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Wheezing Consumers & Slowing Economy, No Problem: UK Inflation Jumps Most in 5+ Years. Rate Hike Due in November

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wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Oct 17, 2017

The Fed leads, other central banks follow.

The UK is not the only one. But it’s furthest ahead. In the US, consumer prices as measured by the Consumer Price Index rose 2.2% in September compared to a year ago. In […]

One of the Two Most Powerful Fed Officials Just Issued an Inflation Decree

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gainspainscapital.com / Graham Summers / October 17, 2017

The Fed is no longer even trying to hide the fact that it WANTS inflation.

In the last month, the Fed has attempted to feign ignorance about the true nature of inflation. Fed Chair Janet Yellen even went so far […]

Gold, the stock market and the yield curve

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news.goldseek.com / By Steve Saville / Tuesday, 17 October 2017

The yield curve is a remarkably useful leading indicator of major economic and financial-market events. For example, its long-term trend can be relied on to shift from flattening to steepening ahead of economic recessions and equity bear […]

Metals Hit Multi-Year Highs Increasing Inflation But Here Are The Really Big Surprises

kingworldnews.com / October 16, 2017

With the Dow hitting a new all-time high along with the Nasdaq, we have extreme stock market bullishness, record shorts in the VIX and QE going in reverse. Interesting times. Plus a surprising look at what is happening with inflation…

Metals Hitting Multi-Year Highs By Peter Boockvar, author of […]

The Fed Is Confused about What Drives Inflation

mises.org / Frank Shostak / October 16, 2017

On October 4 2017, the former governor of the Federal Reserve Daniel Tarullo in a speech at the Brookings think-tank in Washington said Fed policy makers do not have a reliable theory of what drives inflation. According to Tarullo, central bankers should pay less attention to […]

Overheating China PPI Sends 10Y Yields To 30 Month Highs As Banks Inject Another Quarter Trillion Dollars In Loans

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 15, 2017

Despite a disappointing US CPI report on Friday, which saw core inflation miss once again despite an expected spike due to the “hurricane effect”, moments ago China reported that in September, its CPI printed at 1.6% Y/Y, in line with expectations, and down from, 1.8% […]

China’s Mortgage Debt Bubble Raises Spectre Of 2007 US Crisis

zerohedge.com / by He Huifeng via The South China Morning Post / Oct 15, 2017

In an inglorious echo of 2007 America, many young homeowners in booming cities owe more than they earn, and some even falsify salary details to get bigger mortgages…

***

Young Chinese like Eli Mai, a sales manager in Guangzhou, […]

Nonsensical Global Worries Over Subdued Inflation: Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda

themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / October 16, 2017

Central bank presidents at the Fed, the ECB, and Bank of Japan are all concerned over low inflation. The Fed wants to hike anyway, but the Bank of Japan will keep pursuing aggressive monetary easing. Meanwhile, asset prices are in the biggest ever bubble. […]

Really Bad Ideas, Part 5: The Fed Should Have – And Defend – An Inflation Target

dollarcollapse.com / by John Rubino / OCTOBER 15, 2017

Central banks in general and the Fed in particular are struggling to understand a world in which they’ve thrown everything they have at the economy without generating “beneficial” inflation. Their confusion can be traced back to some profoundly false assumptions.

Here’s a good overview of the […]

FOMC Minutes from September 2017 Meeting and Gold

sunshineprofits.com / ARKADIUSZ SIEROŃ / OCTOBER 12, 2017

Yesterday, the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting were released. What do they say about the Fed’s stance and what do they mean for the gold market?

How can we summarize the recent FOMC minutes? As earlier this year, the FOMC members agreed that “the labor […]

Andy Xie Warns “The Bubble Economy Is Set To Burst” As Political Tension Soars

zerohedge.com / by Andy Xie via The South China Morning Post / Oct 12, 2017

Central banks continue to focus on consumption inflation, not asset inflation, in their decisions. Their attitude has supported one bubble after another. These bubbles have led to rising ­inequality and made mass consumer inflation less likely.

***

Since […]

Asian Metals Market Update: October-12-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 12 October 2017

Gold and silver rose as the FOMC did not say anything new on the economy or interest rate cycle. Low inflation could derail the Federal Reserve interest rate cycle. Physical gold and silver demand will be on the higher side in Asia as well […]

Be Patient, the Fed Will Screw You Eventually (With Media Praise All The Way)

themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / October 12, 2017

Policymakers at the Fed are growing increasingly concerned about lagging inflation rates. Mainstream media and most academia pundits are on board preaching the benefits of what in reality is theft.

