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Deutsche Bank’s Meteoric Crash Draws Closer, as Markets Brace for Impact

thewealthwatchman.com / SEPTEMBER 30, 2016 

Market Rumblings

Hello brothers, this week we take a look at the enormous market problems being caused by Deutsche Bank. We specifically talk about things like:

-The HUGE share price drop, and how low Deutsche’s share price has gone…

-Which troubled company is now worth more Deutsche Bank…

-The amount of derivatives that Deutsche is involved with,and why no one can fix ultimately fix it…

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They Know a Bargain When They Make It

silver-coin-investor.com / By Dr. Jeffrey Lewis / Sep 29, 16

This title comes from a comment on Ted Butler’s undisputed claim of JP Morgan’s accumulation of upwards of 500 million ounces of physical silver (or nearly 11,000 tons) over the last four to five years.

This accumulation occurred during a time of horrible sentiment and subdued retail demand. “They Know a Bargain When They Make It” puts the whole issue of manipulation into perspective. It’s almost perfect, capturing, in essence, what the great conspiracy all comes down to in the end. They are making themselves a bargain, because they can.

The issue of gold and silver price manipulation has been circulated and documented among the backwater of blogs and alternative (world-local) publications for decades, led by Ted Butler and the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee.

For now, the COMEX is the center of price discovery. The most volume. The most inventory. The most well developed. One of the largest known stockpiles.

Paper futures are derivatives of physical metal held within a complex system of warehouses moving incredible amounts of inventory and huge percentages of annual production each day and week. Silver movement far outstrips every other commodity.

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Deutsche Bank CEO Writes Memo To Employees, Blames “Speculators”, Confirms Liquidity Flight

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 30, 2016

Instead of doing what many have correctly suggested he should be doing, namely focusing on ways to raise more capital for the undercapitalized Deutsche Bank in order to stem the slow (at first) liquidity leak, first thing this morning CEO John Cryan issued another morale-boosting note to employees of Deustche Bank who have been watching their stock price crash to another record low, dipping under €10 in early trading for the first time ever. In the memo the embattled CEO worryingly did what Dick Fuld and other chief executives did when they felt the situation slipping out of control, namely blaming evil “rumor-spreading” shorts, saying “our bank has become subject to speculation. Ongoing rumours are causing significant swings in our stock price. … Trust is the foundation of banking. Some forces in the markets are currently trying to damage this trust.

Just as important, Cryan confirms the Bloomberg report that “a few of our hedge fund clients have reduced some activities with us. That is causing unjustified concerns.” As we explained last night, the concerns are very much justified if they spread to the biggest risk-factor for the German bank: its depositors, which collectively hold over €550 billion in liquidity-providing instruments.

He then tries to sweep the concerns under the rug saying that “We should consider this in the context of the bigger picture: Deutsche Bank overall has more than 20 million clients.” Of course, however by the time the “context” switches over to the rest of the clients, or even a small portion of them, namely the depositors, it would be too late as by then the retail bank run will have begun.

Finally, Cryan confirms that there has been a liquidity outflow, when he says that the bank’s liquidity reserves currently “amount to more than 215 billion euros.” Considering just last night we estimated the liquidity reserves were €223 billion as of June 30, it appears there has been a modest outflow, even when accounting for the recent disposal of the British insurer Abbey Life.

In other words, Cryan once again fails to provide a clear plan how he will short up the bank’s deteriorating liquidity, no mention of a capital raise or approach of the ECB, and most importantly, no specifica plan how to recover crumbling trust in the world’s “most systematically important bank.”

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Deutsche Bank: What the Hell is Going On?

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 30, 2016

Deutsche banks shares are plunging again in morning European tradings. It’s 4:13 AM in Chicago, but Germany is seven hours ahead making it 11:13 AM in Germany.

Deutsche Bank shares today set yet another record low in price. The Telegraphreports Deutsche Bank rout deepens: Shares plunge below €10 for first time ever.

What is going on?

