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Don’t Be Confused by the Facts or Why Neither the Data nor the Fed Will Alter Market Trends

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / July 23, 2017

The data this week is expected to confirm what many investors have come to assume. The US economy accelerated in Q2. The eurozone economy is enjoying steady growth, but the momentum appears to be slowing. The UK economy was unable to recover much after a […]

David Rosenberg: “This Is The Single Most Important Thing For The Market Over The Next Decade”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 22, 2017

Several years ago, Gluskin Sheff’s superstar economist (previously at Merrill), David Rosenberg (in)famously flipped from bear to bull, predicting what amounts to a victory for the Fed: a jump in (wage) inflation, a burst in economic growth, and an overall selloff in that most deflation-dependent […]

David Stockman Warns The Market’s “Chuck Prince Moment” Has Arrived… “Only More Dangerous”

zerohedge.com / by David Stockman via Daily Reckoning / Jul 22, 2017

On July 10, 2007 former Citigroup CEO Chuck Prince famously said what might be termed the “speculator’s creed” for the current era of Bubble Finance. Prince was then canned within four months but as of that day his minions were still […]

Greg Ip: Markets urge Fed to leave them alone

gata.org / By Greg Ig, Dow Jones Newswires via Fox Business, New York / July 18, 2017

http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2017/07/19/markets-to-fed-please-leav…

Bond yields around the world have surged since the European Central Bank hinted last month that its bond buying was coming to an end, a replay of the “taper tantrum” in 2013 when the Federal Reserve caught […]

How can the Fed possibly unwind QE?

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / July 20, 2017

There are currently two important items on the Fed’s wish list. The first is to restore interest rates to more normal levels, and the second is to unwind the Fed’s balance sheet, which has expanded since the great financial crisis, principally through quantitative easing (QE). Is […]

Incoming MASSIVE Quantitative Tightening

market-ticker.org / by Karl Denninger / 2017-07-21

No, the “risk” from “quantitative tightening” is not The Fed.

Yes, the reduction of their balance sheet will be a tightening.

But you’re a fool if you think this is the only — or even the largest source of such tightening over the next number of years — […]

Money Supply Growth Falls Again, Dropping to 105-Month Low

mises.org / Ryan McMaken / July 21, 2017

Growth in the supply of US dollars fell again in May, this time to a 105-month low of 5.4 percent. The last time the money supply grew at a smaller rate was during September 2008 — at a rate of 5.2 percent.

The money-supply metric used […]

Bank Earnings & Fed Chairs

wallstreetexaminer.com / by By: R. Christopher Whalen / July 18, 2017

Earlier this week we appeared on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” to talk about bank earnings and the Fed. The results from the top-four banks – Bank America (NYSE:BAC), JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) and Citigroup (NYSE:C) – are really no surprise to readers of The […]

Cracks Appear in Philadelphia Fed Regional Manufacturing Report

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 20, 2017

Actual industrial output has been far weaker than the regional Fed manufacturing reports and the ISM report for at least a year.

Yesterday we heard from the Empire State region. Today the spotlight is on the Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey where new orders […]

One Trader Warns – Next Week’s FOMC Meeting May Not Be As “Benign” As The Market Believes

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 20, 2017 8:53 AM

If ever there was a chance for The Fed to ‘sneak’ in a rate-hike while everyone is distracted, it’s next Wednesday as Trump Jr testifies to Congress. As former FX trader Richard Breslow remarks, The Fed “woulda, coulda, shoulda [hike] next week… but […]

The Holy Grail Of Bullish Silver Statistics

milesfranklin.com / by Andrew Hoffman / Jul 19, 2017

Finally, I’ve found the statistic I’ve been searching for since 2014 – to solidify what I have always known, but couldn’t prove, about silver’s rock solid fundamental outlook. However, it will have to wait until the article’s end, given how many other, extremely important topics I […]

Gradually… And Then Suddenly

zerohedge.com / by Ben Hunt via Epsilon Theory blog / Jul 19, 2017

What do socialism and modern monetary policy have in common? Magical thinking. For both, it’s true on the giddy years up, and it’s true on the sad years down.

If you’ve been reading my notes immediately before and after the June […]

Crazy Fed Cartoons from 1912 vs Today

It's almost spooky how these cartoons are as fitting today as they were in 1912. pic.twitter.com/JYczWQWDa9

— Rudolf E. Havenstein (@RudyHavenstein) April 12, 2016

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 19, 2017

Inquiring minds may be wondering what economic cartoons from 1912 looked like. I can help.

