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Palpable Fear / Andrew Hoffman / August 21st, 2014

In last month’s “Most Resolute Precious Metals Bulls,” we wrote of how whether a certain technical analyst’s prediction that a major PM attack was forthcoming, we wouldn’t need the slightest bit of “resolve” to maintain our physical gold and silver savings – which insure us against the [...]

Yes, This Is An Equity Bubble / Dr. John Hussman / August 18, 2014

After the 2000-2002 recession, the Federal Reserve remained fixed on holding down short-term interest rates in efforts to stimulate demand in interest-sensitive sectors of the economy. Corporations – particularly those with low quality balance sheets – were quick to take advantage of the low [...]

What States are the Biggest Job Winners and Losers in the Recovery? / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Sunday, August 17, 2014 11:01 PM

The Deloitte University Press has a very interesting, and comprehensive study on job gains and losses, by type of job, and state by state.

The biggest winners are states involved in energy production, finance, or healthcare. The biggest losers are states that did [...]

U.S. Desperate To Halt German-Chinese-Russian Alliance / August 15, 2014

Today an acclaimed money manager told King World News that that the United States is now desperately trying to put a stop to an alliance between Germany, China, and Russia. Stephen Leeb also said investors must be overweight physical gold and silver in order [...]

Right on Time, Calls for EU Inflation / By Staff Report / August 15, 2014

Europe’s Greater Depression is worse than the 1930s … Europe hasn’t recovered, because it hasn’t let itself. Too much fiscal austerity and too little monetary stimulus have, instead, put it more than halfway to a lost decade that’s already worse than [...]

Is the Euro Zone Headed for a Recession? / Philippe Herlin / Aug 14, 2014

The United States has just announced a 4% (annualised) growth for the second quarter, following a disastrous first quarter showing (finally revised, for the third time, at -2.1% instead of -2.9%). Though this sounds like good news, we should wait for the official revision of this 4% [...]

It’s Amazing What People In Europe Are Doing Just To Survive / August 14, 2014

Today one of the legends in the business spoke with King World News about the gold and silver markets, and how people are getting creative in Europe just to survive. Keith Barron, who consults with major companies around the world and is responsible for one of the largest gold discoveries [...]

Here Comes The European Triple-Dip: Negative German GDP Sends Bunds Under 1% For The First Time Ever / by Tyler Durden / 08/14/2014 07:11 -0400

The hammer finally hit for Europe when overnight both Germany and France reported Q2 GDP prints that missed expectations, the first actually contracting at a 0.2% rate with consensus looking for -0.1%, while France remained flat vs expectations for a tiny 0.1% rise. [...]

German Economy Contracts, France Stagnates, Italy in Recession; Time for a Rethink / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Thursday, August 14, 2014 2:45 AM

The recovery in Europe, not that there was ever much of one, is now over. As expected in this corner, Germany Contracts and France Stagnates in Second Quarter.

The data from the currency bloc’s two largest economies came as [...]

Monetary Inflation No Matter How Generous Won’t Help the EU in the Long Term / By Staff Report / August 13, 2014

Crisis stalks Europe again as deflation deepens, Germany stalls … Data from Germany, Italy and Portugal put pressure on ECB to act … The ECB is waiting to see whether its new four-year loans for banks will stop the relentless contraction [...]

Germany close to recession as ECB admits recovery is weak / By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard / 2014-08-08 02:24

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Telegraph, London Thursday, August 7, 2014

German bonds yields plunged to a historic low and two-year rates briefly fell below zero on Thursday on fears of widening recession in the eurozone and a flight to safety as Russian troops [...]

Europe Furious That Putin Dares To Retaliate To Sanctions, Blames Economic Slide On Kremlin / by Tyler Durden / 08/07/2014 08:14 -0400

Either Europe is run by a bunch of unelected idiots, or… well, that’s about it.

After blindly doing the US’ bidding over all propaganda matters Ukraine-related, and following just as blindly into round after round of US-inspired sanctions, sanctions to whose retaliation [...]

Italy “Unexpectedly” Slips Back Into Recession / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Thursday, August 07, 2014 1:26 AM

The optimism of mainstream economists is rather curious.

Economics appears to be right up there with faith-healing as the most optimistic profession on the planet.

Here is a case in point: Bloomberg reports Italy Unexpectedly Returns to Recession.

Italy [...]

The European “Recovery” Is Over: Italy “Unexpectedly” Enters Triple-Dip Recession / by Tyler Durden / 08/06/2014 06:38 -0400

Goodbye European recovery, we hardly knew you.

It must have come as a huge shock to all hypnotized lemmings aka “sophisticated investors” who have been following the manipulated, artificial yields in the Italian 10Y relentlessly declining and thus suggesting at least some [...]

Futures Push Higher Ahead Of Data Deluge, Yellen Capital Statement / by Tyler Durden / 07/30/2014 07:10 -0400

This week’s US data onslaught begins today, with the ADP private payroll report first on deck (Exp. 230K, down from 281K), followed by the number of the day, Q2 GDP, which after Q1′s abysmal -2.9%, is expected to increase 3%. Anything less and in the first [...]

