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Gold Price ‘Struggling’ as Trump ‘Set to Sway’ Fed Interest Rates

financialsense.com / ADRIAN ASH / 02/21/2017

Gold prices fell below $1230 per ounce in London trade Tuesday morning, losing 1% from last week’s finish as US traders returned from the President’s Day holiday focused on how Donald Trump and rising inflation could see the Federal Reserve raise interest rates again as early as March.

[…]

Eurozone PMI Jumps To 56, Highest Since April 2011; Job Creation Best In A Decade As Inflation Surges

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 21, 2017 8:38 AM

Eurozone private sector and manufacturing growth unexpectedly jumped to the highest in six years in February and job creation reached its fastest since August 2007, propelled by strong demand and optimism about the future, the latest Markit PMI survey found. The Markit Eurozone PMI […]

Why the “Experts” Can’t Agree About Fed Rate Hikes

mises.org / C. Jay Engel / February 21, 2017

It’s amazing how the same set of economic data can create two very different opinions on the overrated Fed Funds hike issue. In two Bloomberg opinion pieces last week, we see the stark difference:

Tim Duy: It’s Way Too Early for the Fed to Consider […]

Cost Push Inflation

news.goldseek.com / By: Warren Bevan / 20 February 2017

It’s long weekend time with markets closed Monday and the trend higher nicely intact.

The metals are looking better and better and moving higher very well.

That said, mining stocks are a bit mixed but may well give us some strong moves early in 2017, as […]

Cost Push Inflation

news.goldseek.com / By: CAPTAINHOOK / 20 February 2017

The reason we are looking at this today is because of how the Trump Bump is causing input prices to jump higher already, evidenced in the most recent (December) US ISM numbers, showing the biggest jump since 2011. And this trend will most likely continue with the […]

Weekend Reading: Deja Vu

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Feb 17, 2017 4:31 PM

As discussed yesterday, the exuberance in the markets, as witnessed by the net positioning of large speculators, has reached records on both ends of the spectrum. Those extremes, combined with spiking levels of “hope” in both the financial and economic data is […]

Market Report: Hey ho, and up she rises….

wealth.goldmoney.com / BY ALASDAIR MACLEOD / FEBRUARY 17, 2017

The Trump administration is running into choppy waters, commodity prices are on the up, and inflation is around the corner.

After a slow start, gold and silver resumed their uptrends this week, with both metals edging into new high ground. Gold rose slightly from $1233.5 […]

Gold Is Undervalued – Leading Money Managers

goldcore.com / By janskoyles / February 16, 2017

Gold is undervalued according to a record number of fund managers Last time gold was considered undervalued, the price surged BAML surveyed 175 money managers with $543 billion in assets under management 34% of investors believe protectionism is the biggest threat to markets Gold viewed as […]

Trump Utters The Magic Word (Again) And The Dow Surges Above 20,600 (Despite VIX Spike)

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 15, 2017 4:05 PM

Apologies for earlier error in title.

Surging inflation, plunging real wages, jumping mortgage delinquencies, and record crude and gasoline inventories… then Trump drops the ‘t’ word and the market melts up…

Intraday, March rate-hike odds hit 46%, seemingly surging off “off the table” […]

Goldman Raises March Rate Hike Odds After January Inflation Spike

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 15, 2017 11:35 AM

For those who said a March rate hike looks increasingly likely after today’s blistering CPI report, which saw inflation printing at the highest in nearly 5 years, you are not alone: moments ago Goldman’s chief economist agreed that the “firm CPI may bring […]

Bianco: Trump Will Bring More Inflation Than Real Growth

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 02/14/2017

We’ve seen a divergence between “hard” economic numbers and relatively strong “soft” data including sentiment readings, and the consensus is for an economic reflation under President Trump’s direction.

To parse what this might mean for investors, we spoke with Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research on FS Insider to […]

An age-old relationship between interest rates and prices

news.goldseek.com / By: Steve Saville, The Speculative Investor / 15 February 2017

The chart displayed near the end of this discussion is effectively a pictorial representation of what Keynesian economists call a paradox* (“Gibson’s Paradox”) and Austrian economists call a natural and perfectly understandable relationship.

Gibson’s Paradox was the name given by JM Keynes to […]

Global Stocks Hit 21 Month Highs, Futures Point To New Record Ahead Of Inflation Data

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 15, 2017

The global “risk on” melt-up continues.