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Market Report: Option expiry and Deutsche Bank

wealth.goldmoney.com / BY ALASDAIR MACLEOD / SEPTEMBER 30, 2016

Gold and silver drifted lower over the week, in falls which are commonly accepted to reflect prices being massaged ahead of option expiry on Comex.

Gold lost $16 to $1325, and silver, 58 cents to $19.11 in early European trade this morning (Friday). If this sort of thing happened on a regulated market in London, the regulators would be crawling all over the suspected riggers. But hey, it’s America.

Putting this behind us, we should focus on the rapidly developing banking crisis in Germany and on its impact on the US dollar. These are separate issues, but they are much intertwined.

This week, a collapse of Deutsche Bank was openly discussed in the general media, and there are signs that institutional depositors in wholesale money markets have begun to minimise their exposure. The result is that DB’s shares on Wall Street last night dropped 7% into new low ground and continued this weakness overnight (Thursday/Friday) into the Frankfurt opening in heavy volume.

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Will The ECB Buy Stocks?

zerohedge.com / by Nick Kounis and Kim Liu / Sep 30, 2016

  • Debate about the ECB’s stimulus options have continued to rage, with an equity purchase plan mentioned as a possibility
  • We think the ECB could legally buy ETFs that fit its requirements…
  • … but it would be controversial and we question the benefits
  • An ETF programme could total EUR 200bn, which would not be large compared to the overall QE programme
  • …and assuming a market-weighted allocation, it would benefit the core more than the periphery…
  • …while it is questionable whether it would have a major sustained impact on equity prices, economic growth and inflation
  • The risk of losses is higher for equities than investment-grade credit
  • Ultimately, we do not think that the ECB will follow other central banks and turn to buying equities via ETF purchases any time soon, if at all

We consider whether the ECB will turn to equity purchases

The ECB stepped up its unconventional policy around the middle of 2014, by taking its deposit rate into negative territory. Early in 2015, it launched a large-scale QE programme focused on public sector bonds. Since then it has added regional bonds and investment-grade credit bonds to the mix. Despite the positive effects on financial conditions, the outlook for growth and inflation remains disappointing. At the same time, there are market concerns that there are not enough bonds available to be bought and that current monetary policy is losing its effectiveness. This has led to questions about what else the ECB can add to its policy mix. In this research note, we consider whether the ECB will turn to equity purchases. We first look at whether equity purchases are possible from a legal and practical perspective and what such a programme could look like. We then go on to assess how effective buying equities would be in boosting equity prices, and hence growth and inflation, drawing on the experience of Japan. Finally, we look at the risks that the ECB would be exposing itself to. We do this in a Q&A format.

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In New Orleans you can’t lose — unless you miss Friday’s room reservation deadline

gata.org / By Brien Lundin / Thursday, September 29, 2016

You may be missing out on a fortune.

Hundreds of investors are multiplying their money as much as five times within weeks. They’re discovering junior gold stocks that quickly turn $10,000 into as much as $300,000, and sometimes much more.

And I’m going to show you a guaranteed ticket to finding the next big winners.

I’m going to show you a secret that changed my life 12 years ago. It involves a handful of powerful factors that rarely come together. But when they do, they spin out fortunes like nothing else.

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REALIST NEWS – Cancer: Promising Results with Dandelion Root/Tea

jsnip4Published on Sep 30, 2016

Cheat Sheet: The Third Party Presidential Candidates

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 30, 2016

It’s coming closer to election time, and it’s hard to shake the feeling that something crazy or unprecedented could happen in the coming months.

Trump and Clinton are the most disliked presidential candidates in history, both having an “unfavorable” image with the majority of the U.S. population. Meanwhile, according to a recent Pew Research poll, only 24% of registered voters feel that the next generation of Americans will be better off than folks today.

PICKING UP STEAM

But, as Visual Capitalist’s Jeff Desjardins notes, for the first time in almost 20 years, the third-party candidates are getting attention across the board. Gary Johnson (Libertarian) and Jill Stein (Green) are even getting regular mainstream coverage from outlets such as CNNVoxThe Washington PostThe NY TimesForbes, and The Wall Street Journal.

