davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman • February 27, 2015
The most important number in today’s Q4 GDP update was 2.3%. That’s the year/year change in real final sales from Q4 2013. As an analytical matter it means that the Great Slog continues with no sign of acceleration whatsoever.
Indeed, the statistical truth of the matter […]
wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler • February 26, 2015
The actual unmanipulated data on weekly first time unemployment claims paints a picture of a US economy that is in a bubble that is boiling over, driven by the massive central bank money printing campaigns and ZIRP.
The headline, fictional, seasonally adjusted (SA) number of initial […]
davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / February 26, 2015
What in god’s name does Janet Yellen think she is doing? Just a few weeks ago she established the ridiculous Fedspeak convention that “patient” means money market rates will not rise from the zero bound for at least two meetings. Now she has modified that […]
caseyresearch.com / By Chuck Butler / February 25, 2015
In This Issue.
* Yellen throws a changeup. * Chinese return to work with a weaker renminbi. * Chinese PMI’s rise above 50! * Gold shows how rate sensitive it is.
And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.
Kiwi Puts On A Show.
Good day.. […]
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/24/2015 21:15
As the dash-for-trash continues in US equities, Neuberger Berman sums up the state of investing currently,“there has certainly been little reward for owning high-return, superior business models that are conservatively financed,” as Bloomberg notes, Fed policy has had the “unintended consequence” of boosting the stocks of companies […]
blog.milesfranklin.com / Andrew Hoffman / February 24th, 2015
It’s Monday evening, following yet another day of across-the-board “horrible headlines”; no matter what nation, continent, or hemisphere one considers. That said, today’s “top story” is that Greece – what a shock – didn’t complete its “reforms list” today as planned; putting it off until tomorrow – […]
wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / February 7, 2015
We’ve been hearing noises that wage gains for US workers are picking up. It seems to be coming from analysts who are cherry picking data points to suit their point of view. So, I figured, “Gee, let’s make a chart of that to see if it […]
wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders, Courtesy of Confounded Interest • February 5, 2015
Janet Yellen and The Federal Reserve (sounds like Linda Ronstadt and the Stone Canyon Band) have been doing zero interest rate policies (ZIRP) since 2008. While their cheap money strategy has certainly helped the stock market, it has been less than […]
zerohedge.com / Excerpted from Paul Singer’s Elliott Management letter to investors on 02/04/2015 19:00
The world believes it is in a sweet spot. There is global consensus that central banks know what they are doing and are in control, and that if economies falter, a bigger dose of QE or ZIRP or NIRP (negative interest […]
davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman • February 4, 2015
The earnings season is all over except for the shouting, but the outcome doesn’t remotely validate Wall Street’s happy times narrative. Reported Q4 earnings for the S&P 500 companies (with about two-thirds reporting) stand at $25.02 per share compared to $26.48 in the year ago […]
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 01/28/2015 13:22
2014 was “relatively easier,” as the pre-determined pace of tapering had The Fed on auto-pilot last year. However, as WSJ’s Jon Hilsenrath warns, Janet Yellen ’s job is about to get harder. Hinting that The FOMC is likely to remain “patient” in deciding when to start raising […]
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 01/12/2015 12:42
Back in early November, when we posted “If WTI Drops To $60, It Will “Trigger A Broader HY Market Default Cycle“, it was greeted with the usual allegations of conspiracy theorism, tin-foil hattery and pretty much everything else, except rebutting facts.
Two months later, it was […]
gold-eagle.com / by Erik Swarts / January 7, 2015
We came into last year with the idea that despite a historically low disposition at 3 percent, the 10-year yield had become stretched at a relative performance extreme. In less than two years, yields had run up over 100% above the July 2012 cycle lows […]
wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / January 3, 2015
In November 2010 Ben Bernanke made boosting the stock market part of the official economic policy of the US Federal Reserve. He announced the policy change publicly in a Washington Post Editorial, saying:
The FOMC intends to buy an additional $600 billion of longer-term Treasury […]
wallstreetexaminer.com / by Lee Adler / January 3, 2015
In November 2010 Ben Bernanke revealed publicly that boosting the stock market was part of the official economic policy of the US Federal Reserve. He announced the new policy focus publicly in a Washington Post Editorial, saying:
The FOMC intends to buy an additional $600 […]
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/20/2014 21:00
With all the “talk” of diverging paths of monetary policy… one could be forgiven, if glancing at the chart above, for thinking the inevitable endgame of Keynesianism is very much at hand as first The BoJ, then The Fed, then Europe all enter ZIRP… and […]
wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / December 21, 2014
The oil price plunge accelerated with the end of QE-3 Correlation is not causation. Just because two things occur at the same time doesn’t mean that one causes the other. I get that.
But when the Fed buys $3.6 trillion in assets with freshly created […]
davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / December 19, 2014
Folks, it’s a tyranny of the PhDs. Recently, the central bank of Sweden was subject to a withering tirade by that oracle of Keynesian rubbish, professor Paul Krugman, who accused it of “sado-monetarism” for leaving the Swedish economy exposed to the mythical economic disease of […]
dollarvigilante.com / By Jeff Berwick / 2014/12/16
The trajectory is clear. Painfully clear.
The US government is so beyond bankrupt it isn’t even worth belaboring the point. We’ve spent the last five years here doing so.
What is more important, if you are an American who still has most of your assets inside the […]
zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/11/2014 14:40
Even though the economy may not have normalized fully, it is also clearly no longer in crisis, and yet, as Bloomberg Brief’s Carl Riccadonna notes, monetary policy remains calibrated at a crisis stance. There are numerous reasons for this as we have expounded vociferously but the make-up […]