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The Thrill Is Gone! Treasury Curve (10Y-2Y) Remains Under 70 BPS As 10Y Term Premium Remains Negative

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wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders / November 8, 2017

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Snake Hole Lounge. To view original,click here. Reposted with permission.

BB King sang it best with “The Thrill Is Gone.”

Now that hopes for tax reform are gone (probably for […]

Too Safe to Fail: Implied Default Rate for European Junk Bond is Negative 1.1%

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themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / November 9, 2017

Apparently, European junk bonds are too safe to fail. Fundstrat Global Advisors’ Thomas Lee says the market-implied default rate for a European junk bond sits at a negative 1.1%.

Please consider Investors Price European Junk Debt as Too […]

China: Shadow Bank Inflows Are Critical To Sustain The Ponzi… But They’re Falling

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zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Nov 3, 2017

During the Party Congress, even China’s somewhat watered down versus of the free markets was suspended so as not to disturb the glorification of Xi Jinping as the nation’s greatest leader since Mao. Returning to “business as usual”, […]

When Will Rising Yields Benefit Gold?

news.goldseek.com / By Jordan Roy-Byrne / Tuesday, 31 October 2017

Over the past two years, Gold has been inversely correlated to bond yields. In a low inflation environment, falling bond yields drive real interest rates lower which benefits Gold. Conversely, rising yields are generally negative for Gold. When long-term yields exploded higher in […]

S&P Futures Slide After Chinese Stock And Bond Rout; Spain Rebounds, Dollar Drops

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 30, 2017

U.S. futures slid 0.2% as investors await a barrage of announcements including Wednesday’s Fed decision, Friday’s jobs report and, most importantly Trump’s imminent announcement of who the next Fed chairman will be, although after the latest trial balloons, Jay Powell is now largely priced in. […]

Another Bear Capitulates: “Dude, Where’s My Emerging-Market Contagion?”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Oct 16, 2017

Just a few days Bloomberg’s macro commentator Richard Breslow once again capitulated to this market which just refuses to post even the smallest downtick as it enters its blow off top phase, saying it is a bubble, but you have no choice but to buy […]

More Sideline Cash Nonsense From Bloomberg and Merrill Lynch

themaven.net / by Mike Mish Shedlock / October 11, 2017

Bank of America analysts claim to have discovered a new source of corporate bond buying: High net worth individuals holding piles of cash. The analysts say there is “plenty of pent-up demand”. In reality, neither the Bloomberg writer nor the BoA analysts understand how […]

An Accountant Smells a Rat – Peter Diekmeyer

sprottmoney.com / By Peter Diekmeyer / October 2, 2017

Twenty years ago Doug Noland was so worried about imbalances surrounding the dot.com boom that he began to title his weekly reports “The Credit Bubble Bulletin. Years later, he warned the world about the impending 2008 crisis.

However a coming implosion, he says, could be […]

Market Report: Rising bond yields

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / September 29, 2017

Since 7 September, the yield on the 5-year US Treasury bond has risen from 1.64% to 1.9%. There can be little doubt that this move, and the potential for this yield to exceed 2% is having a negative impact on precious metals. To ram the point […]

Small Caps Surge Most Since Election As Bonds Suffer Worst Rut In Over 50 Years

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 27, 2017 4:01 PM

Today in Small Caps…

Small Caps exploded over 2% higher – the biggest gain since the election – on Trump Tax hype… (we note that market did roll over a little once Trump began speaking)

READ MORE

[…]

Bank Stocks, Bullion, & Bond Yields Jump Ahead Of Fed As Small-Cap VIX Hits Record Low

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 19, 2017 4:03 PM

up…

While Small Caps and Trannies ended red, the other major indices held on to gains (record highs for Dow, S&P), though Mexico City’s quake took some shine off in ther afternoon…

READ MORE

[…]

Deutsche Bank: “Global Asset Prices Are The Most Elevated In History”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 18, 2017

In an extensive report published this morning by Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, the credit strategist looks at the “Next Financial Crisis”, and specifically what may cause it, when it may happen, and how the world could respond assuming it still has means to counteract the […]

“It Blows My Mind”: 100-Year Austrian Bond With Record Duration 3x Oversubscribed

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 13, 2017

As we reported yesterday, Austria was set to make Eurozone history with the first sale of a 100 year bond direct to public markets, bypassing private syndication. It did that later in the day, when the €3.5 billion offering priced tighter than initially marketed, at […]

If Everything’s So Awesome, Why Did This Happen Yesterday?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 12, 2017

Monday saw US equities ramp exuberantly on the back of a one-way street in USDJPY as the narrative proclaimed that “the world didn’t end” and therefore we should buy stocks. There’s just one thing…

The biggest bond ETF in the world saw the biggest […]

The Strippers: US Treasuries Held In Stripped Form Surging

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders / September 11, 2017

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Snake Hole Lounge. To view original,click here. Reposted with permission.