After a modestly hawkish Yellen warned that every meeting is live, and refused to take March off the table, sending the dollar and yield higher and the S&P to fresh record highs, world stocks rose hitting a 21-month high […]

Why Global GDP Is Converging Towards 1%

financialsense.com / MATTHEW KERKHOFF / 02/14/2017

After years of fighting against the forces of deflation, many areas of the world, including the US, are experiencing a rebound in inflation and growth prospects. The promise of rising prices and accelerating economic growth are causing asset prices to head higher, but how long will this phenomenon […]

Goldman Raises March Rate Hike Odds, Sees “Strong Support For Near-Term Policy Action”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 14, 2017 11:06 AM

With “Goldman Guys” forming the core support pillar of Donald Trump’s economic and financial advisory team, it is easy to forget that Goldman is also the one bank whose alumni also dominate not only the Fed, but all other central banks, and as such […]

Deflation and Gold: A Contrarian View

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Brian Maher / February 13, 2017

The warring forces of inflation and deflation are at each other’s throats. Some see victory for inflation. Others for deflation.

So… What happens to gold?

Conventional wisdom says gold thrives under inflation and wilts under deflation. The case for gold under inflation is easy enough. Gold […]

Inflation Expectations Rise, Spending Projections Decline

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / February 13, 2017

Every month the Federal Reserve Bank of New York does a survey of consumer expectations: Inflation, spending, earning, and jobs.

The January 2017 report came out today.

Amusingly, the Fed indirectly relies on consumer confidence numbers to gage spending projections but does not rely on […]

Key Events In The Coming Humphrey-Hawkish Week

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 13, 2017 8:42 AM

The key economic releases this week are CPI, retail sales, and industrial production on Wednesday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements from Fed officials this week, including Chair Yellen’s semi-annual Monetary Policy Report to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday (Humphrey-Hawkins).

As […]

Quiet Start of Busy Week

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / February 13, 2017

With inflation and growth reports due out this week and Federal Reserve Chair Yellen’s testimony before Congress, it promises to be a busy week for investors. However, the week has begun off fairly quietly, while the recent rally in equities continues. The US dollar is […]

ECRI Weekly Leading Index: Another All-Time High

financialsense.com / JILL MISLINSKI / 2/10/2017

Today’s release of the publicly available data from ECRI (Economic Cycle Research Institute) puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 145.6, up 0.4 from the previous week. It is currently at an all-time high. Year-over-year the four-week moving average of the indicator is now at 11.92%, up from 11.50% […]

Mexico Hikes Rates By 50bps As Inflation Soars

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Feb 9, 2017 2:03 PM

The Central Bank of Mexico hiked rates 50bps to 6.25% (as expected) and sent the peso rallying modestly. As Bloomberg notes, Banxico appears more concerned at inflationary pressures than growth slowdown.

Mexico Central Bank Issues Statement Following Rate Decision: Banxico to Closely Watch […]

Inflation Ahead? Yeah, Sure.

news.goldseek.com / By: Rick Ackerman, Rick’s Picks / 9 February 2017

The inflation drumbeat has grown more insistent lately, stoked by Fed blather about raising rates to prevent the economy from overheating. Yeah, sure. I’m not buying any of it, particularly statistics that purport to show inflation even in Europe. An epic deflation still awaits […]

My Kuroda! “Powerful Monetary Easing” To Accelerate Japan’s Inflation To 2% Target(?)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders / February 8, 2017

My Kuroda!

TOKYO, Feb 3 (Reuters) – Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Friday that the central bank would pursue “powerful” monetary easing to accelerate inflation to its 2 percent target, describing the current situation as being half way to hitting […]

Expropriation and Impoverishment: “Capitalist” Greece and “Socialist” Venezuela

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / MONDAY, FEBRUARY 06, 2017

Neocolonial “capitalist paradise” or crony “socialist paradise”: the net result is the same: expropriation and impoverishment. Yesterday I noted that not all assets will make it through the inevitable financial re-set. ( Which Assets Are Most Likely to Survive the Inevitable “System Re-Set”?) Those […]

After Obama, a New Dawn or More of the Same?

mises.org / William L. Anderson / February 6, 2017

Nearly four decades ago, political pundits were shocked as voters turned away President Jimmy Carter and voted in Ronald Reagan, who promised to bring fundamental change to Washington and the indwelling political establishment. At the time, unemployment was rising quickly and inflation raged in double-digits, […]