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RED ALERT WARNING: THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE — Bill Holter

SGTreport.comPublished on Apr 30, 2016

It’s A Trap!

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 18:45

We (the people) love the smell of ‘free stuff’ in the morning…

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NATO reportedly plans to send 4 battalions to eastern border with Russia

utopiathecollapse.com /

April 2016POLAND – NATO allies reportedly plan to put four battalions in Poland and other Baltic countries to beef up its Russian border as Moscow steps up military activity. According to The Wall Street Journal Friday, U.S. Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work confirmed the overall size of the force – about 4,000 troops per battalion – and said the reinforcements were a response to the increased Russian activity around the nations of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia. Western officials told the paper that the U.S. will likely provide two of the battalions and Germany and Britain will likely supply the other two.

“The Russians have been doing a lot of snap exercises right up against the borders, with a lot of troops,” Work said. “From our perspective, we could argue this is extraordinarily provocative behavior.” Russia has repeatedly defended its increased military activity, saying they are a response to NATO’s buildup and aggressiveness toward Moscow. NATO officials said they want to make sure the force is as multinational as possible and are asking smaller allied countries to make contributions to supporting forces. Officials said Germany’s role is particularly important because their Russian deterrence cements Berlin’s role as a major player in NATO.

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Speculators Trim Euro and Yen Exposure ahead of FOMC and BOJ

marctomarket.com / by  / May 1, 2016

Speculators in the futures market made mostly small position adjustments in the sessions leading up to the FOMC and BOJ meetings.   During the Commitment of Traders reporting week ending April 26, the largest adjustment of speculative position in the currency futures was the 12.5 k build of gross long Australian dollar contracts.

The accumulation lifted the gross position to 110.0k contracts, which surpasses the speculative gross long euro position (99.1k contracts) and the speculative gross long yen position (97.5k contracts).  The conventional focus on net positions would not pick-up on this, yet it is the gross exposure that depicts the vulnerability to an adverse move.

There were no other gross currency position adjustments of more than 10k contracts.  However, there were a couple of gross position changes that approached this threshold.  The bears covered 9.4k short euro dollar contracts, leaving 138.7k.  The gross long Mexican peso position was cut by 20% or 9.3k contracts to 34.6k.

Besides the relatively small position adjustment, there does not appear to be an overall pattern. It is notable though that speculators reduced euro and yen exposures.  Gross longs and gross shorts were reduced.  This produced a reduction of the net short speculative euro position to 39.7k contracts from 46.9k.  The net long yen position was slipped to 66.5k contracts from 71.9k.

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UPS Braces For $3.8 Billion Charge As Treasury’s Pension Benefit Decision Looms

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 – 17:45

As we covered previously, in an effort to remain solvent the Central States Pension Fund has submitted an application to the Treasury for approval to cut member benefits.  While some plan participants could see pension incomes cut in half, the fund projects that it will become insolvent by 2025 if nothing is done.

Treasury is set to decide on the matter by May 7th, and as it turns out, the decision impacts more than just current plan participants…

During its Q1 earnings call, UPS told investors that if Treasury approves the CSPF plan to cut benefits, the company would have to take a charge of approximately $3.2 to $3.8 billion.

As part of a collective bargaining agreement with the International Brotherhood of Teamsters when UPS withdrew from the fund in 2007,  the company agreed to provide supplemental benefits to any remaining members in the event that certain benefits were lawfully reduced.

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Shame Shame Hypocrisy: U.S. Chides Five Economic Powers Over Policies

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / April 30, 2016 2:00:34

The US continually fails to look into the mirror while pointing a finger at others.

With remarkable hypocrisy, the US Treasury Cites China, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and Germany for policies it says threaten to damage U.S. and global economy.

Name and Shame

Please consider U.S. Chides Five Economic Powers Over Policies.

“The Obama administration delivered a shot across the bow to Asia’s leading exporters and Germany for their economic policies and warned that a number of major economies around the globe could face intense pressure to engage in currency interventions to counter slow growth.

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GREEN BERET WHO BEAT AFGHAN CHILD MOLESTER WILL GET TO KEEP HIS JOB

charles martlandthedailysheeple.com / 

When Sergeant 1st Class Charles Martland learned that a young boy had been raped by a powerful Afghan police commander (who had been trained by the U.S. military), he knew that he had to do something. The higher-ups encouraged him to let it go, saying that it was just part of the culture in Afghanistan, and that the local authorities would handle it. Instead, Martland and his team leader Daniel Quinn, approached the police commander and physically attacked him after he admitted to the rape and laughed about it.