The poll numbers for Johnson and Stein are respectable, especially among the millennial crowd where they garner around 40% of voter support. When it comes to the general electorate, however, average poll numbers are more muted with Johnson averaging 9% and Stein 3%.

The numbers are not enough to meet the arbitrary 15% threshold for the first round of debates, but the third-party candidates are starting to pick up steam in other areas. For example, Gary Johnson just shattered a fundraising record for the Libertarian Party by raising $5 million in August. Meanwhile, Stein is preparing for a major publicity stunt at Hofstra University in New York – the site of the first Presidential Debate on September 26th.

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DEUTSCHE BANK HANGS BY A THREAD ON EVE OF JUBILEE

dollarvigilante.com / JEFF BERWICK / SEPTEMBER 30, 2016 

Nearly a year ago to the day, on September 28th, we wrote “Will Deutsche Bank Be This Cycle’s Lehman Brothers?

In it we asked, “In 2008, the financial crisis was set-off by the collapse of Lehman Brothers.  Could this year’s crisis be caused by a collapse of Deutsche Bank?”

The day after the end day of the Shemitah in 2015, on September 14th, Deutsche Bank announced that it was laying off 23,000 employees, about 25% of its workforce.

At the time, it was trading around $26 per share.

Now, on the eve of the end of the Jubilee Year, Deutsche Bank was down another 7% on Thursday and is now at an all-time low near $11.50.

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REALIST NEWS – Deutsche Bank: Global Margin Calls Begin

jsnip4Published on Sep 30, 2016

FBI Investigating More Dead People Voting In The Key Swing State Of Virginia

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 29, 2016

For years the political elites, backed by funding from George Soros, have fought common sense voter ID laws as blatant attempts of racist right wingers to suppress the votes of minority and low-income citizens.  These same people tirelessly argue that there is no evidence of voter fraud despite the mountain of facts that keeps piling up the contrary.  In fact, per the National Review, United States District Judge Lynn Adelman of Wisconsin, in response to a voter ID complaint in that state, recently claimed that “virtually no voter impersonation occurs” in Wisconsin and that “no evidence suggests that voter-impersonation fraud will become a problem at any time in the foreseeable future.”

Well, we guess that could be true if the pesky facts would just stop getting in the way.  According to research conducted by the Pew Research Center in 2012, the capacity for voter fraud in the U.S. is substantial with nearly 2mm dead people found to be registered voters and nearly 3mm people registered in multiple states.

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German Private Health Insurance up 11% Thanks to Pension Crisis

armstrongeconomics.com / by Martin Armstrong / Sep 30, 2016

Private health insurance in Germany now faces a massive contribution increase in 2017 of more than 11%. Add to this the banking crisis and we will start to see the core economy in Europe turn down really hard. This will impact about 9 million people who are privately insured. The industry needs the money, which they could not achieve in the capital markets. The increase is also caused by higher pension costs. 

SOURCE

Greg Hunter-Weekly News Wrap-Up 9.30.16

Greg HunterPublished on Sep 29, 2016

US Outcry Over Syria… Tears Followed By NATO Bombs

zerohedge.com / by Finian Cunningham / Sep 29, 2016

The crescendo of US-led condemnations against Syria and Russia over alleged humanitarian crimes in Syria grows louder by the day. The eerie sense is that this «outcry» is being orchestrated as a prelude to a NATO-style intervention in Syria.

Such a NATO maneuver would follow the template for former Yugoslavia and Libya, leading to greater civilian deaths, territorial disintegration, a surge in regional terrorism and more international lawlessness by Western states.

The concerted, emotive appeals over the past week – bordering on hysteria – indicate a propaganda campaign coordinated between Washington and its Western allies, the mass media and the US-led NATO military alliance.

It was US ambassador the United Nations Samantha Power who led the chorus of accusations against Russia and its Syrian ally, using the Security Council emergency meeting last weekend to condemn «barbarism» of renewed violence around the northern Syrian city of Aleppo. Britain and France piled in with more unsubstantiated condemnations of war crimes, as did shameless UN officials, Ban Ki-Moon, the secretary general, and Staffan de Mistura, the UN’s special envoy to Syria.