Dallas Fed president Robert Kaplan says the Low 10-Year Yield is an ‘Ominous’ Sign.

[…]

Discipline Argues Against Consensus Narrative

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / October 12, 2017

Following the release of the FOMC minutes from last month’s meeting, the consensus narrative that has emerged says that it was dovish because there is a growing worry the reason inflation fell is not simply due to transitory factors. This explains, according to the narrative […]

FOMC Minutes Show Schizophrenic Fed Fears Low Inflation Is Here To Stay But Push For Another Rate Hike In 2017

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 11, 2017 2:05 PM

The yield curve has collapsed since The Fed’s hawkish September statement (but bank stocks have soared) as rate-hike odds hit 80%and balance sheet normalization is believed to be like watching paint dry. All eyes going into the FOMC Minutes were on just how […]

About Those “Hedonic Adjustments” to Inflation: Ignoring the Systemic Decline in Quality, Utility, Durability and Service

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / TUESDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2017

The quality, durability, utility and enjoyment-of-use of our products and services has been plummeting for years.

One of the more mysterious aspects of the official inflation rate is the hedonic quality adjustments that the Bureau of Labor Statistics makes to the components of the […]

Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’

goldcore.com / By davidrussell / October 11, 2017

– Young Guns of Gold Podcast – ‘The Everything Bubble’ – Precious Metal Roundtable discuss gold in 2017 and outlook – Gold +9.1% year to date; Performing well given Fed raising rates, lack of volatility and surge in stock markets – “People are expecting too much […]

Inflation Watch: the Fed’s WAY Behind the Curve

gainspainscapital.com / Graham Summers / October 9, 2017

We keep pounding the table that inflation is coming… but STILL few are paying attention.

Last week we had now one but TWO major warnings.

The first was the fact that prices paid in the latest ISM report jumped to their highest levels since 2011. By […]

Everybody Wants Duration Even as Fed Normalization Draws Near (75% Prob of Dec Rate Hike)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / October 5, 2017

Recently, US Treasury bonds are like peanuts … investors can’t just eat one.

Investors can’t get enough of the longest maturity U.S. bonds even with the Federal Reserve set to embark on its next step toward normalizing interest rates.

While […]

Did the Fed’s #2 Quit to Avoid Blame for the Coming Inflationary Storm?

gainspainscapital.com / Graham Summers / October 5, 2017

Inflation is coming.

Vice-Fed Chair Stanley Fischer recently resigned unexpectedly from the Federal Reserve. Many were left wondering why Fischer would give up his role as the Fed’s second in command, arguably the second most powerful Central Banking position in the world.

Wonder no more:

The […]

Be Careful What You Wish For: Inflation Is Much Higher Than Advertised

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 04, 2017

What the Federal Reserve is actually whining about is not low inflation–it’s that high inflation isn’t pushing wages higher like it’s supposed to. It’s not exactly a secret that real-world inflation is a lot higher than the official rates–the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and […]

Caroline Miller: Bond Yields Set to Rise, Inflation Measures to Pick Up

Source: BCA Research

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 10/04/2017

Given the apparent acceleration in the US economy, many are wondering, where are bond yields headed, and what will this mean for the economy and markets?

This time on FS Insider, we spoke with Caroline Miller, Global Strategist at BCA Research, about her recent webcast […]

What Few Expect: Inflation Will Surge, Destablizing the Status Quo

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / OCT 3, 2017

Few seem to ponder what global shortages in key commodities might do to prices.

If there is any economic truism that is accepted by virtually everyone, it’s that inflation is low and will stay low into the foreseeable future. The reasons are numerous: technology is deflationary, […]

Gold: More than Just a Hedge

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / OCTOBER 3, 2017

Conventional wisdom holds that gold is a good store of value, and provides a hedge of protection against inflation and economic upheaval. But a close look at the data reveals gold offers a long-term growth trajectory comparable to other financial asset classes.

In fact, as we reported […]

Plan For Run On The Pound

goldcore.com / By janskoyles / October 3, 2017

Run On The Pound ? Jeremy Corbyn Says Should Plan For

– Right to plan for ‘run on pound’ if Labour wins says Corbyn and Labour party – British pound already down 20% since Brexit, collapse already in play – Run on the pound likely due […]