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Fed Queen Race: Personal Income Rises 0.4% as Expected; Good for Rate Hikes? GDP?

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mish” Shedlock / August 28, 2015

Personal income for July rose as expected in today’s Personal Income and Outlays report. Consumer spending rose nearly as expected, led of course by auto sales. Price pressure was nonexistent.

There’s no hurry for a rate hike based on the July personal income and outlays report […]

Art Collectors Pawn Masterpieces To Meet Market Rout Margin Calls

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/27/2015 15:20

Earlier this year, Picasso’s Women of Algiers (Version O), set an auction house record when it sold for $179,365,000, including the house’s premium, prompting us to remark that if you were looking for signs of runaway inflation, Christie’s may be a good place to start. We remarked […]

The Significance of the Durable Goods Orders

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / August 26, 2015

The US dollar and US equity futures responded favorably to the stronger than expected durable goods orders. The sizable upward revision in the June shipments (from 0.3% to 0.9%) underscore expectations that Q2 GDP will be revised sharply higher when reported tomorrow.

Headline durable goods orders […]

China Is Pushing On A String Ensemble

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by Raúl Ilargi Meijer / August 26, 2015

Look, it’s very clear where I stand on China; I’ve written a lot about it. And not just recently. Nicole Foss, who fully shares my views on the topic, reminded me the other day of a piece I wrote in July 2012, named Meet China’s […]

Silver: Fundamentals & Technicals Align

truthingold.com / August 25, 2015 at 11:13

Silver has been at the mercy of the global markets over the last 24 hours as it was seen more as a commodity than a store of wealth. That has led to a head and shoulders pattern forming that provides an entry point to take advantage of […]

Why gold was the best buy in 2008-9 crash and will be this time too

news.goldseek.com / By Peter Cooper / 26 August 2015

What was the best asset class to buy for the recovery that followed the 2008-9 crash in global financial markets? Step forward gold whose rise was only exceeded by silver.

Precious metals not only delivered the fastest recovery from that huge sell-off but offered increases […]

The Exquisite Market Setup – Monetary Metals Supply-Demand

acting-man.com / Keith Weiner / August 24, 2015

Interesting Developments in Gold

There is an exquisite setup building once again. Tight fundamentals in the gold market apply upwards pressure on the price. For quite a while, we have been saying gold’s fundamental price was around a hundred bucks above the market price. Well, the […]

This Wasn’t Supposed To Happen: Crashing Inflation Expectations Suggest Imminent Launch Of QE4

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/23/2015 14:34

The wind up for the most telegraphed rate hike in history was supposed to achieve one thing: generate benign inflation in the form of a rising short end and a broadly steeper yield curve, or in short: boost inflation expectations without crashing the market (recall after 7 […]

Another Round-Trip in Crude; Search for Inflation; Another Bout of Asset Deflation Hell Coming Up

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Wednesday, August 19, 2015 4:14 PM

Crude prices are back to where they were in 2004. Before that, crude previously topped near $41 in September of 1990!

Recall the hyperinflation talk in June of 2008 when crude hit $147?

Cries of massive price inflation again became talk of […]

Great Graphic: Ruble, Brent and the Fed

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / August 20, 2015

Oil prices have fallen to new lows following news of the an unexpected 2.68 mln barrel build of US crude oil inventories. The API data had prepared the market a small draw down. Many view the sharp drop in oil prices through the lens of […]

Here’s How Wage Inflation Claims Just Became Sicker Jokes Than Ever

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Alan Tonelson • August 19, 2015

The Labor Department’s July inflation-adjusted wage figures came out this morning, and for a change, the biggest new development (at least IMO!) isn’t on the month-to-month front, the year-to-year front, or even the trend-since-the-recovery-began front (though all of these numbers once again trash the idea of […]

This Chart Shows How Badly CPI Understates Inflation

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler • August 19, 2015

Now that the CPI fiction has been posted, it requires that this post I wrote the other day be recycled for a second reading. The government reported and Big Media press release repeaters dutifully disseminated today that CPI Core rose by 0.1% in July on a […]

Keeping the Bubble-Boom Going

mises.org / Thorsten Polleit / AUGUST 19, 2015

The US Federal Reserve is playing with the idea of raising interest rates, possibly as early as September this year. After a six-year period of virtually zero interest rates, a ramping up of borrowing costs will certainly have tremendous consequences. It will be like taking away […]

