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The Fed’s Third Mandate Is Official

zerohedge.com / by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog / Jun 26, 2017 12:15 PM

There has been a whole lot of ink spilled on the reason for the Fed’s recent break from data dependence. Many pundits believe the Federal Reserve’s hawkish guidance, even in the face of low inflation readings, is a […]

Data Says Fed Is Making A Mistake

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Jun 22, 2017 10:55 AM

In their policy announcement last week, the members of the FOMC claimed:

“Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately […]

Trader: “We Need Another 20 Basis Points For The Entire Narrative To Change”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 20, 2017 9:27 AM

As noted yesterday, Bloomberg trading commentator Richard Breslow refuses to jump on the bandwagon that the Fed is hiking right into the next policy mistake. In fact, he is pretty much convinced that Yellen did the right thing… she just needs some help […]

The Fed’s Policy and Its Balance Sheet

financialsense.com / BOB EISENBEIS / 06/19/2017

At its June meeting, the FOMC again raised the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 1–1¼ percent. They did so despite evidence that inflation had moderated and that the second estimate of first quarter GDP growth was clearly subpar at 1.2%. Furthermore, despite […]

Fed’s Kashkari Publishes Essay Explaining His Dissent, Chalking Up Yellen’s Decision Making to ‘Faith’

ibankcoin.com / Dr. Fly / Jun 18, 2017

Serious question, how long until Neel is out at the Fed? Clearly, he’s an independent thinker, espousing views that are very popular on Wall Street. His outward resistance against the Yellen hegemony is both entertaining and refreshing. However, I am skeptical he’ll be able to keep it […]

Hedge Funds Have Never Been This Bullish About Small-Cap Stocks

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 18, 2017 4:50 PM

The last two weeks have seen the biggest increase in hedge fund bullish Russell 2000 positions since July 2008 pushing the net speculative long position for leveraged funds to a record high.

The reflexive combination of hedge fund shorts being squeezed and FOMC Drift […]

Emerging Markets Preview: Week Ahead

marctomarket.com / Dr. Win Thin / Jun 18, 2017

EM FX was mixed Friday to cap off a mostly lower week. Obviously, we’re seeing a bit of a washout in EM after the hawkish FOMC. Market was overly complacent and very long EM going into the FOMC meeting. The big question is how deep this […]

Has The Fed Actually Raised Rates This Year

investmentresearchdynamics.com / Dave Kranzler / June 15, 2017

The answer is debatable but it depends, exactly, to which rates you are referring. The Fed has “raised,” more like “nudged,” the Fed Funds target rate about 50 basis points (one-half of one percent) this year. That is, the Fed’s “target rate” for the Fed Funds rate […]

How to Discover Unknown Market Anomalies

acting-man.com / Dimitri Speck / June 15, 2017

Seasonax Event Studies

As our readers are aware by now, investment and trading decisions can be optimized with the help of statistics. After all, market anomalies that have occurred regularly in the past often tend to occur in the future as well. One of the most interesting […]

June FOMC Announcement: Rate Hike and Balance Sheet Plans

mises.org / C.Jay Engel / June 15, 2017

June’s FOMC meeting concluded today and the meeting announcement revealed an interest rate hike of .25% to bring the Federal Funds target to between 1 and 1.25%. Additionally, we also learned that the FOMC anticipates one more rate in 2017, 3 more in 2018, and the […]

14/6/17: The Fed: Bravely Going Somewhere Amidst Rising Uncertainty

Source: @Schuldensuehner

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / Constantin Gurdgiev / June 14, 2017

Predictably (in line with the median investors’ outlook) the Fed raised its base rate and provided more guidance on their plans to deleverage the Fed’s balance sheet (more on the latter in a subsequent post). The moves came against a revision of short term […]

Goldman Revises FOMC Forecast After Third Consecutive CPI Miss

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 14, 2017 10:36 AM

First RBC, now Goldman.

