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Curious Results: Hurricane Harvey Impacts National Activity, Not Dallas Region Activity

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 25, 2017

Those looking for further proof that the Fed regional activity reports are totally bogus can find it in a pair of Fed economic reports today.

Let’s investigate the divergence between the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index.

Dallas Fed […]

Whatever The Fed Does… It’s Bullish

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Sep 24, 2017 2:30 PM

It’s Bullish…

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve announced the latest decision by the Federal Open Market Committee with respect to monetary policy. That decision contained two primary components:

No rate hike currently, although, as expected, announcements of further rate hikes in the […]

Broken Velocity: Yellen’s Low Inflation Quandary (Hint: FHFA Home Price Index Growing At 6.62% YoY)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / September 21, 2017

Here is a brief summary of Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s thoughts from yesterday courtesy of Deutsche Bank’s Peter Hooper: The Fed is on track to raise rates once more this year and three times in 2018. Yellen recognized that inflation […]

Weekend Reading: Yellen Takes Away The Punchbowl

zerohedge.com / by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com / Sep 22, 2017 5:00 PM

September 20th, 2017 will likely be a day that goes down in market history.

It will either be remembered as one of the greatest achievements in the history of monetary policy experiments, or the beginning of the next bear market or worse.

[…]

We Saw the Fed’s “Major Announcement” Coming – Here’s What to Do Now

suremoneyinvestor.com / LEE ADLER / September 21, 2017

Despite the hype surrounding yesterday’s meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (the monetary policy arm of the Federal Reserve), the announcement that followed doesn’t change a thing.

That’s right, nothing. Neither the FOMC statement itself nor Fed Chair Janet Yellen told us anything that the Fed […]

Household Wealth Hits A Record $96.2 Trillion… There Is Just One Catch

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 21, 2017

In the Fed’s latest Flow of Funds report, today the Fed released the latest snapshot of the US “household” sector as of June 30, 2017. What it revealed is that with $111.4 trillion in assets and a modest $15.2 trillion in liabilities, the net worth […]

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts – Not With a Bang, But a Whimper

jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com / 21 SEPTEMBER 2017

“Love does not make you weak, because it is the source of all strength, but it makes you see the nothingness of the illusory strength on which you depended before you knew it.”

Léon Bloy

Stocks were a little wobbly today, although the VIX continued to be at quite […]

Bill Blain: “Let’s Pretend”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 21, 2017 9:30 AM

Blain’s Morning Porridge – Fed Acts, ECB Smoking – but what?

The Fed acts. Normalisation. Hints of a rate rise in December, confirmation of further “data-dependent” hikes to come next year, and ending the reinvestment of QE income. Exactly as expected – although some […]

“So What Did We Learn From Yellen?”: Deutsche, Goldman Explain

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 21, 2017

For those still unsure what Yellen’s rambling, disjointed press conference meant yesterday, or are still in shock over the Fed’s admitted confusion by the “mystery” that is inflation, here is a quick recap courtesy of Deutsche Bank and Goldman, explaining what we (probably) learned […]

September 2017 FOMC Meeting and Gold

sunshineprofits.com / ARKADIUSZ SIEROŃ / SEPTEMBER 21, 2017

Yesterday, the Fed released its most recent monetary policy statement. How can it affect the financial markets?

In line with expectations, the Fed kept the federal funds rate target unchanged at between 1.00 and 1.25 percent:

“In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, […]

Spot The Moment Inflation Turned Exponential

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 20, 2017

In the aftermath of a surreal Janet Yellen press conference, in which the Fed chair admitted that Fed “no longer understands” the “mystery” that is inflation, we did our best to explain to Yellen that the reason why the Fed’s search for inflation has been […]

Running Out The Clock; They Really Don’t Know What They Are Doing

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Jeffrey P. Snider / September 20, 2017

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Alhambra Investments. To view original, click here. Reposted with permission.

If it wasn’t perfectly clear before, and it really was, there is no way it isn’t now. The Fed is not in any way data dependent. The […]

Is the Fed About to Burst the Largest Debt Bubble in History?

gainspainscapital.com / Graham Summers / September 20, 2017

Let the farce begin.

The Fed meets today to discuss whether or not to begin shrinking its balance sheet. The financial media informs us that this is the single most important Fed meeting in years and that its coming announcement is a game-changer.

