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US Monetary and Fiscal Policies

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marctomarket.com / December 12, 2017

US monetary and fiscal policies are moving. While the Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise the Fed funds target range by 25 bp, for the third time this year, Congress is trying to reconcile the House and Senate tax bills.

Treasury Secretary […]

Trouble In China? Plus A Look At Gold

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kingworldnews.com / December 11, 2017

As we kickoff trading to start the week, it appears there may be trouble brewing in China, plus a look at gold.

Trouble In China? And What Rate Hikes? December 11 (King World News) – Here is a small portion of an extremely important […]

Dollar Mixed to Start the Week, While Equities Firm

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marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / December 11, 2017

The US dollar is narrowly mixed in relatively quiet activity. Year-end adjustment is well underway, and the news stream is light to start the week that sees more than a dozen central bank meetings. There is little doubt in […]

Jerome Powell vs. Janet Yellen

sunshineprofits.com / ARKADIUSZ SIEROŃ / DECEMBER 8, 2017

As expected, Donald Trump nominated Jerome Powell as the next Federal Reserve Chair. He is often perceived as a merely Republican version of Yellen. But is that really the case? Let’s analyze in a more detailed way what impact on gold Powell’s term as the head of […]

US Homelessness Rate Rose This Year For First Time Since 2010

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 7, 2017 5:25 PM

Here’s one statistic about the US economy that you probably won’t find in President Trump’s twitter feed.

Thanks to a surge in homelessness centered around several large west coast cities, the overall rate of homelessness in the US ticked higher this year, the […]

Cometh The Hour, Cometh An Insane Cash-Hating Fed Governor – Nobody’s “Goodfriend”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Dec 6, 2017

Marvin Goodfriend is not a Fed governor yet, but it’s likely asking far too much to expect US lawmakers to block President Trump’s nomination.

Unfortunately for the American citizenry, Goodfriend (not) has all the establishment credentials which will likely see the nomination rubber-stamped: economic […]

Just How Dangerous Is Trump’s Latest Fed Board of Governors Pick?

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / DECEMBER 5, 2017

Last week, Pres. Donald Trump nominated Marvin Goodfriend to fill a vacancy on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. When we reported the news, we called him “another swamp creature” – a member of the Washington D.C./Wall Street clan Trump promised to drain away.

We’re not alone […]

Trump Picks Another Swamp Creature for Fed

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / DECEMBER 1, 2017

Pres. Donald Trump has nominated another swamp creature to sit on the Federal Reserve board of governors.

Marvin Goodfriend does not come from the ranks of politicians. He’s an academic – an economics professor at Carnegie Mellon University. But he’s perfectly suited for the role of central […]

Doug Noland: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Doug Noland Credit Bubble Bulletin / December 2, 2017

Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm boils down to four (likely soon to be five) little rate hikes over 24 months. Most lavishing praise upon Janet Yellen […]

Thinking about Interest Rates

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / November 27, 2017

The US two-year yield has risen nearly 57 bp so far this year. The Federal Reserve has hiked rates twice and is poised to raise the Fed funds target rate in a few weeks. The 10-year yield has fallen 11 bp. The decline in the […]

The Dumbest Dumb Money Finally Gets Suckered In

dollarcollapse.com / JOHN RUBINO / NOVEMBER 26, 2017

Corporate share repurchases have turned out to be a great mechanism for converting Federal Reserve easing into higher consumer spending. Just allow public companies to borrow really cheaply and one of the things they do with the resulting found money is repurchase their stock. This pushes up […]

Doug Casey on the New Fed Chair

caseyresearch.com / November 23 2017

Justin’s note: The markets and our offices are closed for the holiday. So for today’s Dispatch, I’m sharing a brand-new essay from Casey Research founder Doug Casey. Hope you enjoy…and have a wonderful Thanksgiving.

By Doug Casey, founder, Casey Research

A few words are in order about the likely new […]

Fed Worried About Lack of Inflation, Stock Market Bubble (Sort Of)

themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / Nov 22, 2017

FOMC minutes show Yellen is no longer convinced that low inflation is transitory. Other members mention bubble concerns.

