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Spanish Government Fearmongering: “Catalonia Faces Brutal Impoverishment If Leave Wins”

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 19, 2017

On October 1, Catalans head to the polls to vote yes or no on separation from Spain.

The Spanish government and constitutional court claim the referendum is illegal but 700 Catalonia mayors say the vote will take place.

Today Madrid launched a major fearmongering […]

BIS Finds Global Debt May Be Underreported By $14 Trillion

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 17, 2017 1:30 PM

In its latest annual summary published at the end of June, the IIF found that total nominal global debt had risen to a new all time high of $217 trillion, or 327% of global GDP…

… largely as a result of an unprecedented […]

Atlanta Fed’s Q3 Real GDP Forecast Dwindles To 2.2% From 3.0% (NY Fed Nowcast Q3 Forecast Plunges To 1.34%)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Loung / September 15, 2017

According to the Atlanta Fed, the GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2017 is 2.2 percent on September 15, down from 3.0 percent on September 8. The forecasts of real consumer […]

Jim Rickards’ “Golden Solution” To America’s Debt Crisis

zerohedge.com / by Jim Rickards via Dail

Right now, the United States is officially $20 trillion in debt. Over half of that $20 trillion was added over the past decade.

And it looks like annual deficits will be at the trillion dollar level sooner than later when projected spending is factored in.

Basically, the United […]

On Swamp Draining in Texas, Florida … and DC

mauldineconomics.com / JOHN MAULDIN / SEPTEMBER 13, 2017

For this week’s Outside the Box we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government […]

Bank of America Stumbles On A $51 Trillion Problem

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 13, 2017 10:56 AM

At the end of June, the Institute of International Finance delivered a troubling verdict: in a period of so-called “coordinated growth”, total global debt (including financial) hit a new all time high of $217 trillion in 2017, over 327% of global GDP, and up […]

“Solid Footing”… How Is The Average Joe Really Doing?

zerohedge.com / by Steven Hansen via StockBoardAsset.com / Sep 11, 2017 11:24 AM

When some think of the economy, they think of GDP. When I think of the economy, I try to visualize the average Joe and how he or she is doing.

According to Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard:

Overall, the U.S. […]

So Where Does the Money Go that Mexico Borrows?

wolfstreet.com / By Don Quijones, Spain, UK, & Mexico, editor at WOLF STREET / Sep 11, 2017

Answers emerge. Including offshore private accounts.

Mexico’s public debt-to-GDP of 50% may seem modest by today’s inflated standards, but when it comes to debt, everything is relative, especially if you don’t enjoy the benefits that come from having […]

Goldman Slashes Q3 GDP By 30% Due To Hurricane Disaster

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 10, 2017 5:20 PM

Yesterday, when commenting on the impact of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, we noted that even before the two devastating storms were set to punish Texas, Florida and the broader economy, erasing at least 0.4% GDP from Q3 GDP according to BofA and costing hundreds […]

Dollar Losses Accelerate, Adjustment not Over

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / 2017/09/09

The US dollar had one of its worst weeks of the year, as its interest rate support eroded. Despite prospects for a further upward revision in Q2 US GDP above 3.0% and continued above trend growth, the market continues to downgrade the chances of another rate hike […]

Japan Beats GDP Estimates and Misses GDP Estimates: Do you believe Bloomberg or Bloomberg?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 7, 2017

I happened to see some estimates of Japan’s GDP moments ago. The first report says Japan beat GDP estimates. The second report, four minutes later, says Japan misses GDP estimates. The headlines are both from Bloomberg.

READ MORE

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We Looked into the Effects of Hurricane Harvey and Here’s What We Found

news.goldseek.com / By Frank Holmes / 6 September 2017

Unless you’ve been away from a TV, computer or smartphone for the past week, you’ve likely seen scores of pictures and videos of the unprecedented devastation that Hurricane Harvey has brought to South Texas and Louisiana. As a Texan by way of Canada, I’d like […]

Why Houston Doesn’t Need Federal Flood Relief — In Four Charts

mises.org / Ryan McMaken / Aug 31, 2017

In his article today, Christopher Westley noted that Texas’s economy — when measured by GDP — is larger than Canada’s. In other words: If Texas were an independent country, it would be the world’s 10th largest economy (totaling $1.6 trillion), and its citizens would be more than […]

“This Is A Potentially Huge Deal” – RBC Warns Dollar Reversal Risks Grow

zerohedge.com /by Tyler Durden / Aug 31, 2017 10:00 AM

Since the plunge following North Korea’s latest missile firing, the dollar has rocketed higher on the heels of a collapse in the JPY (BoJ?) and this morning on a dump in the EUR (after leaked jawboning from ECB) for the biggest 3 day swing […]

Loonie Spikes After Canada’s Best First-Half Economic Growth In 15 Years

zerohedge.com /by Tyler Durden / Aug 31, 2017 8:52 AM

Thanks to a surge in government spending in Q2, Canada’s GDP grew at 4.5% SAAR. This is the best growth since Q3 2011 and is the best growth of all G-7 nations in Q2.

