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Shilling: World Facing High Probability of Panic Deflation

financialsense.com / FS STAFF / 06/24/2016

Gary Shilling, author of The Age of Deleveraging and editor of the investment newsletter Insight, thinks the world is facing another 6 to 8 years of deleveraging with a “high probability of panic deflation” that will push 10-year Treasuries to 1% and oil eventually back to down to $10 […]

Goldman Sees A UK Recession, Shocked By A Fed “Tightening Cycle Unlike Any In Modern History”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 25, 2016

Starting off the year, Goldman was prodigiously optimistic, bullish… and dead wrong. Since then the bank has cut its rate hike forecast from 4 to 3 to 2 and, now in the aftermath of Brexit, it has just the excuse to say that “our forecasted […]

Morgan Stanley Explains “What Leave Means” (Spoiler Alert: A Lot Of Pain For The Longs)

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 24, 2016 1

With the voting out of the way, the only thing left is the crying. Oh, and the margin calls which start in just a few hours. And, alongside all of that, forecasts of doom that have to comply with all the scaremongering that was […]

Yellen’s Circular Blather And The Full Measure of Labor Slack

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider / June 22, 2016

Near the start of her tenure, Janet Yellen in a speech given on April 16, 2014, at the Economic Club of New York declared monetary policy concerned with three big factors. The first was inflation and whether or not it was moving back to the […]

IMF Urges Obama To “Tackle Poverty” As It Tells Yellen To Overshoot Inflation Target

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 22, 2016 9:51 AM

In its latest staff statement on the annual analysis of the U.S. economy, known as the Article IV review, the IMF again demonstrated why economists have become the butt of financial jokes, when in the same report it first urged the Fed to “overshoot” […]

Should You Invest in Gold or Silver?

goldsilverworlds.com / GoldSilverWorlds / June 20, 2016

Should You Invest in Gold or Silver?

The prices of bullion coins have increased in recent years. High inflation rates, slow economic growth, loss of global value of currency, and social and political uncertainty leads to increment in prices of precious metals. While gold has never […]

Kocherlakota Says Cut Rates, Sees No Inflation In Attack on St. Louis Fed’s Bulltard

wallstreetexaminer.com / by JohnnyFootball • June 21, 2016

This is like the film “Clash of the Titans.” Except the titans are not mythological characters, but real-life Federal Reserve governors (past and present).

Former Minneapolis Fed’er Narayana Kocherlakota penned this commentary of St Louis Fed’s James Bullard’s commentary on inflation, productivity and Fed policy.

Here […]

Janet Yellen’s “Humphrey-Hawkins” Testimony: Desperately Seeking Credibility – Live Feed

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden – Jun 21, 2016 11:54 AM

Just a week after utterly embarrassing herself in a frenzied hour of mumbling and incoherent babble, Fed Chair Janet Yellen will begin Day 1 of her semi-annual testimony (so-called “Humphrey-Hawkins” hearings) playing defense as all the promises she has made in the past […]

The European Basis For New Monetary Science

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider • June 20, 2016

Looking back it almost sounds like a completely different world. In the end, however, the world hasn’t changed, perceptions have. On May 10, 2012, German newspaper Spiegel reported that Bundesbank’s (Germany’s central bank) chief of its economics department, Jens Ulbricht, testified in the German […]

Inflation, Deflation and Associated Trading Prospects

news.goldseek.com / By: Gary Tanashian / 17 June 2016

Recently I have gotten wordy about the decline in ‘inflation expectations’ beginning on June 2, right on through yesterday’s update of the TIP-TLT ratio and TLT in essence, attaining their targets. The implication would be that the mini deflation whiff is coming to its limits.

As […]

These Two Charts Show Exactly How BLS Shrinks the CPI

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / June 17, 2016

This chart shows how much the BLS suppresses rent inflation in its CPI measure. It’s a major tool the government uses to suppress CPI.

A problem with the economic establishment’s focus on the CPI to measure “inflation” is that the CPI was never intended to […]

US GDP Revisions for 11 Years Coming Up: How Big Will They Be?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / June 16, 2016

In January, I noted the Census Bureau had construction spending errors going back a decade. Since construction spending directly feeds BEA GDP numbers, GDP will be revised as well.

On July 29, the BEA will post revisions for years 2013 through 2015. Other years […]

Three Reasons Why We’re Back to Late 2006

financialsense.com / ANDREW ZATLIN / 06/16/2016

Foreboding macroeconomic signals keep on popping up, and it would be wise to pay attention.