Minutes of the FOMC Oct. 31-Nov. 1 meeting reflect concern inflation could stay below target longer than expected. The minutes also show a concern over bubbles.

Inflation […]

Trusting the Fed: Will the White Knight Save the Day?

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / NOVEMBER 22, 2017

As we reported last week, investors are in an era of “irrational exuberance.”

The US stock market is at all-time highs. Meanwhile, market volatility is at lows not seen since the 1990s. In an odd juxtaposition of seemingly contradictory points of view, investors realize the market is […]

A Look At Which Students Are Most Likely To Default On Their Student Debt

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 21, 2017

Since the early 2000’s the amount of student debt outstanding has grown exponentially, along with annual tuitions, and now stands at nearly $1.5 trillion. Moreover, and not terribly surprisingly, defaults on that growing mountain of student debt have also surged as graduating students quickly discover […]

Goodbye American Dream: The Average U.S. Household Is $137,063 In Debt, And 38.4% Of Millennials Live With Their Parents

theeconomiccollapseblog.com / By Michael Snyder / November 21st, 2017

Once upon a time the United States had the largest and most vibrant middle class in the history of the world, but now the middle class is steadily being eroded. The middle class became a minority of the population for the first time ever in […]

Is a December Rate Hike Necessarily Bad News for Gold?

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / NOVEMBER 17, 2017

Conventional wisdom holds that an interest rate hike in December will be bad for gold.

But will it?

There is actually evidence the opposite could be true.

Higher interest rates generally boost the dollar. This puts downward pressure on the price of gold. So, one would expect […]

Thompson Reuters GFMS Outlook: Gold Above $1,400 in 2018

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD / NOVEMBER 16, 2017

Analysts at Thomson Reuters expect the price of gold to push back over $1,300 and then continue to rise above $1,400 through next year, primarily driven by overvalued stock markets, according to the GFMS Gold Survey 2017 Q3 Update and Outlook.

Gold briefly broke through the […]

Japan’s Plea To Millennials: Please Buy Stocks

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 14, 2017

Ever since the Federal Reserve first got into the business of blowing massive equity bubbles back in the 1980’s, Americans have shown a willingness to happily, if ignorantly, embrace each successive iteration to the rigged market. Of course, as E-Trade recently confirmed via the following […]

Stockman: US Entry Into World War I Was A Disaster

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 13, 2017

103 years ago, in 1914, the Federal Reserve opened-up for business as the carnage in northern France was getting under way.

***

And it brought to a close the prior magnificent half-century era of liberal internationalism and honest gold-backed money.

The Great War was […]

Week Ahead Data and Policy

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / November 12, 2017

There seems to be a broad consensus on the trajectory of policy in the remaining weeks of the year. Barring a major shock or surprise the Federal Reserve will hike rates next month. The ECB’s course is set until at least the middle of next […]

Asian Metals Market Update: November-10-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 10 November 2017

The US dollar weakened and gold rose on suspicion that Trump’s tax cut proposal could see modifications. The next seven days is filled with market moving US economic data releases. The answer which investors will be looking for is what next after the […]

Short-Volatility Funds Are Being Flooded With Cash (VIX Evaporating)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / November 7, 2017

The SPX volatility index VIX is near an all-time low as The Federal Reserve attempts to raise their target rate and unwind their $4.46 trillion balance sheet. The question remains as to how further rate increases and balance sheet unwinding […]

Ethical behavior gives public confidence in Fed, Yellen says

gata.org / By David Harrison via The Wall Street Journal / November 7, 2017

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said Tuesday that ethical behavior from the Fed allows the public to trust it is acting on its behalf.

“The Federal Reserve’s very effectiveness in setting monetary policy depends on the public’s assured confidence that we […]

700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 8, 2017

Have we been lulled into a false sense of security about the future path of rates by ZIRP/NIRP policies? Central banks’ misguided efforts to engineer inflation have undoubtedly been woefully feeble, so far. As the Federal Reserve “valiantly” raises short rates, markets ignore its […]