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Here Is The IMF’s Global Financial Crash Scenario

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zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 22, 2017 3:43 PM

Hidden almost all the way in the end of the first chapter of the IMF’s latest Financial Stability Report, is a surprisingly candid discussion on the topic of whether “Rising Medium-Term Vulnerabilities Could Derail the Global Recovery”, which […]

The Fed’s Next Moves, the Nuts and Bolts of “Flood Cars,” and Why Everything Is Going to Get Hacked

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wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Oct 1, 2017

Wolf Richter with radio host Jim Goddard on This Week in Money, dissecting the Fed’s focus on inflated asset prices, which pose risks to the banks, and how this focus is impacting monetary policy. To top it off, the […]

Whatever The Fed Does… It’s Bullish

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zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Sep 24, 2017 2:30 PM

It’s Bullish…

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced the latest decision by the Federal Open Market Committee with respect to monetary policy. That decision contained two primary components:

No rate hike currently, although, as expected, announcements […]

Weekend Reading: Yellen Takes Away The Punchbowl

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Sep 22, 2017 5:00 PM

September 20th, 2017 will likely be a day that goes down in market history.

It will either be remembered as one of the greatest achievements in the history of monetary policy experiments, or the beginning of the next bear market or worse.

[…]

The forthcoming global crisis

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / September 21, 2017

The global economy is now in an expansionary phase, with bank credit being increasingly available for non-financial borrowers. This is always the prelude to the crisis phase of the credit cycle.

Most national economies are directly boosted by China, the important exception being America. This […]

Markets Pause As FOMC Meeting Begins Tuesday

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jim Wyckoff via Money Morning / September 19, 2017

Global stock markets were mostly weaker overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.

Traders and investors worldwide are a bit cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting.

Gold prices are […]

Euros, Dollars and Central Bank Manipulations

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / SEPTEMBER 14, 2017

Peter Schiff has been talking a lot about the weakening dollar. In a recent Schiff Report video, Peter said he sees the “mother of all dollar bear markets” on the horizon. The dollar has already dropped about 12% on the year, and it’s on track […]

Labor, Inflaton, Aggregate Demand, and French Reforms

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 7, 2017

Low unemployment rates in the US, UK, and Japan have not fueled much wage pressure, and this is vexing policymakers. They are unable to normalize monetary policy because inflation remains subdued, and it is difficult to envision a sustained and durable increase in price pressures […]

US Dollar Falls To Lowest Level Since January 2015 On Depressing Jackson Hole Speakers (10Y-2Y Slope Declines To 82.82 BPS)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / August 25, 2017

The monetary retreat at Jackson Hole, Wyoming today was a dovefest. ECB’s Draghi and Bank of Japan’s Kuroda both said that accomodative monetary policy will continue.

And Yellen said very little of substance with no hint of tightening.

The reaction? […]

Bullard, Evans, Dudley and Gold

sunshineprofits.com / ARKADIUSZ SIEROŃ / AUGUST 11, 2017

This week, a few FOMC members delivered speeches. What do they imply for the gold market?

On Monday, James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, said that the low inflation may not be temporary, so the Fed can leave interest rates unchanged:

“The current level of the policy […]

Dollar View: Discipline or Stubbornness

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / July 26, 2017

The US dollar is sitting near multi-month lows against the major European currencies and the dollar bloc. Where does this leave our strategic view of the third significant dollar rally since the collapse of Bretton Woods? The dollar bear market ended in 2007-2008 when extremes […]

Leading Indicators Not Suggesting Imminent Market Peak, Recession

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 07/24/2017

Several skeptics responded to our piece last week looking at the yield curve as a leading indicator (see Yield Curve Not Suggesting Imminent Market Peak, Recession) by saying that the yield curve is no longer reliable because of the Fed’s distortions on the market.