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Dollar Finishing Week on Firm Note

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 30, 2016

True to its recent habit, the US dollar is finishing the week on a firm note.  On the month, though, the greenback has fallen against most of the majors, but sterling, the Canadian dollar, and the Swedish krona.
Global equities are trading heavily, and investors’ angst is lending support to bond markets.  The concerns about the contagion effect emanating from Germany’s largest bank is taking a toll on sentiment.   Deutsche Bank stock fell to a new record low in the European morning but has turned higher in subsequent turnover.  Nevertheless, the financial sector is Europe is off twice what the loss of the overall market.  The Dow Jones Stoxx 600 is off 1%, while the financial sector is off more than 2%.  Italian banks share index is off 2.5% and is near two-month lows.

The MSCI Asia-Pacific Index fell 1%, to record its largest loss in three weeks.
  Japan’s Topix was off 1.5%, with financials off 2.2%.  Chinese stock markets managed to buck the trend to post minor gains, but even in Shanghai, banks shares ended lower.  Separately, China’s Caixin manufacturing PMI edged to 50.1 from 50.0.  The average in Q3 was 50.2.  That is the highest quarterly average since Q3 2014, and provides another piece of data suggesting that Chinese economy has stabilized, albeit at lower levels and with higher debt.   Chinese markets are closed the next week for national holidays, though official PMI data will be reported over the weekend.

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FSS Weekly Live Report – Catching Rain Water – Capturing Bees – Making A Map – part 2

FullSpectrumSurvivalStreamed live 10 hours ago

4 States Sue To Block Obama’s Internet Transition Set For Tomorrow Night

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 29, 2016

The US government, much to the chagrin of Senator Ted Cruz, is set to officially relinquish the Department of Commerce’s oversight of the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) as of tomorrow night at midnight.  ICANN is a California nonprofit that has supervised website domains since 1998, essentially under subcontract from the Commerce Department. Under the Obama transition plan oversight by the U.S. Commerce Department would end and be replaced by a multi-stakeholder community, which would include the technical community, businesses, civil society and governments.

Cruz had attempted to block the internet transition by tying the recently passed funding bill to the reversal of the ICANN turnover.  That said, apparently his harsh admonishments on the Senate floor failed to draw enough support from his fellow republicans to force a government shutdown over the topic.

“In 22 short days, if Congress fails to act, the Obama administration intends to give away control of the Internet to an international body akin to the United Nations,” Sen. Cruz said. “I rise today to discuss the significant, irreparable damage this proposed Internet giveaway could wreak not only on our nation, but on free speech across the world.”

“The Obama administration is instead pushing through a radical proposal to take control of Internet domain names and instead give it to an international organization, ICANN, that includes 162 foreign countries. And if that proposal goes through, it will empower countries like Russia, like China, like Iran to be able to censor speech on the Internet, your speech. Countries like China, Russia, and Iran are not our friends, and their interests are not our interests.

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50 Slides for Gold Bulls – The New Incrementum Chart Book

acting-man.com / Pater Tenebrarum / September 30, 2016

A Companion Update to this Year’s “In Gold We Trust” Report

Our good friends Ronnie Stoeferle and Mark Valek of Incrementum AG have just published a new chart book, which recaps and updates charts originally shown in this year’s 10th anniversary edition of the “In Gold We Trust” report and provides an overview of recent developments relevant to the gold market. The chart book can be downloaded in PDF form via the link at the end of this post.

***

We show one of the updated charts below, namely the proprietary Incrementum inflation signal. The calculation of the signal is based exclusively on market-derived inputs. It tends to be far more sensitive to changes in inflation/ deflation pressures than many other gauges, which results in more timely responses to changes in these pressures. At present it clearly indicates that the environment for precious metals remains favorable.

