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The ECB’s Balance Sheet Is Now The Size Of Japan’s GDP

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 18, 2017 1:08 PM

Yesterday was a landmark day for the ECB. First, the central bank disclosed that its CSPP, or corporate bond, holdings rose above €100Bn for the first time. As DB’s Jim Reids notes this morning, to put things in perspective, a similar market cap […]

Import Prices Dip as Expected, Export Prices Unexpectedly Dip: GDP and Forex Analysis

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 18, 2017

The BLS’ Import and Export Price Report for June shows Import and Exports prices both declined 0.2% from May. Econoday economists called import prices correctly but expected export prices would be flat.

Month-Over-Month Changes

I reordered the charts in the BLS report to highlight […]

Abe’s Days Numbered? DB Warns Japan PM “May Be Forced Out” Leading To Spike In Yields

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 16, 2017 8:03 PM

Almost exactly ten years ago, on September 12, 2007 Japan’s current prime minister Shinzo Abe resigned less than a year into a tenure dogged by scandals, the suicide of a minister, a raft of resignations and corruption allegations, and a humiliating election drubbing […]

FX Week Ahead Preview: Is it “End Of Days” For The Greenback

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 16, 2017 4:23 PM

FX Week Ahead, courtesy of Rajan Dhall from fxdaily.co.uk

Coming off the back of another bad week for the USD, we look to a barren period for the data schedule in the US, so markets will have to determine whether to extend this […]

Sentiment Survey: Hopes for Trump-Led Growth “Have Largely Vanished”

financialsense.com / JILL MISLINSKI / 07/14/2017

The University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment for July came in at 93.1, down from the June Final reading of 95.1. Investing.com had forecast 95.0.

Surveys of Consumers chief economist, Richard Curtin, makes the following comments:

Confidence in future economic prospects continued to slide in early July, with […]

The CBO Scores President Trump’s Proposed Budget

financialsense.com / INDEPENDENT INSTITUTE / 07/14/2017

The Congressional Budget Office has scored President Trump’s first budget proposal. In the report, the CBO finds significant reductions in the US government’s annual budget deficits compared to their baseline estimates, which reflect their projections of how those deficits would have grown if the spending policies of the […]

CBO Scores Trump Budget Shrinking US Deficit By Half By 2027

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 13, 2017 11:30 AM

There’s good news.. and bad news. CBO has just released its ‘score’ of President Trump’s proposed budget, noting that the plan would shrink the deficit by a half from their baseline by 2017 (good news). However, even accepting Trump’s dynamic scoring and 5% […]

Deutsche Bank Warns “Markets Seem To Have Entered Frothy Territory (If Not Being In A Bubble)”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 10, 2017 10:31 AM

Another day, another warning of market froth, only this time not from the (widely ignored) Federal Reserve, but from Mikihiro Matsuoka, chief economist at Deutsche Bank who in a note released on Monday says that he believes that “the equity market in developed […]

Investigating GDP Trends and Trump’s Claim He Will Produce “4% Annual Growth”

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 9, 2017

The White House issues page titled Bringing Back Jobs And Growth claims “President Trump has outlined a bold plan to create 25 million new American jobs in the next decade and return to 4 percent annual economic growth.”

Let’s take a look at GDP trends […]

2nd Quarter GDP Estimates from ISM and Markit

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 6, 2017

On July 3, we discussed the divergence between the Markit and ISM diffusion indexes for manufacturing.

Today, let’s look at ISM Nonmanufacturing vs Markit Services.

READ MORE

Market Cap to GDP: An Updated Look at the Buffett Valuation Indicator

financialsense.com / JILL MISLINSKI / 07/05/2017

Note: This update incorporates the latest monthly close, the GDP Q1 Third Estimate data, and the latest GNP data.

Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. Back in 2001, he remarked in a Fortune Magazine […]

The Global Oil Demand Driver That Is Being Ignored

zerohedge.com / by Nick Cunningham via OilPrice.com / Jul 5, 2017 3:15 PM

When looking at oil demand, oil market analysts focus overwhelmingly on passenger vehicles. One of the hottest debates today is over the prospect of peak oil demand: whether or not electric vehicles along with general trends towards more fuel efficiency will […]

The Latest Economic Numbers Scream Civil War and World War III

thecommonsenseshow.com / By Dave Hodges / June 29th, 2017

The news headline should be, today, that Senator Dick Durbin and Bernie Sanders had direct contact with Hodgkinson prior to his assassination attempt upon the Republican congressman at the Congressional baseball team practice according to the AP. Durbin is refusing to make his email contacts […]

Here Is What You Need To Know As We Come To The End Of A Wild Trading Week

kingworldnews.com / June 30, 2017

As we come to the end of what has been a wild week of trading, here is where things stand.