US Treasuries securities held in stripped form has surged since May 2016. The Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal of Securities program, STRIPS, program is flourishing.

[…]

Dollar & Bond Yields Plunge As Cohn Doubts, A Draghi Dud, & Debt Ceiling Denials Dominate

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 7, 2017 4:02 PM

Ugly jobs data (hopefully transitory), uglier energy industry data, and ugliest comments from Trump on throwing away any fiscal restraint with the debt-ceiling bathwater left the dollar down, stocks lower, and bonds and bullion bid…

Was this Gary Cohn driven?

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[…]

Draghi Does not Stop Euro from Rising

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 7, 2017

Draghi talked but said little new. As the leaks suggested, the calibration of the asset purchases will be announced next month. However, Draghi left no doubt that substantial accommodation is still judged necessary, indicating that the bond buying program will be extended into next year, […]

One Trader’s “Pathetic Attempt To Justify A Bond Short”

zerohedge.com / Authored by Kevin Muir via The Macro Tourist blog / Sep 6, 2017 2:00 PM

For bond bears like myself, yesterday was an ugly day. Fixed income prices ripped higher, egged on by continued escalations of the North Korea situation with an added dose of poor economic reports for good measure. Some dovish […]

U.S. Banks Precious Metals Derivative Exposure Surged In The Beginning Of 2017

srsroccoreport.com / Steve St. Angelo / AUGUST 23, 2017

According to the most recent report on the U.S. Financial Institutions Derivatives trading activity, the U.S. banks held a record amount of precious metals contracts in the first quarter of 2017. Not only did the U.S. banks report a record amount of precious metals contracts, […]

Banks, Treasury Get Antsy about QE Unwind. Stock & Bond Markets in Denial

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / Aug 21, 2017

“Let markets clear.” It’ll be just “a financial engineering shock.”

Stock and bond markets are in denial about the effects of the Fed’s forthcoming QE unwind, whose kick-off is getting closer by the day, according to the minutes of the Fed’s July meeting.

“Several participants” […]

Foreign Banks’ Have a Greater Impact on This Bull Market Than You May Think

suremoneyinvestor.com / LEE ADLER / August 21, 2017

The Fed and the US Treasury are the 800 pound gorillas of the US stock and bond markets. Their actions have largely determined the direction of the markets for the past 15 years.

That’s why I developed the LAMPP indicator to track their combined impact, and […]

Lord Rothschild: “Share Prices Are At Unprecedented Levels, This Is Not A Time To Add Risk”

Gross: Global yields lowest in 500 years of recorded history. $10 trillion of neg. rate bonds. This is a supernova that will explode one day

— Janus Henderson U.S. (@JHIAdvisorsUS) June 9, 2016

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 19, 2017

One year ago, the financial world was abuzz when […]

“Visions Of Cataclysms”: Why Eric Peters Is Starting A Long-Vol Fund

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Aug 6, 2017

Is the recent streak of record low volatility about to end?

While countless analysts, pundits and traders have previously talked their book (if not staked their reputation) on claims VIX is set for an imminent mean-reverting spike, so far that has not happened and in […]

What Bond Traders Are Most Worried About Right Now

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Jul 18, 2017

The latest monthly survey of credit investors from Bank of America, released overnight, shows the same familiar paradox we have seen ever since the start of the year: most survey respondents are allegedly scared worried about geopolitics and a concerned that the market is a […]

Gold Awaits Fundamental Shift

news.goldseek.com / By Jordan Roy-Byrne / Sunday, 9 July 2017

Last week we wrote that Gold’s poor performance in real terms could reflect its worsening fundamentals. Real interest rates are rising because the rate of inflation has peaked and bond yields are rebounding. It is a double whammy for precious metals. This is not […]