In case you can’t tell, this is exactly like late 2006 with key (worse) differences:

The macroeconomy has peaked: Jobless claims are barely below last year’s, meaning that growth has peaked. GDP is low […]

Highest Shelter Inflation Since September 2007 Means More Headaches For A Trapped Fed

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 16, 2016 8:50 AM

The trap around the Fed continues to tighten.

While on one hand Yellen pretty much threw in the towel on the current rate hike cycle yesterday, admitting that the local economy is no longer the driving factor in setting rates and instead has been […]

The Keynesian Conceit: If It Works In Theory, It Must In Practice

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider / June 15, 2016

Walter W. Heller was said to have been an “educator of Presidents.” As an economist and Presidential advisor in the inner circles of DC, Heller worked with more candidates and officeholders than perhaps any other man. As he himself described, his influence went all the […]

Actual Consumer Goods Inflation Vs. BLS and Fed Fantasy

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler • June 15, 2016

Buried deep in the data tables of the BLS’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May is an item that reveals the long running fallacies of the CPI and the Fed’s favorite inflation fantasy, the BEA’s Personal Consumption Expenditure price index (PCE). The revealing item is […]

Emerging Markets: Preview of the Week Ahead

marctomarket.com / by Dr. Win Thin / June 13, 2016

EM ended last week under pressure. With two potentially disruptive events (FOMC meeting and Brexit vote) still in play, we think that EM softness should carry over into this week.

Markets remain jittery about the June 23 Brexit vote, as a vote to leave would […]

Soros Buying Gold On BREXIT, EU “Collapse” Risk

goldcore.com / By Mark O’Byrne / June 10, 2016

George Soros is again buying gold and selling and going short stocks due to BREXIT and EU “collapse” risk, after a six year hiatus from the gold market.

***

The multi-billionaire hedge fund manager, the man who “broke the Bank of England” and one of […]

Time to Deflate the Deflation Expectations

financialsense.com / ANDREW ZATLIN / 06/09/2016

Companies and consumers are counting on commodity deflation. Where inflation pops up, companies will pass it along to consumers. Trucking rates have been rising since February, and that’s inflation that hits the entire economy.

The Deflation Expectation

On recent earnings calls, restaurant chains were quick to declare that […]

Central Bankers Claim: Things Are Better than You Think

mises.org / Brendan Brown / June 8, 2016

In our time, the greatest source of money chaos is now the global 2%-inflation standard. Deflation-phobic central bankers, led by the FOMC at the Fed, are defying the natural rhythm of prices in a capitalist economy. Under sound money, there would be periods of both falling […]

A Glance at Major World Treasury Bonds Paints an Increasingly Negative Picture

schiffgold.com / BY ADDISON QUALE / JUNE 6, 2016

This article was submitted by Addison Quale, SchiffGold Precious Metals Specialist. Any views expressed are his own and do not necessarily reflect the views of Peter Schiff or SchiffGold.

Peter Schiff has stated clearly for the record that this financial system is headed towards […]

“I Don’t Want To Alarm Anyone But…” – David Rosenberg Flips Again, Thinks We Are Headed For A Recession

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 5, 2016

Back in 2013, when David Rosenberg infamously flip-flopped from bear to bull on the “thesis” that everyone’s wages (not just his), are about to rise, and that a jump in wage inflation would be the catalyst to unleash a broad economic recovery in the process […]

The Lie Behind Argentina’s “Growth” Model

wolfstreet.com / by Bianca Fernet / June 2, 2016

What does “Political Manipulation” of Ugly Data add up to?

Argentina’s national statistics bureau (INDEC) is expected to publish revised data next month that corrects the alleged “book cooking” and data falsification that occurred under former President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner. How bad is it?

[…]

Geriatric America: 13 percent of US workforce now employed by healthcare industry. Healthcare inflation out of control.

mybudget360.com / by mybudget360 / June 1, 2016

Like most industrialized countries the United States has a large number of people entering into old age. The baby boomer generation is living longer and just because life expectancy is extended, this doesn’t mean people are healthier if we measure quality of life. We have a […]

Currency Manipulation by the United States Is Alive and Well

mises.org / Tommy Behnke / June 1, 2016

Last month, central bankers and finance leaders from the Group of 7 (G-7) advanced economies met in Sendai to discuss the global economy at large. As expected, the United States cautioned Japan, a US currency watchlist country, to refrain from taking further steps to manipulate its currency. […]