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Trump Nomination Odds Hit Record High As Rubio Urges GOP Not To “Ignore The Will Of The People”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 – 17:10

The probability of The Donald becoming the Republican Presidential nominee has surged up to a record high 85% this week (as the odds of a brokered convention collapse) as a more mild-mannered and “can’t we all get along” Trump begins to creep out of the shadows.

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Current Desperation – There are Trillions of Dollars At Stake…

InvestmentWatchinvestmentwatchblog.com / Submitted by IWB, on April 30th, 2016

From October 2013 forward we have discussed the presidential election of 2016 and foretold/warned what was to come.   There are trillions of dollars at stake.

The culmination of four years strategic planning (2011 – 2015) from Wall Street -via legislative priorities- are enmeshed within the outcome.  The financiers have spent hundreds of millions on the construction.

Anyone with even moderate research skills could assemble the same data if they had: a.) time, and b.) inclination.    Sometimes, like the “splitter strategy“, conspiracies are not theory.  The behavior inherent within the visible activity is simply just an outcome of a mutually beneficial plan.

There are trillions of dollars at stake.  The financial (Wall Street) bets on the international global trade and finance sectors are in the tens of trillions.  More modestly, the downstream beneficiaries within the campaign consulting industry itself are worth more than several billion per election cycle.

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Mass Majority of Republicans Now Aboard the Trump Train – Nathan McDonald

Mass Majority of Republicans Now Aboard the Trump Train - Nathan McDonald

sprottmoney.com / By Nathan McDonald / April 27, 2016

The title says it all. Time to get on board the Trump train! At least this what the majority of Republicans now believe for the first time since the primaries began.

Although always in the lead, Donald Trump has faced an uphill battle, as both the mainstream media and establishment Republicans have violently opposed his popularity. They have even gone as far as to openly talk about stealing the domination from him at the convention if he is unable to secure 1237 delegates required to automatically make him the party nomination.

This talk has been brought up by party officials in the Republican party, but is being scaled back as the backlash has been scathing and severe. Rightly so, as an action of this would be directly against the will of its party members and show how truly far democracy in the United States has sunk.

The challenges for those not wishing to see Trump in power have just gotten that much more difficult, as he has officially surpassed the 50% approval rating among Republican party members, meaning that he does indeed have the will of people on his side.

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NIRP Has Officially Arrived: Interactive Brokers Starts Charging 0.25% On Yen Cash Balances

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 – 16:03

Three months after Japan unveiled NIRP – mostly for local banks – the effect for everyone else has finally arrived.

As IB warns its FX traders, starting Monday, Interactive Brokers “will move to a credit interest policywhich allows for negative rates on long cash balances held in JPY where accounts with balances over approximately 100 thousand USD will be subject to the current Benchmark Rate minus 0.25%.” Why? Because while initially the negative interest rate policies unveiled by “many central banks were viewed as short-term measures, they now appear to be policies with open-ended duration.

These NIRP costs are now being passed on to FX traders, and very soon, to depositors.

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WATCH THE FINAL MOMENTS OF THESE INCOMPETENT ISIS FIGHTERS

thedailysheeple.com /  / APRIL 30, 2:51PM

When ISIS first swept across the Middle East, they seemed like an unstoppable juggernaut. They really lived up to their propaganda. Every town and city they came across swiftly fell under their draconian rule, as bumbling Iraqi soldiers failed to contain them, and the overwhelmed Syrian military failed to send them packing.

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FEEL GOOD STORY OF THE DAY

theburningplatform.com / Jim Quinn / 30th April 2016

11-year-old boy shoots burglar who ‘cried like a baby’

TALLADEGA, Ala. — An 11-year-old boy who was home alone shot and injured a burglar, causing the suspect to “cry like a little baby.”

WVTM reported that it happened Wednesday morning after somebody broke inside a home in Talladega, Alabama.

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WTF Chart Of The Day: Speculative Frenzy ‘101’

zerohedge.com / 

In the new normal, where bad news is good news, stagnation is growth, and depression is a buying opportunity, it should be no surprise that the so-called “safety stocks” of the Consumer Staples sector have never been more risky. At a P/E valuation of 22x, food, beverage, and tobacco companies have never been more expensive.