This is higher than the highest economist estimate…

READ MORE

[…]

US Second Quarter GDP Revised Sharply Higher To 3.0%, Best In Two Years

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 30, 2017 8:45 AM

In a surprise for traders – and the Fed – moments ago the BEA reported that after its first revision of Q2 GDP (a quarter which ended two months ago), the initial estimate of 2.6% was revised to 3.0%, beating expectations of a […]

The Broken State Fallacy – “No, Hurricanes Are Not Good For The Economy”

zerohedge.com / by Caroline Baum via MarketWatch.com / Aug 29, 2017 6:05 PM

Yes, GDP may get a temporary boost from rebuilding, but there’s nothing positive about destruction

Once the immediate danger of a natural disaster subsides, and the loss of life, property damage, cost of rebuilding, and degree of insurance coverage can be […]

U.S. Late Cycle Means Time to Look Abroad

Source: PFS Group, Bloomberg

financialsense.com / ROBERT BERNARD / 08/25/2017

Given the events of the last few weeks (North Korea, Charlottesville, etc.) as well as seasonality, the U.S. equity markets have moved into a correction phase. Over the last few months, the market has experienced several shallow 2%+ corrections and has snapped back within […]

GDP Forecasts: GDPNow 3.4%, Nowcast 1.9%

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / August 25, 2017

The GDP forecasts by the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model and the New York Fed Nowcast are in the same ballpark this week. The GDPNow estimate is 3.4%. The Nowcast estimate is 1.9%.

GDPNow Forecast: 3.4 Percent — August 25, 2017

The GDPNow model […]

Note On Industrial Metals & Silver, Plus Remarkable Charts Of Fed’s Balance Sheet, GDP, Inflation, Household Net Worth

kingworldnews.com / August 21, 2017

On the heels of the gold price closing in on $1,300 once again, here are some remarkable chart of the Fed’s balance sheet, GDP, inflation, household net worth, plus a note on industrial metals and silver.

Inflation, Fed, GDP, Plus Industrial Metals & Silver August 21 (King World News) – […]

So When Will China’s Debt Bubble Finally Blow Up?

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Aug 17, 2017

The upside is fake stability. The downside is too ugly to contemplate.

Corporate debt in China has soared to $18 trillion, or 169% of GDP, the largest pile of corporate debt in the world, according to the worried Bank for International Settlements. The OECD has […]

Japan GDP Surges 4%, Most In Two Years, On Jump In Government Stimulus Spending

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 13, 2017 9:01 PM

Japan’s economy grew by 1% sequentially, and 4% on an annualized basis in Q2, smashing expectations of a 2.5% print and well above the upward revised 1.5% in the first quarter; it was also the the highest quarterly growth since a 5% print in […]

As Good As It Gets?

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Joseph Y. Calhoun via Alhambra Investment / August 8, 2017

By Jeffrey Snider & Joseph Calhoun

Late 2014/early 2015 will perhaps be the closest to a real recovery from the Great “Recession” we shall see in this cycle. Q1 2015 marked the peak year over year growth rate of GDP in […]

Why Blackrock Isn’t Worried At All About Record Low Volatility

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 7, 2017 3:33 PM

Yesterday, in an extensive, eloquent essay, One River’s Eric Peters described why it’s only a matter of time before record low breaks the market’s current phase of “metastability” and explodes higher. Below is the punchline:

To sell implied volatility at current levels, […]

China’s Minsky Moment Is Imminent

zerohedge.com / by Kevin Smith, Tavi Costa, and Nils Jensen via Crescat Capital / Aug 6, 2017 6:30 PM

Crescat Capital’s Q2 letter to investors shouold be retitled “everything you wanted to know about the looming bursting of the world’s biggest credit bubble… but were afraid to ask…” Don’t say we didn’t warn you…

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