Overnight Manufacturing PMI Euphoria Boosts Futures To Fresh Record Highs / by Tyler Durden / 07/24/2014 07:08 -0400

Ever since going public, it appears that Markit’s giddyness about life has spilled over into its manufacturing surveys: after a surge in recent Markit mfg exuberance in recent months in the US, it was first China’s turn overnight to hit an 18 month high, [...]

A trend to working fewer hours and low wage labor: Is America looking at becoming a low wage nation in a race to the bottom? 1 out of 4 people working are in jobs paying $10 an hour or less. / by mybudget360 / July 22, 2014

One distinctive feature of this recovery is that many of the jobs added since the recession officially ended five years ago is that a large part of the jobs are coming from low wage labor. Low wages are not the only challenge hitting Americans. The [...]

“Is College Worth It?” – Here Is The Fed’s Answer In One Chart / by Tyler Durden / 07/22/2014 22:43 -0400

The topic of whether college is worth it (costs vs benefits) has been discussed at length (here, here, and here most recently) but no lesser entity than the San Francisco Fed’s PhDs have crunched the numbers and found that in the new normal, median [...]

Technician who called gold bust predicts $700 gold / Dave in Denver / July 16, 2014 at 09:22

When Yoni Jacobs’ book “Gold Bubble:Profiting ffrom Gold’sImpending Collapse” was published in April 2012, gold was trading around $1,650 per ounce. Now gold is below $1,300. But Jacobs, the chief investment strategist at Chart Prophet Capital, doesn’t think the gold plunge is over just [...]

A Reader Asks: How to Find Shelter from the Coming Storms? / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / THURSDAY, JULY 10, 2014

Some basic suggestions for those who are seeking shelter from the coming storms of global financial crisis and recession. Reader Andy recently wrote: “I look forward to your blog each day but am still waiting for your ideas for surviving the coming crisis.” Andy [...]

Poverty Matters for Capitalists / JOHN MAULDIN / JULY 9, 2014

Having taken Thomas Piketty to the cleaners a few weeks back (see “Gave & Gave … and Hay”), Charles Gave now redresses the balance with regard to the issue of economic inequality in today’s Outside the Box. He makes a forceful case that “poverty matters [...]

What “Rosy” Job Numbers? Wal-Mart CEO Slams Recovery Mirage / by Tyler Durden on 07/08/2014 20:05

When the CEO of the world’s biggest company doubts the veracity of US economic data, you know you have a problem. After quarters of disappointing growth in the face of miraculous equity market performance; Wal-Mart CEO Bill Simon warns that shoppers aren’t returning at the pace one [...]

JPM Cuts Its Original 2014 GDP Forecast In Half, Sees Slowest Full Year Growth Since 2009 / by Tyler Durden / 07/04/2014 08:49 -0400

It was precisely 6 months ago, on January 3, when JPM, blissfully unaware of the powerful snowstorms that were raging outside its office, a condition which would later be branded with the technical economic term “harsh weather“, predicted that the US economy would grow [...]

Study: All Employment Growth Since 2000 Went to Immigrants / By NRO Staff / June 26, 2014 7:22 PM

According to a major new report from the Center for Immigration Studies (CIS), net employment growth in the United States since 2000 has gone entirely to immigrants, legal and illegal. Using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, CIS scholars Steven A. [...]

A New Recession and a New World Devoid of Washington’s Arrogance? — Paul Craig Roberts / Paul Craig Roberts / June 25, 2014

A final number for real US GDP growth in the first quarter of 2014 was released today. The number is not the 2.6% growth rate predicted by the know-nothing economists in January of this year. The number is a decline in GDP of -2.9 [...]

The Fed Will Cause Another Recession / June 19, 2014

The US central bank is convinced that under the leadership of its former chairman, Ben Bernanke, it succeeded in getting the economy back on its feet. The US economy was on the brink of collapse after the sub-prime crisis, which was the start of the Great Recession.


It’s Official: Despite Media Hype, Eurozone STILL In Recession / Wolf Richter / JUNE 18, 2014 AT 1:13AM

The media and statistical agencies have been bursting at the seams with stories about the Eurozone’s increasingly healthy economy. Government budgets remain a mess. But no one really cares as long as bond markets are willing to fund these deficits and roll over [...]

Debt is No Salvation / By: Peter Schiff / June 12, 2014

Thus far 2014 has been a fertile year for really stupid economic ideas. But of all the half-baked doozies that have come down the pike (the perils of “lowflation,” Thomas Piketty’s claims about capitalism creating poverty, and President Obama’s “pay as you earn” solution to student [...]

THREE Charts That Prove We’re in a Depression and That the Federal Reserve and Washington Are Wasting Money / By Graham Summers / 11 June 2014

Wall Street and mainstream economists are abuzz that we’re seeing a recovery in the US due to the latest jobs data. These folks are not only missing the big picture, but they’re not even reading the fine print (more on this in a moment).

The reality [...]

It Was A Reeeeeally Bad Winter: JPM Cuts Q1 GDP From -1.1% To -1.6% / by Tyler Durden / 06/11/2014 12:20

Remember when we reported that if it wasn’t for Obamacare, the US economy would have contracted not by 1% as per the revised GDP estimate but by 2%. Guess what: according to the latest spending data, the BEA massively overestimated spending on medical [...]