READ MORE

Did the Fed Just Ring a Bell At the Top?

news.goldseek.com / By Graham Summers / 19 July 2017

Very few investors caught on to it, but a few weeks ago the Fed made its single largest announcement in eight years.

First let me provide some context.

For eight years now, the Fed has propped up the stock market. In terms of formal monetary […]

The Fed Has Hit the ‘Pause’ Button

wallstreetexaminer.com / by James Rickards via The Daily Reckoning / July 18, 2017

“Last week the Fed raised the white flag on further rate hikes. There won’t be any for the foreseeable future.

No rate hikes are coming at the July, September or November Fed FOMC meetings. The earliest rate hike might be at the […]

BOJ Plans To Drop Inflation Target At Thursday’s Meeting

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 18, 2017

The Bank of Japan is finally acknowledging something that Federal Reserve policy makers like San Francisco Fed President John Williams acknowledged months ago, when he published a paper highlighting the growing disconnect between the tightening labor market and consumer prices. As Credit Suisse strategist Burkhard […]

“Time To Position In Gold Is Right Now” says Jim Rickards

goldcore.com / By Mark O’Byrne / July 19, 2017

– “Time to position in gold is right now” – James Rickards – Fed has hit the ‘pause’ button; No more rate hikes for foreseeable future – Fed’s theories “bear no relation to reality” and has “blundered by raising rates” – Growth is weak, inflation […]

Have Bundesbank Agents Infiltrated the Fed?

financialsense.com / PAUL KASRIEL / 07/17/2017

Germany’s central bank is the Bundesbank. Prior to the commencement of trading of the euro in January 1999, the Bundesbank conducted Germany’s monetary policy. The Bundesbank has a reputation for pursuing general price-level stability above all else. You might say that the Bundesbank has inflation phobia. The reason […]

BNP Fined $246MM After Its Traders Were Found To Still Use Chat Rooms To Rig FX Trading

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 17, 2017 2:13 PM

Two months after the Fed fined Deutsche Bank a paltry $157 million for manipulating currency markets after the German bank’s traders were found to be using “chat rooms” to rig FX trading, we learn that there was more gambling going on here, and on […]

The Worst Performing Asset Class Since Trump’s Election-Really?

milesfranklin.com / by Andrew Hoffman / Jul 17, 2017

Following Friday’s retail sales catastrophe, interest rates plunged, and the market-based odds of further Fed rate hikes declined to just 8% in September and 48% in December. Led, of course, by begrudging Wall Street cheerleaders like Goldman Sachs’ ALWAYS wrong Chief Economist, “Hapless Hatzius.” Who, […]

Bank Of America Explains What Federer’s Victory Means For Fed Monetary Policy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 16, 2017 3:37 PM

On Sunday, Roger Federer did what many in recent years said was impossible, when he won his record, 8th Wimbledon title, defeating Croatia’s Cilic in straight sets.

Away from the court, the victory may be an ominous sign for EM bears. As Bloomberg’s […]

Market Liquidity Conditions Are Still Loose As A Goose

zerohedge.com / Via Global Macro Monitor / Jul 16, 2017

Since the Fed began raising interest rates in December 2015, financial market liquidity conditions have loosened considerably. Recall our post, Orwellian Monetary Policy, which we wrote in May.

“Tightening is Easing”

Since U.S. monetary policy began tightening in December 2015, the […]

Goldman Is Troubled By The Fed’s Growing Warnings About High Asset Prices

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 16, 2017

With both the S&P, and global stock markets, closing last week at new all time highs, it is safe to say that any and all warnings about “froth“, and perhaps a bubble in the market, as Deutsche Bank characterized it last week have been […]

Focus Shifts from Fed to ECB

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / July 16, 2017

The focus shifts in the week ahead from Yellen’s testimony and disappointing data to the ECB meeting which is expected to result in a further modest adjustment in its risk assessment. While the focus shifts, the pressure on the dollar will likely remain. It fell […]

Jobs and Inflation: Gradually and Then Suddenly

wolfstreet.com / By Ben Hunt, Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners / Jul 13, 2017

The Fed and the ECB believe they can tighten and taper without killing the market so long as they jawbone this constantly.

If you’ve been reading my notes immediately before and after the June Fed meeting (“Tell My […]