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Escalation of tensions: China blocks U.S. Navy flotilla’s visit to Hong Kong

utopiathecollapse.com / 

April 2016HONG KONG – The Chinese government on Thursday denied a Navy flotilla access to the port in Hong Kong, Pentagon officials said Friday, the latest sign of escalating tension between the United States and China. The rare refusal to allow the aircraft carrier John C. Stennis, and several other vessels accompanying it, to visit the port comes two weeks after the Stennis hosted the defense secretary, Ashton B. Carter, on a visit to the South China Sea, where the United States is challenging what it sees as excessive maritime claims by China.

During the trip, Mr. Carter criticized the Chinese and said the United States would work with its allies in the region. “America’s policy continues to be one valued on principles of peaceful resolutions of disputes, lawful settlement of things like territorial disputes like the South China Sea, or anywhere else, freedom of navigation, freedom of commerce,” Mr. Carter said at the time.

The denial was the first time the Chinese government had refused to allow an American aircraft carrier into the port in Hong Kong since August 2014, according to Pentagon officials. The Navy had asked the Chinese to let the Stennis and accompanying vessels visit the port next week, the officials said. There is currently a United States Navy ship in port in Hong Kong, the Blue Ridge, Kristin Haworth, a spokeswoman for the American Consulate in Hong Kong, said by telephone. The Blue Ridge is the command ship of the United States Seventh Fleet. “We have a long track record of successful visits to Hong Kong, including the U.S.S. Blue Ridge, and we expect that to continue,” she said. American naval vessels are frequent visitors to Hong Kong, regarded as one of the most desirable ports of call because of its night life and shopping.

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Spanish Banks Brace for Ultimate Showdown

Wolf Street

wolfstreet.com / by  • 

“Very serious threat … to Spain’s entire mortgage market”: Moody’s

By Don Quijones, Spain & Mexico, editor at WOLF STREET.

A bitter, long-simmering conflict finally appears to be reaching its finale in Spain. On one side of the divide are the country’s biggest banks and some of the world’s largest investment funds; on the other are hundreds of thousands of families who lost their homes after the collapse of one of Europe’s biggest ever housing bubbles, together with the many thousands more who face the same fate today or tomorrow.

In Spain, more than in most places, debt stays with you until death do you part; it is never forgiven nor forgotten, and mortgages are “full recourse.” Even when a bank, often with the heavy-handed assistance of the forces of law and order, has repossessed someone’s home, that person could still be left on the hook for thousands, if not hundreds of thousands, of euros of debt.

Most Spanish foreclosure victims end up personally liable for not only much of the outstanding loan, but also thousands of euros in penalty interest charges and tens of thousands of euros in court fees. They can end up owing more than the original mortgage, but with no house to speak of, or live in.

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Let’s Stop Pretending Nuclear Power Is Commercially Viable

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 – 14:20

Submitted by Leonard Hyman and William Tilles via OilPrice.com,

First its new president, Jean-Bernard Levy, said French state utility EDF would delay a decision on its joint French-Chinese nuclear project in the UK, Hinkley Point. That was over a year ago. Then theCFO of EDF, Thomas Piquemal, quit reportedly because he opposed the project on financial grounds. That was a short time ago. Then after a slew of leaked memos, the French government just announced that EDF would be raising more money and the Hinkley decision would now come in September.

David Cameron’s government in the UK backs this exceedingly expensive project and the French government controls both EDF and Areva, the nuclear manufacturer that developed the nuclear system to be used at Hinkley Point. (Two other plants in Finland and China using this technology are still under construction, behind schedule and over budget.) As part of a plan to rescue Areva (which has lost money in each of the past four years and has negative equity, meaning the share-holder investment has been wiped out), EDF agreed, earlier in the year to buy Areva’s nuclear engineering division. Clearly, France views its nuclear ambitions as a matter of national prestige and intends to support Hinkley Point.

Now for the finances. These British nuclear units will cost roughly £18 billion ($27 billion). EDF has already sold a 35 percent share to the Chinese state nuclear company. However EDF still has to find more outside investors and get its ownership of the plant below 50 percent or it will have to consolidate Hinkley Point on its books and show all of the project’s debt on its own balance sheet.