June 30 (King World News) – Here is what Peter Boockvar noted as the world awaits the next round of monetary madness: Succinct Summation of the Week’s Events:

Positives 1) […]

Are Central Banks Going to Intentionally Crash the System?

news.goldseek.com / By Graham Summers / 29 June 2017

Since 2007, the world has packed on a truly staggering amount of Debt. That year (2007) is now commonly referred to as a debt bubble. At that time, global debt was $149 trillion.

Today, 10 years later, it stands at $217 trillion.

Put another way, the […]

This Is What Americans Spent The Most Money On In The First Quarter

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 29, 2017 9:57 AM

As noted earlier, it was a stronger than expected quarter for the US, in which US households reportedly spent far more than initially estimated, with Real Consumer Spending rising 1.1%, above the 0.6% expected, and contributing 0.75% to the bottom line annualized growth, […]

Final Q1 GDP Revised To 1.4% Due To Spike In Consumer Spending; Corporate Profits Tumble

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 29, 2017 8:46 AM

Moments ago the BEA released its third estimate of GDP, according to which Q1 GDP rose by 1.4% in the quarter, above the second estimate of 1.2%, and double the initial estimate of 0.7%. It was also above the consensus estimate of 1.2%, […]

New Measures of “Satisfactory”: First Quarter GDP Revised Up to a “Satisfactory” 1.4%

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / June 29, 2017

In the third and final estimate of first quarter GDP, the BEA upped its assessment of GDP from 1.2% to 1.4%. The Econoday consensus expected no change. Let’s look at the details.

The first-quarter was still weak but does get an upgrade with today’s […]

It’s Not The Downside, Where’s The Upside?

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider via Alhambra Investments / June 27, 2017

The IMF like so many others appears to have been caught up in “reflation.” Its models had in its April 2017 WEO outlook upgraded US growth prospects for the first time in a long time. In their final 2016 WEO, the […]

Italy’s newest bank bailout cost as much as its annual defense budget

sovereignman.com / by Simon Black / June 26, 2017

Two more Italian banks failed over the weekend– Banco Popolare di Vicenza and Veneto Banca.

(In other news, the sky is blue.)

The Italian Prime Minister himself stated that depositors’ funds were at risk, so the government stepped in with a bailout and guarantee package […]

Durable Goods: Another Bad Report, Diving Into Questionable Details

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / June 26, 2017

With the second quarter roughly half over (from a data delivery standpoint), we have had three reasonably good or better hard data points, and at least a dozen bad ones.

Today we have another bad data point with Durable Goods Orders down 1.1% vs an […]

The Hidden Motives Of The Chinese Silk Road

zerohedge.com / by YaleGlobal Online via OilPrice.com / Jun 25, 2017 9:00 PM

China’s Belt and Road Forum, hosted with great fanfare, signals the priority of this flagship connectivity initiative while also underlining its credentials as the new “shaper” of global trends and norms. Exhorting all countries to participate, Chinese President Xi Jinping suggested […]

The Everything Bubble Is About To Create Skyrocketing Gold Prices

kingworldnews.com / June 22, 2017

With the next global crisis rapidly approaching, the everything bubble is about to create skyrocketing gold prices.

“Gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of gentlemen, barter is the money of peasant – but debt is the money of slaves.” — Franz Norm

Staggering Debt By Ronald-Peter […]

Secular Stagnation?

mauldineconomics.com / JOHN MAULDIN / JUNE 21, 2017

In today’s Outside the Box my good friend Charles Gave shares an instructive “Tale of Two Countries.” Since 1981 in the UK and France, structural growth rates have diverged: The rate has fallen by two-thirds in France, while in the UK it has risen. Why? Well, to […]

The Fed’s Policy and Its Balance Sheet

financialsense.com / BOB EISENBEIS / 06/19/2017

At its June meeting, the FOMC again raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 1–1¼ percent. They did so despite evidence that inflation had moderated and that the second estimate of first quarter GDP growth was clearly subpar at 1.2%. Furthermore, despite […]