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Sentiment Measures vs. Retail Spending: Clueless Clues and Random Noise

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Tuesday, July 28, 2015 10:04 PM

Economists Shocked

Economists were shocked by the plunge in the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index this morning, well below the any economist’s guess in Bloomberg’s Econoday Forecast.

The consensus estimate was 99.6. The consensus range was 97.0 to 102.0. And the actual […]

The Fate Of China’s Monetary Policy Is Now In The Hands Of Pigs

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/29/2015 08:45 -0400

It seems China’s efforts to stabilize their economy stock market knows no bounds – nowhere better exemplified than the 5% spike in an hour last night after injecting $100bn into the sovereign (rescue) fund – and western observers applaud the efforts as if they are […]

BOJ: When All Else Fails, Change the Metric

marctomarket.com / July 27, 2015 / by Marc Chandler

The Bank of Japan is engaged in the most aggressive asset purchases, and yet it has largely failed to lift inflation. National consumer prices for June will be reported at the end of this week. The headline rate is expected to fall to 0.3% year-over-year […]

Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report 26 July, 2015

news.goldseek.com / By Keith Weiner / 27 July 2015

For those who are speculating on the dollar—i.e. most people—there was good news this week. The dollar rose almost a milligram, to 28.3mg gold. That’s a big gain, and welcome news for those who keep all of their eggs in the one dollar basket, perhaps because […]

27/7/15: IMF Euro Area Report: Debt’s a Mean Bitch…

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / by Constantin Gurdgiev / July 27, 2015

The IMF today released its Article IV assessment of the Euro area, so as usual, I will be blogging on the issues raised in the latest report throughout the day.

The first post looks at debt overhang.

Per IMF, low inflation environment in the Euro area […]

Fed Staff Accidentally Posts Bearish Economic Forecast and Prediction Inflation Would Not Hit 2% by 2020; Upset Over Leaks? Why?

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / by Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 25, 2015

The Fed created quite a stir by inadvertently posting documents on its website. The documents revealed some expected things, as well as a few startling (but not to Mish readers) projections.

Please consider Fed Inadvertently Publishes Staff Forecast for 2015 Rate Hike.

Staff economists at […]

No Inflation My Eye! Rents Up By Double Digits In 13 Major US Cities

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by Patrick Clark at Bloomberg / July 24, 2015

Landlords have been preparing to raise rents on single-family homes this year, Bloomberg reported in April. It looks like those plans are already being put into action.

The median rent for a three-bedroom single-family house increased 3.3 percent, to $1,320, during the second quarter, […]

Not Your Father’s Inflation

silver-coin-investor.com / By Dr. Jeffrey Lewis / Jul 23, 2015

“Profound ignorance masquerading as wisdom – all the worse from the mouths of the prestigious, the PhD, the Nobel prize winner….” – Unknown

It’s time to revisit British economist Peter Warburton’s April 2001 classic tome “The debasement of world currency: It’s inflation but not as […]

Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook – Second Quarter 2015

mauldineconomics.com / JOHN MAULDIN / JULY 22, 2015

n today’s Outside the Box, my good friend Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management reminds us that since the 1990-91 recession, the 30-year Treasury bond yield has dropped from 9% to 3%, a downward move nearly identical to the decline in the rate of inflation, which fell […]

The financial gouging of the American college student: Tuition is up 300 percent from 1990 and total outstanding student debt has grown by over 1 trillion dollars since 2000.

mybudget360.com / by mybudget360 / July 22, 2015

Inflation is such an insidious standard of living destroyer. Little by little those dollars in your wallet get worth less and you suddenly find yourself needing to go into large levels of debt to purchase cornerstones of the American Dream. Going to college has been the […]

Beware of bogus “inflation” indices

news.goldseek.com / By: Steve Saville, The Speculative Investor / 22 July 2015

Every attempt to come up with a single number (a price index) that reflects the change in the purchasing power (PP) of money is bound to fail. The main reason is that disparate items cannot be added together and/or averaged to arrive at […]

Will the Oil Patch Bust Trigger Recession?

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / TUESDAY, JULY 21, 2015

This seemingly inexhaustible credit line is now drying up, with severely negative consequences for oil producers with debt that’s coming due. Could the oil patch bust triggered by oil plummeting from $100/barrel to $50/barrel kick the U.S. into recession? Longtime correspondent B.C. recently observed: […]

The Fed’s Confusion Over the “Natural Rate” of Unemployment and Inflation

mises.org / Frank Shostak / JULY 20, 2015

In May, the US unemployment rate stood at 5.5 percent against the rate of 5.3 percent for the “natural unemployment,” also known as the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU).