Chinese Intervention Rescues Market From 2-Day Plunge, Futures Red Ahead Of Inflation Data, FOMC Minutes

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/19/2015 06:37 -0400

With China’s currency devaluation having shifted to the backburner if only for the time being, all attention was once again on the Chinese stock market roller coaster, which did not disappoint: starting off with yesterday’s dramatic 6.2% plunge, the Shanghai Composite crashed in early trading, […]

“Focus On Value of Gold Bullion and Not Just the Price” – Newstalk Radio

goldcore.com / By Mark O’Byrne / August 18, 2015

Nick Bullman of Check Risk interviewed GoldCore’s Mark O’Byrne on “Down To Business” at the early hour of 0630 this morning. Topics covered were:

– Gold’s fall in price in recent months – All focus on gold price and forgetting gold’s value as a diversification […]

Firmer Inflation Lifts Sterling, Chinese Stocks Stumble, Yuan Steady

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / August 18, 2015

Firmer UK inflation has helped sterling recover from yesterday’s decline. Resistance $1.5700 has been overcome making $1.58 the next technical target. Poor US housing starts data, after a heady 9.8% increase in June, with permits unwinding 7.4% rise could provide better fundamental cover to push […]

Will others now follow Stanley Druckenmiller’s 20% gold allocation?

news.goldseek.com / By Peter Cooper / 17 August 2015

Billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller has just raised his gold holdings to 20 per cent of the asset allocation reported by his Duquesne Family Office, according to Zerohedge.com.

He’d not been a big investor in gold in the recent past despite public warnings about the danger of […]

Gold sentiment still negative a good sign

truthingold.com / August 14, 2015

Put away the champagne, gold bulls. The metal’s best forecasters don’t expect the party to last much longer.

Futures in New York are on pace for the biggest weekly rally since mid-June after China’s surprise yuan devaluation roiled global markets and lifted demand for haven assets. Bulls shouldn’t expect the […]

Hey Fed! Get A Grip On Your Inflation Reality Gap With July PPI

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / August 14, 2015

One of the best measures of consumption goods inflation has now been above the Fed’s 2% target for 19 consecutive months.

The BLS Producer Price Index for Finished Consumer Goods Excluding Food and Energy rose at an annual rate of +2.9% in July. The inflation rate […]

US Inflation Expectations Decline Sharply

acting-man.com / By Pater Tenebrarum / August 13, 2015

A Sudden Trend Change

Earlier this year, inflation expectations – this is to say “expectations regarding the future rate of change of CPI” – rose sharply from a multi-year low posted right at the beginning of the year. In recent weeks this trend has reversed […]

UMich Consumer Sentiment Slips As Business Expectations Collapse To 11-Month Lows

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/14/2015 09:13 -0400

It appears the US Consumer is losing faith. August preliminary UMich Consumer Sentiment slipped from July’s 93.1 and missed expectations. This is the 2nd weakest print since November. Longer-term inflation expectations fell back to 2.7% and expectations for household income growth slipped to just 1.6%, […]

Great Graphic: Fed Expectations–Surveys and Markets

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / August 14, 2015

The Federal Reserve meets in a month. We all can appreciate that one of the most important elements is expectations. How should investors measure expectations? We can take a page from the Fed’s playbook itself. It has identified two ways to measure inflation expectations. There […]

14/8/15: Individual Consumption and the Irish Crisis

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / by Constantin Gurdgiev / Friday, August 14, 2015

Couple of interesting charts showing the latest annual data on individual consumption in the EU.

First, volume indices of real expenditure per capita in PPS (with index for each year set at EU28=100) (these figures are adjusted for inflation and exchange rates differences.

The […]

Both ECB And BOJ Warn More QE May Be Response To Chinese Currency War

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/13/2015 08:10 -0400

Minutes from the ECB’s most recent policy meeting reveal that Mario Draghi and company have a number of concerns about the pace of economic growth in the euroarea and about the outlook for inflation which, much to the governing council’s surprise, “remains unusually low.”

Board […]

Asset-Price Inflation Enters Its Dangerous Late Phase

mises.org / Brendan Brown / AUGUST 12, 2015

Asset price inflation, a disease whose source always lies in monetary disorder, is not a new affliction. It was virtually inevitable that the present wild experimentation by the Federal Reserve — joined by the Bank of Japan and ECB — would produce a severe outbreak. And […]