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FSS Weekly Live Report – Making A Bug Out Bag and Live Report Part 1

FullSpectrumSurvivalStreamed live 10 hours ago

Turkish-Born Cascade Mall Shooter Facing Voter Fraud Charge As WA Law Prohibits “Verifying Citizenship”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 29, 2016 7:25 PM

Last week we wrote about a mass shooting at the Cascade Mall in Burlington, Washington about 65 miles north of Seattle that left 5 people dead (see “Five Killed At Washington State Mall; Manhunt For Gunman Continues“).  The shooter fled the scene but was later captured and identified to be 20 year old Arcan Cetin a “legal, permanent resident” of the United States who immigrated from Turkey.

As it turns out, Cetin may be facing more charges than just 5 counts of murder as NBC News is reporting that investigators have discovered he voted in the past three election cycles, including the May presidential primary, despite the fact that he is not a U.S. citizen.  Apparently the state of Washington frowns upon anyone other than U.S. citizens voting…that kind of behavior is only tolerated in swing states like Ohio and Florida.

Cetin, who immigrated to the United States from Turkey as a child, is a permanent U.S. resident but not a U.S. citizen which technically makes it a federal crime for him to participate in elections.  While voters must attest to citizenship upon registering to vote, Washington state doesn’t technically require proof of citizenship as the election system operates, more or less, “under an honor system”.

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THIS, RIGHT HERE, PROVES THE TRUMP MISS UNIVERSE “FAT-SHAMING” CONTROVERSY IS TOTALLY BOGUS

thedailysheeple.com / 

Hillary made sure to criticize Donald Trump in the first debate for fat-shaming a former Miss Universe — comments Trump reportedly made when Alicia Machado who gained 60 pounds in the year after receiving her crown.

The claim is that Trump called her “Miss Piggy” and shamed her about her weight gain.

Keep in mind, the media is so desperate at this point to find reasons to attack Trump that don’t connect him with the Clintons (otherwise they’d go with the pedo island Jeffrey Epstein angle), they have dug up this comment controversy that happened TWENTY YEARS AGO.

That’s right, Machado won Miss Universe in 1996.

Now, two decades later, the establishment media is alight with articles admonishing Trump for his terrible behavior toward women because he was mean about 1996 Miss Universe’s weight gain:

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Eerie: Hacked Emergency Message Foreshadowed Devastating NJ Train Crash: “Would You? Could You? On a Train?”

shtfplan.com / Mac Slavo / September 29th, 2016

The most horrific news of the day is undoubtedly the disastrous train crash in Hoboken, New Jersey that frightened everyone in the station, and killed at least one person as it went off its rails and crashed through the station.

At least one hunred people were injured, and witnesses saw one of the most dramatic and unsettling accidental events in some time.

“The next thing I know, I’m on the floor. We are plowing through something … and when the train came to a stop, I could see the parts of the roof on the first car and some of the debris next to me,” Shah said. (source)

But it is the hacked message that happened hours before that makes this event truly creepy.

Without any particular explanation, an emergency broadcast warning went out over WKTV 2 in Utica, NY that read:

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“People Are Mad” – Dave Collum Warns “Existential Change Is In The Air”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 29, 2016 6:35 PM

Chemistry professor, and infamous market observer Dave Collum, author of the encyclopedic ‘Year in Reviews’,senses “existential risk in the American Experiment.” In an excellent interview with The Cornell Review, Collum opines on everything from ‘safe spaces’ to ‘social unrest’ warning “people are now mad, and it shows in the chaotic election. We are guaranteed to elect a president that half the populace finds repugnant…Change is in the air.”

…It is probably only in the last 15 years that I’ve started hiking up my pants and bitching about the government. Now I am relatively outspoken because I sense existential risk in the American Experiment.

…We have an interventionist central bank—a global cartel of interconnected central banks actually—that is determined to use untested (read: flawed) models to try to repair an economy that was hurt by their policies and would fix itself if the Fed would just get out of the way. I think these guys are what Nassim Taleb calls I-Y-I (intellectual-yet-idiot). They will continue with their experiments until the system finally breaks in earnest. They will blame the unforeseeable circumstances.

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GSR interviews ARCH CRAWFORD – Sept 28, 2016 Nugget

GoldSeek.com Radio, Published on Sep 29, 2016