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Month-End Closing

Euro 5-1-2016

armstrongeconomics.com / by Martin Armstrong / Apr 29, 2016

The Canadian Dollar elected Monthly Bullish Reversals at the close of April suggesting that we can now see a rally up to the 82-83 level. Keep in mind that last year’s high was 86.03. Therefore, there is plenty of room for a continued reaction as the markets push everything to the limit.

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Consensus Forming: China Heading Back Into Financial Crisis

Consensus Forming: China Heading Back Into Financial Crisisdollarcollapse.com / BY

China’s historic post-2009 debt binge flew largely under the radar — fooling most observers into thinking the global economy was recovering rather than just re-leveraging.

Now Beijing is back at it, borrowing over $1 trillion in this year’s first quarter, buying up commodities and creating the illusion of global growth. But this time the scam hasn’t gone unnoticed. Reporters, editors and money managers seem, at last, to be catching on. Some representative headlines:

George Soros warns of credit crisis in China

Chinese cities dive back into debt to fuel growth even as defaults rise

China debt climbs to US$25 trillion

China’s banks cut bad debt buffer as profits flatline

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Trump Responds To California Protesters: “Felt Like I Was Crossing The Border, But I Got Here”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/30/2016 – 13:50

Protesters forced Donald Trump to abandon his motorcade and find an unconventional route to his speaking engagement at the Hyatt in Burlingame, California yesterday.

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Weekend Edition: What You Don’t Know About Gold – The Biggest Myths on the Gold Market

caseyresearch.com / April 30, 2016

Editor’s Note: Gold isn’t an investment. Gold is money.

In today’s Weekend Edition, we’re sharing an interview with Casey Research Director Brian Hunt. In it, Brian reveals some of the biggest misconceptions about gold… and why you should own it.


Casey Research: Brian, as you recall, we probably get more questions and reader feedback on gold than on any other subject here at Casey Research… And we’ve noticed there are quite a few myths and misconceptions about gold out there. Can you go over some of the big ones for us?

Brian Hunt: Sure. Probably the biggest misconception investors have about gold is that it’s an investment.

They’ll listen to people on CNBC pick apart and analyze every $30 move in the metal, just as they would talk about a move in crude oil or stocks or bonds. They’ll check the price quote every day… to see how their “investment” in gold is performing.

That just isn’t a useful way to view gold.

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Are The Markets Creating a Huge False Move For the Next 2 Years?

1-tradingarmstrongeconomics.com / by Martin Armstrong / Apr 30, 2016

We will do a brief video update tomorrow on the general state of the markets given we have elected Monthly Bullish Reversals in several currencies. While we have been looking for the Euro to reach 116, we have now clearly extended the sideways rally given that the major low for last year took place in March 2015. May has been the main target in time on our arrays for a long-time. It appears we should press higher into May (dollar decline). There is a potential that exceeding the 117 level could spark a rally even up to the 125 level. This is rather serious for last year’s high was 12109. Exceeding that high intraday would make 2016 a REACTION HIGH since we did not make a new low this year.

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WAL-MART FREAKS OF THE WEEK

theburningplatform.com / Jim Quinn / 30th April 2016

I guess his girlfriend got that bowling ball grip. However, it does open the question – thong or commando?

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Lyin’ GOP

lewrockwell.com / By  / April 30, 2016

A few days ago I was struck by the response of Laura Ingram on Fox news to the question of whether Ted Cruz’s strong comments in opposition to allowing transgendered men to use women’s restrooms would help him in his battle against Donald Trump. Presumably, since Trump equivocated on this “social issue,” while Cruz took the “conservative position,” the Right would now move toward the Texas senator and away from Trump. Ingram responded that she didn’t think that present or future Trump supporters really care about who says what about transgendered restrooms. They just don’t believe anything they hear anymore from the GOP establishment or from anyone this establishment backs. Republican spokesmen already “lied to them so many times, especially on social issues,” that the party regulars are now suffering from a perhaps insuperable credibility gap. For a short time (that is, as long as they thought they could obtain votes by taking this stand) Republicans pretended to be against gay marriage. But as soon as the Supreme Court took over the issue and nationalized gay marriage in a shocking instance of judicial overreach, the party breathed a collective sigh of relief. They could now go back to what they did best, feathering their own nest and collecting funds from favored interests.

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VIOLENT LEFTISTS IN ACTION

theburningplatform.com / Jim Quinn / 30th April 2016

How come Trump supporters never get violent at Hillary rallies? Who are the real problem in this country? The right or the left?

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