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The US is Heading Into a Recession… And Stocks Will Crash

news.goldseek.com / by Graham Summers / 2 March 2015

For six years, we’ve been told that the US economy is in recovery.

This is a totally bogus narrative that was dreamt up by the Central Planners running the Fed. Remember the “green shoots” craze of 2009. It was BS. The US economy is a […]

Recession is On the Way: Questioning One’s Sanity; Beat the Crowd, Panic Now!

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Thursday, February 26, 2015 11:55 PM

In 2006-2007 I called for a recession. We got a big one. I called for another one in 2011, as did the ECRI. That recession never happened.

50% is not a very good recession predicting track record except in comparison to consensus […]

The Most Important Commodity For Housing Is Screaming “Recession”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/25/2015 16:53

While Crude Oil and Dr. Copper are often cited as economic indicators, as we noted previously, in factLumber prices are the most correlated with ISM and GDP of all industrial commodities (h/t @Not_Jim_Cramer). That is a problem. Lumber prices are tumbling – breaking to 18-month lows […]

Why Bad News Is Good News in Europe—7 Charts Showing What You Really Need to Know

news.goldseek.com / By Frank Holmes / 24 February 2015

There’s little denying that the U.S. economy is on the upswing since the recession. Manufacturing is strong, jobless claims are falling and wages are rising. Delta Airlines, which we own in our Holmes Macro Trends Fund (MEGAX), recently announced that it will be giving its […]

Welcome To The Recession?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/24/2015 17:00

It’s different this time…

READ MORE

US Headed to Recession in 2015

schiffgold.com / BY MIKE FINGER / FEBRUARY 23, 2015

ADS Securities Chief Market Strategist Nour Eldeen Al-Hammoury explained toBloomberg why he’s betting on the United States sliding back into recession in 2015. Just like Peter Schiff, he finds the GDP, factory orders, trade deficit, and other economic data points to be much more […]

Moody’s “Junks” Russia, Expects Deep Recession In 2015

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/20/2015 16:45

Having put Russia on review in mid-January, Moody’s has decided (somewhat unsurprisingly) todowngrade Russia’s sovereign debt rating to Ba1 (from Baa3) with continuing negative outlook. The reasons:

*MOODY’S SAYS RUSSIA EXPECTED TO HAVE DEEP RECESSION IN ’15, CONTINUED CONTRACTION IN ’16 *MOODY’S SEE RUSSIA DEBT METRICS LIKELY […]

New Fed Figures Show a Slow 2015 Start for Manufacturing and a Genuine Automotive Downturn

wallstreetexaminer.com/ by Alan Tonelson, Courtesy of RealityChek / February 18, 2015

The new January industrial production figures from the Federal Reserve showed a slow 2015 start for manufacturing, a slower end of 2014 than first estimated, and an automotive sector that has gone from industry leadership throughout the current recovery to a technical recession.

[…]

Japan Ends Recession But Real Wages And House Prices Continue To Deflate (Godzilla Alert!)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders, Courtesy of Confounded Interest • February 16, 2015

The good news coming from Japan is that Q4 preliminary real GDP numbers reveal that GDP rose to 2.2 percent (annualized) ending the recession that struck Japan.

While this is good news for Japan and the global economy, it is […]

Exploding the Myths About China’s Global Economic Role

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Alan Tonelson, Courtesy of RealityChek • February 16, 2015

Since we’ve never had any contact, I can’t take any credit for Adair Turner’s outstanding new column that explodes lots of dangerous myths about China’s role in the world economy. Still, I feel entitled to be gratified that Turner, a former senior British […]

Greece Surrenders To Germany, US Import Price YoY At Recession Levels

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders, Courtesy of Confounded Interest • February 13, 2015

Despite the rhetoric from Europe, apparently Greece is running out of money and will surrender to Germany. Bond investors were relieved at the surrender.

Senior bank officials have told Kathimerini that almost all the liquidity available to Greece (59.5 billion euros) […]

Two More Harbingers Of Financial Doom That Mirror The Crisis Of 2008

theeconomiccollapseblog.com / By Michael Snyder / February 12th, 2015

The stock market continues to flirt with new record highs, but the signs that we could be on the precipice of the next major financial crisis continue to mount. A couple of days ago, I discussed the fact that the U.S. dollar is experiencing a […]

Financial Markets: Pinocchio’s Enchanted Island

goldbroker.com / Léonard Sartoni / Feb 10, 2015

The control of the commercials and the COMEX manipulators have is very depressing for the gold market investor. As soon as gold and the miners are about to get on another bullish leg, that the moving averages are positively aligned and re-crossing the 200-day MA, that the […]

Houston, You Have A Huge Problem: One-Sixth Of US Office Space Under Construction Is In This Texas City

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 02/11/2015 09:49 -0500

Nearly two months ago, in “Houston, You Have A Problem” – Texas Is Headed For A Recession Due To Oil Crash” we warned that, just as the title explained, the city that has been the biggest beneficiary of the US shale boom will, logically, be the […]

Absurd Government Bond Yields Point at Global Recession?

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / February 4, 2015

Central banks around the world have fallen all over each other lowering their benchmark interest rates. On Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia was the latest, cutting its cash rate to an all-time low of 2.25%. It didn’t mince words: “A lower exchange rate is likely […]

Fed Study Shows “Persistent Fed Overoptimism about Economic Growth”; What Will They Do About It?

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Monday, February 02, 2015 8:06 PM

Since 2007 nearly every Fed economic forecast has been on the optimistic side.

In an attempt to explain, a new Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco dives into the Persistent Overoptimism about Economic Growth.

My friend “BC” commented “It has taken 7-8 years […]

Are We Already In Recession?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 02/02/2015 22:25

Everything is not awesome…

READ MORE

Deflation Nation: ISM Manufacturing Prices Back To Great Recession Levels (Remember FDR’s Ag Sec Henry Wallace’s Solution?)

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders, Courtesy of Confounded Interest • February 2, 2015

Whether you want to call it deflation or dis-inflation, we are witnessing ISM manufacturing price index decline to Great Recession levels (April 2009).

The ISM Prices Index registered 35 percent in January, which is a decrease of 3.5 percentage points […]

CONSUMPTION CRASHES IN DECEMBER

theburningplatform.com / By Jim Quinn / 2nd February 2015

Let the spin begin. The country has clearly entered recession, but the government bureaucrats, corrupt politicians, criminal Wall Street bankers, and their corporate media mouthpieces refuse to acknowledge the truth. They have too much wealth at stake to report the facts. They need to exit […]

“Equities Will Be Devastated” Crispin Odey Warns, Looming Recession Will Be “Remembered For 100 Years”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 01/27/2015 17:12

“I think equity markets will get devastated,” warns famed $12bn AUM hedge fund manager Crispin Odey in his latest letter to investors. Having been one of the biggest bulls of this particular central bank artificial-bull cycle, his dramatic bearish tilt (as we discussed what he thinks […]