This was essentially the same […]

Emerging Markets Week Ahead Preview

marctomarket.com / Dr. Win Thin / Jul 23, 2017

EM FX was mixed on Friday, but largely firmer over the entire week. Top performers were BRL, KRW, and ZAR, while the worst were ARS, MXN, and RUB. FOMC meeting this week poses some potential risks to the global liquidity story that’s supporting EM. Within EM, […]

Questions

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Joseph Y. Calhoun via Alhambra Investments / July 18, 2017

Why is inflation ex-food and energy considered core? Isn’t food and gas about as core as it gets for most people? Why do economists think it is important to stabilize the price of luxuries but not the price of needs? As a […]

Bank Of America Explains What Federer’s Victory Means For Fed Monetary Policy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 16, 2017 3:37 PM

On Sunday, Roger Federer did what many in recent years said was impossible, when he won his record, 8th Wimbledon title, defeating Croatia’s Cilic in straight sets.

Away from the court, the victory may be an ominous sign for EM bears. As Bloomberg’s […]

Why Wages Are So Weak – A Thought Experiment

zerohedge.com / by Steven Englander via Rafiki Capital Management / Jul 10, 2017 8:00 PM

A thought experiment on why wages are so weak

I propose a microeconomic rationale for why macro wage performance is so weak, despite tight labor markets. The idea is that we are getting paid less for our job-specific knowledge […]

Rand Tumbles On Report South Africa Seeks To Nationalize Central Bank

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 5, 2017

The South African rand has tumbled following a report confirming recent speculation that South Africa’s ruling African National Congress will propose that the country’s central bank, the Reserve Bank be nationalized and wholly owned by the state, according to three people familiar with the discussions […]

Banks Begin To Mutiny Against The Fed: “If We Are Right, Central Banks Will Be Wrong”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 1, 2017

It has been a trying time for the world’s central bankers, who for decades have been used to the “high finance” community’s adulation, derived from the deliverance of policy wrapped in so much opacity, gibberish and contradictions, that neither the central bankers, nor the […]

Run on Dollar and Yen Continues

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / June 29, 2017

The main driver of the foreign exchange market is the continued reassessment of the trajectory of monetary policy in the UK, EMU, and Canada. The OIS market does not show that higher rates are discounted for the next policy meeting (August, September, and July respectively), […]

Get Ready For “QT1”: A First Look At The Fed’s Hidden Policy

zerohedge.com / by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning / Jun 25, 2017 3:30 PM

The Federal Reserve is now setting out on a new path for quantitative tightening (QT) after nine years of unconventional quantitative (QE) easing policy. It is the evil twin of QE which was used to ease monetary conditions when interest […]

Hong Kong Warns: Its Housing Bubble is a “Dangerous Situation”

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Jun 20, 2017

The HK financial system is “very strong” and “can withstand an adjustment in the property market.”

The Hong Kong dollar is pegged to the US dollar. Hong Kong’s monetary policy is follows the Fed’s monetary policy. The Fed has embarked on a tightening cycle, raising […]

Officials Fill Vacuum of Data to Drive FX Market

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / June 20, 2017

The light economic calendar has cleared the field to allow officials to clarify their positions. Yesterday it was NY Fed President Dudley and Chicago Fed Evans who argued that economic conditions continued to require a gradual removal of accommodation. The Fed’s Vice Chairman Fischer did […]

NY Fed’s Dudley: “Remain Calm!! All Is Well! Flattening Yield Curve Is NOT A Bad Sign For The Economy!!”

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Confounded Interest / June 19, 2017

The New York Fed’s President and CEO William (Bill) Dudley just uttered one of the silliest statements of all time at a business forum in Plattsburgh, New York.

(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley sounded a […]

When Will Janet Live Up To Her Reputation?

zerohedge.com / by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog / Jun 14, 2017 12:11 PM

I am asking you to put aside all your notions about monetary policy for a moment, and think about the next couple of points with an open mind. Forget about scary Central Bank balance sheets. Fight the urge […]

Paul Singer: The Financial System Is Not Sound (Video)

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / JUNE 9, 2017

Billionaire investor Paul Singer says the financial system is no more sound than it was in 2008. In fact, he contends that in many cases, it is more leveraged than it was leading up to the 2008 crash.

During an interview at the Bloomberg Invest New […]