After core CPI inflation was lower than expected for the third consecutive month, and the year-over-year rate fell two tenths to +1.7%, Goldman has made some changes to what it believes the Fed will report at 2pm today. It now […]

FOMC Meeting Likely to Conclude with an Interest Rate Hike

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin via Money Morning / June 14, 2017

The Dow Jones news today will focus on the conclusion of the June FOMC meeting as the Fed is expected to announce an interest rate hike. Today’s rate hike would be the third in seven months, and Dow Jones futures are up […]

In the Run-Up to the FOMC

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / June 14, 2017

The US dollar is narrowly mixed ahead of the FOMC meeting, where a dovish hike seems widely expected. The Australian dollar is leading the dollar bloc and Scandis higher. The Aussie had to shrug off soft consumer confidence a day before the monthly employment report […]

Stock Prices Climb as FOMC Debates Rate Hikes

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin • June 13, 2017

stock prices climbed as investors wait to see if the Federal Reserve will raise rates at the conclusion of the June FOMC meeting tomorrow.

Here are the numbers from Tuesday for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq:

Index Closing Point Change Percentage Change Dow Jones 21,328.47 […]

Stocks Rally Ahead of the FOMC

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Garrett Baldwin / June 13, 2017

The Dow Jones news today will be dominated by the first day of the June FOMC meeting. Dow Jones futures are up 24 points as markets prepare for the Fed to hike interest rates. In other stock market news, the Dow and the Nasdaq will […]

One Analyst Says Gold WIll Rally After FOMC

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Peter Krauth via Money Morning / June 9, 2017

As the broader market indexes have done little better than move sideways, the gold price has naturally reacted with a little weakness.

Since last Friday (June 2), the Dow Jones and S&P 500 are up just 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively. Meanwhile, with […]

Asian Metals Market Update: June-09-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 9 June 2017

It will be either boom or bust for gold, silver and crude oil in the next one week. By next Friday either bulls or bears will rest in peace. There will be nothing in between. Short term key technical supports need to be upheld […]

A2A with Alasdair Macleod of GoldMoney

http://media.tfmetalsreport.com/audio/08A2AAlasdairJun17.mp3

tfmetalsreport.com / By Turd Ferguson / June 8, 2017 at 2:30 pm

What a terrific and timely Q&A session we had Wednesday with Alasdair Macleod. Very informative and a must listen for everyone.

Among the topics Alasdair addresses:

The significance of the UK elections on Thursday. Next week’s FOMC meeting and […]

The Same Crossroads

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider / June 6, 2017

Writing earlier this year on the topic of the Fed’s future balance sheet reductions, Ben Bernanke had occasion to recount his experience from 2013. It was a stressful time for the Fed after they panicked into QE3 (and then QE4) and then almost panicked […]

May Payrolls Preview: The Tiebreaker

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jun 2, 2017 5:22 AM

After a poor March jobs report, followed by an April scorcher, the May payrolls report due at 8:30am on Friday will be the tiebreaker, not only for the current state of the economy where both soft and hard data have been deteriorating in […]

Fed Plan Falters As Euro Inflation ‘Surprise’ Sparks Bund Fears

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 26, 2017 3:26 PM

As SocGen’s Kit Juckes noted earlier in the week, “The ECB, not The Fed, is in the driving seat,” and nowhere is that more optically obvious than in the massive divergence between US-EU bond risk premia and US-EU inflation surprises.

The FOMC’s intent […]

FOMC Minutes Signal Rate-Hike “Soon”, Economic Weakness Probably “Transitory” But Need “Evidence”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 24, 2017

Having top-ticked US economic data with its March rate-hike, all eyes are on the May minutes to confirm the total lack of data-dependence now present at The Fed. The main focus of the minutes was on the ‘normalization’ of the balance sheet (since June […]

Here Is The Latest Breakdown Of Fed Hawks And Doves

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 24, 2017 12:24 PM

Ahead of today’s FOMC minutes, UBS reminds us that there has been substantial turnover on the FOMC, and so the Swiss bank has updated its periodic commentary on FOMC participants, as well as its popular “hawk-dove” chart.

While many of the actors are […]

Key Events In The Coming Week: FOMC Minutes, GDP, BOC, OPEC And More

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / May 22, 2017 9:06 AM

The key highlights in the coming week are the Fed minutes, the Eurogroup meeting on Greece, the OPEC meeting and Bank of Canada rate decision. We also get GDP releases in the US, Eurozone, and UK, while a murder (or gaggle) of Fed speaker […]