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Futures Push Higher Ahead Of Data Deluge, Yellen Capital Statement

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/30/2014 07:10 -0400

This week’s US data onslaught begins today, with the ADP private payroll report first on deck (Exp. 230K, down from 281K), followed by the number of the day, Q2 GDP, which after Q1′s abysmal -2.9%, is expected to increase 3%. Anything less and in the first [...]

Overnight Manufacturing PMI Euphoria Boosts Futures To Fresh Record Highs

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/24/2014 07:08 -0400

Ever since going public, it appears that Markit’s giddyness about life has spilled over into its manufacturing surveys: after a surge in recent Markit mfg exuberance in recent months in the US, it was first China’s turn overnight to hit an 18 month high, [...]

A trend to working fewer hours and low wage labor: Is America looking at becoming a low wage nation in a race to the bottom? 1 out of 4 people working are in jobs paying $10 an hour or less.

mybudget360.com / by mybudget360 / July 22, 2014

One distinctive feature of this recovery is that many of the jobs added since the recession officially ended five years ago is that a large part of the jobs are coming from low wage labor. Low wages are not the only challenge hitting Americans. The [...]

“Is College Worth It?” – Here Is The Fed’s Answer In One Chart

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/22/2014 22:43 -0400

The topic of whether college is worth it (costs vs benefits) has been discussed at length (here, here, and here most recently) but no lesser entity than the San Francisco Fed’s PhDs have crunched the numbers and found that in the new normal, median [...]

Technician who called gold bust predicts $700 gold

truthingold.com / Dave in Denver / July 16, 2014 at 09:22

When Yoni Jacobs’ book “Gold Bubble:Profiting ffrom Gold’sImpending Collapse” was published in April 2012, gold was trading around $1,650 per ounce. Now gold is below $1,300. But Jacobs, the chief investment strategist at Chart Prophet Capital, doesn’t think the gold plunge is over just [...]

A Reader Asks: How to Find Shelter from the Coming Storms?

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / THURSDAY, JULY 10, 2014

Some basic suggestions for those who are seeking shelter from the coming storms of global financial crisis and recession. Reader Andy recently wrote: “I look forward to your blog each day but am still waiting for your ideas for surviving the coming crisis.” Andy [...]

Poverty Matters for Capitalists

mauldineconomics.com / JOHN MAULDIN / JULY 9, 2014

Having taken Thomas Piketty to the cleaners a few weeks back (see “Gave & Gave … and Hay”), Charles Gave now redresses the balance with regard to the issue of economic inequality in today’s Outside the Box. He makes a forceful case that “poverty matters [...]

What “Rosy” Job Numbers? Wal-Mart CEO Slams Recovery Mirage

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/08/2014 20:05

When the CEO of the world’s biggest company doubts the veracity of US economic data, you know you have a problem. After quarters of disappointing growth in the face of miraculous equity market performance; Wal-Mart CEO Bill Simon warns that shoppers aren’t returning at the pace one [...]

JPM Cuts Its Original 2014 GDP Forecast In Half, Sees Slowest Full Year Growth Since 2009

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/04/2014 08:49 -0400

It was precisely 6 months ago, on January 3, when JPM, blissfully unaware of the powerful snowstorms that were raging outside its office, a condition which would later be branded with the technical economic term “harsh weather“, predicted that the US economy would grow [...]

Study: All Employment Growth Since 2000 Went to Immigrants

nationalreview.com / By NRO Staff / June 26, 2014 7:22 PM

According to a major new report from the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), net employment growth in the United States since 2000 has gone entirely to immigrants, legal and illegal. Using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIS scholars Steven A. [...]

A New Recession and a New World Devoid of Washington’s Arrogance? — Paul Craig Roberts

paulcraigroberts.org / Paul Craig Roberts / June 25, 2014

A final number for real US GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 was released today. The number is not the 2.6% growth rate predicted by the know-nothing economists in January of this year. The number is a decline in GDP of -2.9 [...]

The Fed Will Cause Another Recession

sproutmoney.com / June 19, 2014

The US central bank is convinced that under the leadership of its former chairman, Ben Bernanke, it succeeded in getting the economy back on its feet. The US economy was on the brink of collapse after the sub-prime crisis, which was the start of the Great Recession.

[...]

It’s Official: Despite Media Hype, Eurozone STILL In Recession

testosteronepit.com / Wolf Richter / JUNE 18, 2014 AT 1:13AM

The media and statistical agencies have been bursting at the seams with stories about the Eurozone’s increasingly healthy economy. Government budgets remain a mess. But no one really cares as long as bond markets are willing to fund these deficits and roll over [...]

Debt is No Salvation

europac.net / By: Peter Schiff / June 12, 2014

Thus far 2014 has been a fertile year for really stupid economic ideas. But of all the half-baked doozies that have come down the pike (the perils of “lowflation,” Thomas Piketty’s claims about capitalism creating poverty, and President Obama’s “pay as you earn” solution to student [...]

THREE Charts That Prove We’re in a Depression and That the Federal Reserve and Washington Are Wasting Money

news.goldseek.com / By Graham Summers / 11 June 2014

Wall Street and mainstream economists are abuzz that we’re seeing a recovery in the US due to the latest jobs data. These folks are not only missing the big picture, but they’re not even reading the fine print (more on this in a moment).

The reality [...]