Give me a […]

Market Digests Fed, Greenback Consolidates, Antipodeans Tumble

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 21, 2017

The market has mostly interpreted the Fed’s action in line with our thinking. Despite the lowering of the long-run Fed funds rate, the shifting one of the three hikes from 2019 into 2020, and recognizing that the weaker price impulses are somewhat mysterious, the Fed […]

Questions Remain as the Fed Finally Begins to Reverse QE

mises.org / Tho Bishop / September 21, 2017

Today the Federal Reserve announced that it will finally begin the process of reversing quantitative easing. Following the process it outlined earlier this year, the Fed will start allowing assets (Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities) to mature off its balance sheet, rather than re-investing them as had […]

‘Hawkish’ Fed Fail? Yield Curve Flattens Most Since 2016 As Dollar Spikes

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 20, 2017 4:02 PM

More dismal housing data, a VIX 9 handle, and bank stocks ripping higher (despite a big flattening in the yield curve) – just another day in Fed-land…

Stocks and the long bond unchanged post-Fed, Gold down and dollar up…

 

READ MORE

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Fed Stays on Course While Taking Another Step on Normalization Path

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / Sept 21, 2017

The Federal Reserve did not surprise. It did not change interest rates while announcing that its plan to begin reducing its balance sheet will begin next month. Through the economic projections, the FOMC continued to signal that a hike in December is still appropriate. In fact, […]

This Fed is on a Mission

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter • Sep 20, 2017

QE Unwind starts Oct. 1. Rate hike in Dec. Low inflation, no problem.

The two-day meeting of the FOMC ended on Wednesday with a momentous announcement that has been telegraphed for months: the QE unwind begins October 1. It marks the end of an era.

[…]

Will The Fed Really “Normalize” It’s Balance Sheet?

investmentresearchdynamics.com / Dave Kranzler / September 20, 2017

To begin with, how exactly does one define “normalize” in reference to the Fed’s balance sheet? The Fed predictably held off raising rates again today. However, it said that beginning in October it would no longer re-invest proceeds from its Treasury and mortgage holdings and let the […]

Balance Sheet Reduction Starts October: Like “Watching Paint Dry”

Despite the Dot Plot, I am confident we are much closer to the end of hikes than the start of them. https://t.co/8HN1V1X3o0 pic.twitter.com/Fz7yK5DYvq

— Mike Mish Shedlock (@MishGEA) September 20, 2017

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 20, 2017

As expected the Fed will begin balance sheet reduction in […]

Fed’s Asset Bubbles Now At The Mercy Of The Rest Of The World’s Central Bankers

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 20, 2017 10:28 AM

“Like watching paint dry,” is how The Fed describes the beginning of the end of its experiment with massively inflating its balance sheet to save the world. As former fund manager Richard Breslow notes, however, Yellen’s decision today means the risk-suppression boot is […]

September 2017 FOMC Preview Gold

sunshineprofits.com / ARKADIUSZ SIEROŃ / SEPTEMBER 20, 2017

The Federal Reserve is due to release the statement from their September meeting. What can we expect and how can it affect the gold market?

First, the Fed is expected to leave interest rates unchanged. The market probability of a rate hike this month is about 1.4 […]

Federal Reserve Will Continue Cutting Economic Life Support

alt-market.com / Brandon Smith / Wednesday, 20 September 2017

I remember back in mid-2013 when the Federal Reserve fielded the notion of a “taper” of quantitative easing measures. More specifically, I remember the response of mainstream economic analysts as well as the alternative economic community. I argued fervently in multiple articles that the Fed […]

Shrinkage and Beyond

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 20, 2017

After much anticipation, the FOMC decision day is here. Much of the focus is on the likely decision that the Fed will allow its balance sheet to shrink gradually. No other country who employed quantitative easing has is in a position to begin unwinding the […]

Fed to Launch Quantitative Tightening – Should You Be Worried?

financialsense.com / MATTHEW KERKHOFF / 09/19/2017

Expectations are currently that the Federal Reserve will announce plans to begin unwinding its balance sheet this Wednesday. When you consider that the Fed currently owns around 29% of the market for mortgage-backed securities and 17% of the market for Treasuries, you might be tempted to scream OMG!

[…]