrong?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / December 14, 2016

Despite GDP rising, unemployment rate falling, and interest rates near zero, interest on the national debt has soared.

Here’s a quick chart to reflect on, given the consensus opinion there will be 3 rate hikes this year.

READ MORE

[…]

Fed Now Expects Three Rate Hikes In 2017, Sees 1.8% Longer-Run GDP Growth

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 14, 2016 2:08 PM

While the 25 bps rate hike was a given, the question on everyone’s mind was how many rate hikes does the Fed envision for 2017. The answer, somewhat surprisingly, is three, an increase of one compared to the September meeting.

This is median […]

Fed Hikes Rates For First Time In 2016, Increases Pace Of Rate ‘Normalization’ Forecast

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 14, 2016 2:02 PM

With 100% chance of at least a 25bps hike (and 10% chance of 50bps), this was perhaps the most ‘priced in’ of any Fed meeting ever. Of course, it is not whether the Fed hikes or not at a given meeting that matters, […]

Catalysts for Higher Global Bond Yields

financialsense.com / BCA RESEARCH / 12/02/2016

From the US, the most likely catalyst for sharply higher bond yields will be the Fed signaling that it will adopt a quicker pace of rate hikes.

With inflation still below target and market-based measures of inflation compensation still depressed, the Fed will be in no rush to signal […]