It Was A Reeeeeally Bad Winter: JPM Cuts Q1 GDP From -1.1% To -1.6%

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 06/11/2014 12:20

Remember when we reported that if it wasn’t for Obamacare, the US economy would have contracted not by 1% as per the revised GDP estimate but by 2%. Guess what: according to the latest spending data, the BEA massively overestimated spending on medical [...]

Fed Warns The Plunge In “Routine” Jobs Won’t Slow Down Anytime Soon

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 06/10/2014 15:13

Employment in the United States is becoming increasingly polarized, growing ever more concentrated in the highest- and lowest-paying occupations and creating growing income inequality. As the Dallas Fed explains, market changes involving middle-skill jobs in the U.S. are hastening labor market polarization. So-called “Routine” jobs have [...]

SocGen 10-Year Outlook: 100% Chance Of Recession; S&P To 4,000 Or… 500

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 06/05/2014 18:29

No matter what, SocGen sees US equity performance over the next 10 years as modest at best. They note that US equities face three headwinds: cyclically-adjusted valuations (CAPE, starting date 1881) have returned to very expensive territory, corporate margins stand at historically high levels, and [...]

Why the Market Ignored Bad GDP Numbers

financialsense.com / RYAN PUPLAVA CMT / 05/29/2014

So the second estimate on first quarter GDP was reported today – down 1 percent instead of up 0.1 percent. This was the first decline since 2011. Does that mean we’re headed for recession? The financial press has defined a recession as two negative quarters in [...]

The Linoleum Economy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 05/31/2014 15:17

Submitted by Peter Tchir of Brean Capital,

The Linoleum Economy

Before reading further, just pause and think about what linoleum means to you. If flooring isn’t your thing, go ahead and think about Formica cabinets or anything else that fits the [...]

Nonworking America: Those not in the labor force up by 12,000,000 since recession ended, a growth rate of 15 percent while the overall population is up 4 percent.

mybudget360.com / by mybudget360 / May 31, 2014

After World War II the U.S. saw the birth of the biggest middle class the world has ever come to know. The birth of the baby boomers and prosperity for all seemed to be the new norm. Of course, part of this was brought on [...]

31/5/2014: One Chart of the Week, 5 charts of the last 5 years

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / by Dr. Constantin Gurdgiev / Saturday, May 31, 2014

If you see one chart this weekend, make it count. Here’s a contender:

Source: https://twitter.com/okonomia/status/471713359424139264/photo/1The above shows US GDP growth starting with the end of each recession from 1954 through the last one (where all growth indices are set at 100). And guess [...]

Don’t Mention The “R” Word

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 05/30/2014 12:43

The word “recession” is being used less and less in news stories as the world becomes complacently confident that the central planners have ‘fixed’ the business cycle. Of course, the unpopularity of the R-word was matched only by the pre-recession lows in 2007/8 before the last collapse [...]

DREADFULLY PLEASANT WEATHER IN APRIL KEEPS CONSUMERS FROM SPENDING

theburningplatform.com / JIM QUINN / 30th May 2014

I’m guessing you’ve heard a spokesmodel “journalist” or Wall Street Ivy League economist hack, on the corporate mainstream media, bloviate about the dreadful weather keeping consumers from spending over the last six months. They assured the technology sedated masses that they would resume their debt financed orgy [...]

FIrst Quarter GDP Declined 1%

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / May 29, 2014

The first revision of Q1 GDP showed that GDP declined 1%. If you strip out inflation, the contraction would be even more severe. The original Government Q1 estimate showed a .1% increase, before inflation is stripped out. Forecasters were expecting the revision to show [...]

Excluding Obamacare, US Economy Contracted By 2% In The First Quarter

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 05/29/2014 09:21

As if the official news that the US economy is just one quarter away from an official recession (and with just one month left in the second quarter that inventory restocking better be progressing at an epic pace) but don’t worry – supposedly harsh weather somehow managed [...]

Goldman Boosts Q2 GDP Forecast Due To Weaker Than Expected Q1 GDP

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 05/29/2014 09:31

Today is the day when economists weathermen everywhere jump the shark. Here’s Goldman’s Jan Hatzius.

BOTTOM LINE: Q1 GDP was revised lower than expected, mainly due to a larger drag from inventories. Initial jobless claims fell more than expected, while continuing claims declined to a [...]

Has The Next Recession Already Begun For America’s Middle Class?

theeconomiccollapseblog.com / By Michael Snyder / May 28th, 2014

Has the next major economic downturn already started? The way that you would answer that question would probably depend on where you live. If you live in New York City, or the suburbs of Washington D.C., or you work for one of the big tech [...]

Recent Changes at the Margin Suggest Bulls May Be Gaining Ground

financialsense.com / CHRIS PUPLAVA / 05/23/2014

Summary

The financial liquidity spigot is being squeezed, which is bearish Recession risk remains remote, which is bullish Recent changes at the margin suggest bulls may be gaining upper hand

Investing is a lot like poker. You need to know when to hold and when [...]

The Recession Is Coming: Economist Warns It’s Beyond Control: “I Don’t See What Will Save It At This Point”

shtfplan.com / By Mac Slavo / May 22nd, 2014

We are on the verge of another recession. So says Shadow Stats economist John Williams, who warns that by the end of July it will become apparent to all Americans. That’s when the government will release its latest GDP economic figures and according to [...]