According to the popular view, once the actual unemployment rate falls to below the NAIRU, or the […]

Here’s More Proof That Yellen’s Wage Growth Claims Are Ridiculous

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Alan Tonelson • July 17, 2015

Even if you keep emphasizing that wage figures aren’t the only, or even best, measure of U.S. employee compensation available, you’ll have difficulty saying or writing the term “wage inflation” after seeingthe new real wage figures available from the Labor Department.

According to the new data, […]

A Tale Of Two Inflations——–Goods Down, Services Soar

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / By KATHLEEN MADIGAN at The Wall Street Journal / July 15, 2015

Federal Reserve officials often note their concern about low U.S. inflation, which has been well below the central bank’s target for three years. That lament might surprise consumers who are paying more every year for cable services, car insurance and dental […]

Gold at 5 year low

truthingold.com / Dave in Denver / July 16, 2015 at 11:21

Gold dropped to the lowest level since November last year after the US Federal Reserve said the world’s largest economy favours a rate rise this year.

Futures contracts in New York with August delivery dates were priced as low as $1,141.90 an ounce […]

Dollar Rising

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / July 16, 2015

The US dollar remains bid. Yellen’s comments and the Beige Book signal that the Federal Reserve is still on track to raise rates this year. In contrast, as the Draghi will make clear today, the ECB is committed to completing its unorthodox easing. Yesterday the […]

Mind Boggling Chart O’ Da Month- Inflation Is Soaring!

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / July 15, 2015

One of my pet themes over the years has been the ridiculous conventional economic definition of inflation that excludes asset prices, an absurdity which the BLS then compounds by suppressing any potential echoes of asset price inflation in the CPI, particularly with housing. It does this […]

Japan’s Economic Disaster – Real Wages Lowest Since 1990, Record Numbers Describe “Hard” Living Conditions

libertyblitzkrieg.com / by Michael Krieger / Jul 14, 2015

With so much attention rightly focused on China at the moment (see: Chinese Authorities Arrest Over 100 Human Rights Activists and Lawyers in Desperate Crackdown on Dissent), people aren’t paying enough attention to the budding economic calamity unfolding in Japan.

While “Abenomics” has succeeded in boosting […]

Why central banking persists

news.goldseek.com / By George Smith / 12 July 2015

Only a few people care whether central banking persists, and they’re the ones who profit from it. In some cases they profit enormously. The average Joe or Jill doesn’t know about central banks and doesn’t care to know. To the ones at the top of the […]

Maintaining the Illusion of Stability Now Requires Ever-Greater Extremes

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / THURSDAY, JULY 09, 2015

This much-needed re-set to an economy that serves the many rather than the few is what the Powers That Be are so fearful of.

On the surface, everything still looks remarkably stable in the core industrial economies. The stock markets in Japan, Germany and […]

Prepare to Defend Yourself, Major Cyber Attacks Are Planned

thecommonsenseshow.com / by Dave Hodges / July 9, 2015

One some days, through the grace of God, I have demonstrated the ability to decipher events and connect the dots and form meaningful conclusions. Sometimes, I feel like I am dumber than a box of rocks. Issues will sometimes present themselves and I have been slow […]

Lenin and Marx: Sound Money Advocates?

mises.org / Louis Rouanet / JULY 9, 2015

Most modern socialists are in favor of inflation, because it is supposed, in Keynes’s words, to “euthanize the rentiers.” It doesn’t mean however, that the “founding fathers” of socialism were in favor of inflation. In fact, the opposite is true. Karl Marx had a wide knowledge […]

Greece Enters Its Crack-Up Boom

dollarcollapse.com / by John Rubino / July 9, 2015

The Austrian School of economics has a concept called a “crack-up boom” in which a critical mass of people conclude that their government is actively trying to devalue its currency.

Consumers respond by front-running the government, spending their paychecks immediately in order to convert their […]

Markets Stabilize, Await New Developments

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / July 9, 2015

The global capital markets have stabilized. Chinese and Japanese shares initially sold off, but both recovered. Chinese officials have thrown everything but the kitchen sink at the stock market in hopes of stabilizing it. There was some success today. The Shanghai Composite finished 5.8% higher […]