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A Big Decision Is Coming

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financialsense.com / PATRICK O’HARE via Briefing.com / 10/23/2017

Fed decision day is coming. Not the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision (although that one is coming November 1). No, we’re talking about THE decision, which will make the policy decisions at future FOMC meetings all the more riveting for […]

Asian Metals Market Update: October-12-2017

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news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 12 October 2017

Gold and silver rose as the FOMC did not say anything new on the economy or interest rate cycle. Low inflation could derail the Federal Reserve interest rate cycle. Physical gold and silver demand will be on the […]

Discipline Argues Against Consensus Narrative

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marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / October 12, 2017

Following the release of the FOMC minutes from last month’s meeting, the consensus narrative that has emerged says that it was dovish because there is a growing worry the reason inflation fell is not simply due to transitory factors. […]

FOMC Minutes Show Schizophrenic Fed Fears Low Inflation Is Here To Stay But Push For Another Rate Hike In 2017

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 11, 2017 2:05 PM

The yield curve has collapsed since The Fed’s hawkish September statement (but bank stocks have soared) as rate-hike odds hit 80%and balance sheet normalization is believed to be like watching paint dry. All eyes going into the FOMC Minutes were on just how […]

The Key Things To Look For In Today’s FOMC Minutes

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 11, 2017 12:58 PM

Looking at today’s scheduled release of Minutes from the September FOMC meeting (which at least according to one trader will be the “start of the market changeover process“), RanSquawk reminds us that the Federal Open Market Committee stood pat at the meeting, as […]

The Fed will be a New Creature Soon, and No One Knows What It’ll Look Like

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Oct 6, 2017

Markets are blowing off this uncertainty for now.

On Thursday, the Senate confirmed Randal Quarles, President Trump’s first Fed nominee, as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. During his confirmation hearing, Quarles said it was time to roll back some of the […]

Chris Whalen On The CDO-Redux & Inevitable “Catastrophic Systemic Risk Event”

zerohedge.com / by Chris Whalen via The Institutional Risk Analyst / Oct 1, 2017 5:20 PM

“The great wheel of circulation is altogether different from the goods which are circulated by means of it. The revenue of the society consists altogether in those goods, and not in the wheel which circulates them”

Adam Smith, […]

Non-Transitory Meandering

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider • September 29, 2017

Monetary officials continue to maintain that inflation will eventually meet their 2% target on a sustained basis. They have no other choice, really, because in a monetary regime of rational expectations for it not to happen would require a radical overhaul of several core […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-29-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 29 September 2017

The good thing about October is that the interest rate factor by the Federal Reserve will not be there. The next FOMC meet is on the 1st of November. The interest rate factor will not haunt gold and silver in October unless chances […]

Watch Live: Hawkish Yellen Says Fed May Have Misjudged Inflation, Labor Market

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 26, 2017 12:34 PM

Update: In her prepared remarks, Yellen crucially said,

“A more important issue from a policy standpoint is that some key assumptions underlying the baseline outlook could be wrong in ways that imply that inflation will remain low for longer than currently projected.”

[…]

Fed Stays on Course While Taking Another Step on Normalization Path

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / Sept 21, 2017

The Federal Reserve did not surprise. It did not change interest rates while announcing that its plan to begin reducing its balance sheet will begin next month. Through the economic projections, the FOMC continued to signal that a hike in December is still appropriate. In fact, […]

FX Traders Haven’t Been This Worried About An FOMC Meeting Since Last Year

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 20, 2017 11:49 AM

While equity implied vols are compressed to record lows – what could possibly go wrong with unwinding a $4 trillion balance sheet? – it appears FX traders are a little less sanguine about the market’s reaction to today’s FOMC decision.

READ MORE

[…]

Stock And Financial Markets Pause Ahead Of FOMC Statement, Yellen Comments

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jim Wyckoff via Money Morning / September 20, 2017

World stock markets were mixed in subdued trading overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.

Gold prices are higher in pre-U.S.-session trading, on bargain hunting, short covering and some safe-haven demand following a […]

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts – FOMC Tomorrow – One Step Enough For Me

jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com / 19 SEPTEMBER 2017

“That’s just the way: a person does a low down thing, and then he don’t want to take no consequences of it. Thinks as long as he can hide it, it ain’t no disgrace.”

Mark Twain, The Adventures of Huckleberry Finn

“Beware the fury of a patient man.”

John […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-19-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 19 September 2017

The trend after the FOMC meet tomorrow in precious metals and currency markets will be interesting. Global shift to electric cars over the coming years can put copper and nickel prices into inertia in the next few years. Some electric cars makers are considering […]

Markets Pause As FOMC Meeting Begins Tuesday

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jim Wyckoff via Money Morning / September 19, 2017

Global stock markets were mostly weaker overnight. U.S. stock indexes are pointed toward narrowly mixed openings when the New York day session begins.

Traders and investors worldwide are a bit cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting.

Gold prices are […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-18-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 18 September 2017

Yen as well as gold can be affected on speculation that Japanese prime minister may called a snap general election next month. But first we have the FOMC meet this week and thereafter the German general elections and later US September nonfarm payrolls on […]

FOMC Highlights Big Week

marctomarket.com / SEPTEMBER 16 / Marc Chandler

The days ahead are historic. By all reckoning, Merkel will be German Chancellor for a fourth consecutive term. Many observers expect the election to usher in a new era of German-French coordination to continue the European project post-Brexit and in the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis.

A […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-12-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 12 September 2017

Physical buyers of gold and silver will be looking for signs of a bottom formation. Premiums will rise with every fall. This is just profit taking before the Bank of England meeting on Thursday and the FOMC meet next week. I do not expect […]

The Investment Clock

financialsense.com / ALEX BARROW / 09/11/2017

The following is an excerpt from our monthly Macro Intelligence Report (MIR).

The month of September is shaping up to be an eventful one for markets.

Here’s a snapshot of what will dominate price action and news flow over the next 30 days.

North Korea’s sixth nuclear test […]

Yet Another Theory Of The Fed (Or Why A “Major Policy Shift” Looms)

zerohedge.com / by Daniel Nevins via FFWiley.com / Sep 6, 2017 12:18 PM

Take Bernanke, again. During his first FOMC stint from 2002 to 2005, the committee responded to a deflation “scare” with successive rate cuts dropping the fed funds rate to a 45-year low of 1%. In just a few years time, people would […]

Asian Metals Market Update: September-01-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 1 September 2017

Unlike August, September may not be an easy month to trade and invest. In the first half, US budgetary issues, pre FOMC speculation and political risk will drive financial markets. After the FOMC meet, early movers will start betting on global interest rate hikes […]

Core PCE Prices YoY (“Inflation”) Fall To 1.4% In July (The Dreaded Inflation Mirage)

wallstreetexaminer.com /by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / August 31, 2017

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) are frustrated in their inability to generate even 2% inflation (as they define it). Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Prices YoY for July fell to 1.40% YoY.

The PCE […]

Asian Metals Market Update: August-22-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 22 August 2017

Factors which can affect markets

If gold starts to rise and manages to trade over $1300 for a few weeks then $2000 could be a remote possibility by the end of next near. At the moment downside risk is around $170 while […]

Are Markets Sleepwalking Into A Debt Ceiling Crisis: Mnuchin Issues Another Warning

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 21, 2017 1:21 PM

Over the weekend, Morgan Stanley reminded its clients that perhaps the biggest threat facing markets over the coming weeks is the “three-headed policy monster” inside Washington: raising the debt ceiling, passing a budget and embarking on tax reform. As MS cross-asset strategist Andrew […]