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SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts – Looting Will Continue, Period

jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com / 16 April 2015

I imagine you did not hear too much today about the much larger than expected number of new unemployment claims.

Today the Street was celebrating the IPOs of Party City and the highly ironically named ‘Virtu.’

Virtu is an HFT trading firm that experiences a losing day about every […]

3 Things: Retail Sales, Real Unemployment, Optimisim

streettalklive.com / Lance Roberts / 16 April 2015

Should You Ignore Recent Retail Sales Weakness?

Over the past several weeks I have heard repeated comments that you should ignore the recent retail sales weakness for a variety of reasons such as cold winter weather, consumers don’t believe the drop in gas prices, etc. Putting aside […]

Aggregate Demand and Secular Stagnation

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / April 15, 2015

Six years after the US economic contraction ended, the Federal Reserve has still not raised interest rates. Inflation has not accelerated as so many predicted. The economy is chugging along in an irregular fashion. The US economy appears to have ground to a near halt […]

MARKETS VERSUS GOVERNMENT: HOLOGRAM PROTESTING SIDESTEPS GOVERNMENT EDICT

dollarvigilante.com / Jeff Berwick / April 13th, 2015

Last week we commented on how activists in New York had gotten around the government removal of an Edward Snowden statue by replacing his image with a hologram.

In the constant battle between the free market and its evil nemesis, government, the stakes were raised dramatically […]

Latest Weekly Initial Claims Of 281K Better Than Expected, Under 300K For Fifth Straight Week

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 04/09/2015 08:39 -0400

After the abysmal March payrolls number, there were expectations in the whisper forecast of today’s initial claims that there would be a sizable jump in initial unemployment claims, one that may break the streak of 4 consecutive prints under 300K. It did not happen, and in […]

One Last Look At The Real Economy Before It Implodes – Part 4

alt-market.com / Brandon Smith / Thursday, 09 April 2015 02:55

In the first three installments of this series, we examined the realities behind supply and demand, unemployment and personal debt, and national debt. As has been proven in each consecutive article with ample evidence, mainstream establishment numbers are, for the most part, utter garbage. They […]

FOMC Minutes Preview: Reasons To Be Fearful?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/08/2015 12:06

The FOMC surprised the market on March 18 by lowering “the dots” by about 50 basis points.While Yellen gave a fairly exhaustive explanation for this in her speech on March 27 (and Dudley just managed expectations this morning), SocGen notes that market participants hope for more color […]

Mish’s “Core Unemployment” Thesis vs. Bernanke’s “Natural Unemployment” Thesis

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Wednesday, April 08, 2015 4:04 AM

Natural Unemployment

In response to Republican questioning on monetary policy and employment, Bernanke replied the Fed Already Follows Policy Rule.

“The Fed already has a rule,” Mr. Bernanke said during a panel discussion at the Brookings Institution’s Hutchins Center on Fiscal and […]

Economists in Glass Houses

mauldineconomics.com / BY JOHN MAULDIN / APRIL 7, 2015

For many economists, the chicken and egg question is, which came first, consumption or production? What drives growth? Let’s continue with our series on debt, in which I have been contrasting my views with those of Paul Krugman.

Our differences aside, what Paul and I readily […]

What European Policymakers Really Care About (In 1 Simple Chart)

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 04/07/2015 07:50 -0400

When it comes down to it, all that matters is ‘the market’. With European consumer confidence at its highest since 2007, and European unemployment barely off record highs, there is only one thing that European policymakers really care about… and it’s not ‘the people’.

READ […]

Gold And Silver Price: Expect Volatility On Wednesday April 9th

goldsilverworlds.com / Gold Silver Worlds / April 6, 2015

In this article, we summarize which events in the week ahead could impact the gold price and silver price. At the bottom of the article we explain that these events are generaly no fundamental drivers, but mostly the result of trading in COMEX futures.

The standout […]

March Payrolls Huge Miss: Only 126,000 Jobs Added, Worst Since December 2013

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 04/03/2015 08:36 -0400

We warned yesterday that the “whisper expectation is for a NFP print that will be well below consensus, somewhere in the mid-100,000s if not worse now that the bartender hiring spree is over”, and we were right: moments ago the BLS reported that in March a […]

Our Current Illusion of Prosperity

mises.org / Frank Hollenbeck / APRIL 1, 2015

President Obama and Fed Chair Janet Yellen have been crowing about improving economic conditions in the US. Unemployment is down to 5.5 percent and growth in 2014 hit 2.2 percent.

Journalists and economists point to this improvement as proof that quantitative easing was effective.

Pile on […]

European Jobless Rates By Country: Youth Unemployment In Greece, Spain Remains Over 50%

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 03/31/2015 08:02 -0400

Earlier today, the supposedly resurgent Eurozone reported a February unemployment number of 11.3%, which not only missed consensus but was worse than the highest estimate. This miss meant the recent steady trend of improvement would have halted if January’s unemployment print of 11.3% hadn’t been revised […]

The BLS and the Fed Are Playing Chicken

caseyresearch.com / by Dennis Miller / March 25, 2015

When the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) announced that February 2015 employment had increased by 295,000 jobs and unemployment had dropped down to 5.5%, predictable hoopla and cheering from the political class followed.

Then the Dow dropped, with some fearing the Fed might actually start […]

Why The Fed May Raise Rates Soon (What Big Sister Is Watching!)

wallstreetexaminer.com / Courtesy of Confounded Interest, by Anthony B. Sanders • March 25, 2015

There was an excellent Bloomberg article entitled “Yellen Is Watching These Four Indicators for Signals on When to Raise Rates.”

Forget the Federal Open Market Committee’s pledge to be “patient” in raising rates from near zero. Forget “considerable time” and […]

Chicago Fed National Index Negative Again – Stocks Headed For Downside Shock

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By Dave Kranzler / March 23, 2015

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) edged lower to –0.11 in February from –0.10 in January. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from January, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index […]

10 Charts Which Show We Are Much Worse Off Than Just Before The Last Economic Crisis

theeconomiccollapseblog.com / By Michael Snyder on March 18th, 2015

If you believe that ignorance is bliss, you might not want to read this article. I am going to dispel the notion that there has been any sort of “economic recovery”, and I am going to show that we are much worse off than we were […]

Something Strange Is Going On With Nonfarm Payrolls

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/17/2015 13:30

Let’s start with the basics: why is there a majority consensus that the Fed will hike rates after it removes its “patient” language tomorrow? One simple reason: non-farm payrolls. As reported earlier in the month, following the report of March’s expectations smashing 295,000 jobs added, there […]

Wage Growth vs. Economic Theory

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Monday, March 16, 2015 2:25 AM

If economists were right, wage growth and inflation would be soaring. After all, the Phillips Curve states that decreased unemployment in an economy will correlate with higher rates of inflation [and higher wage growth].

Let’s explore that thesis.

Average Hourly Earnings Percent Change […]