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Markets Set To Surge On Global Manufacturing PMI Bloodbath

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 09/01/2014 07:18 -0400

If last week’s disappointing global economic data, that saw Brazil added to the list of countries returning to outright recession as Europe Hamletically debates whether to be or not to be in a triple-dip, was enough to push the S&P solidly above 2000, even [...]

Prepare For Longterm Instability and Hardship

silverbearcafe.com / Tom Chatham / August 30, 2014

Unlike the normal business cycle that allows for a recession every few years to clear out the mal-investments and keep the system functioning properly, the current cycle has been artificially induced with money that has unseated the foundation of good financial practices and caused [...]

Dear Future American Generations, You Are Screwed

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/29/2014 15:22

Faith that the future will be better than the present is slipping, as despite President Obama’s demands that Americans not be “cynics,” a new report shows there is a major lack of confidence that the next generation will have it better than the last one. As [...]

4 Years Until The Next Recession? Not Likely.

streettalklive.com / Lance Roberts / 27 August 2014

David Rosenberg, in one of his recent missives, wrote:

“Historically, when we are within six months of a recession, the year-over-year trend in the LEI turns negative while the diffusion index falls below 30%. At three-months away, the LEI is down 1% YoY and [...]

IMF: Risk of Another Housing Crash

mises.ca / by David Howden / August 27th, 2014

The International Monetary Fund is warning that the world is at risk of “another devastating housing crash.”

This is true for instance for Australia, Belgium, Canada, Norway and Sweden,” he said.

The Interest Rate Trap…And What It Means To The Gold Market

gold-eagle.com / Michael Kosares / August 27, 2014

“Interest rates on Treasury securities, which have been exceptionally low since the recession are projected to increase in the next few years as the economy strengthens and to end up at levels that are close to their historical averages (adjusted for inflation).” – Budget Outlook for 2014, [...]

This Is When the US Government Goes Broke

acting-man.com / Bill Bonner / August 25, 2014

Treasured Delusions

First, we check in with the markets. What’s new? Not much. The Dow crossed the 17,000 mark on Friday. Janet Yellen is supposed to address the world today from Jackson Hole, Wyoming.

It is hard to imagine that she will say [...]

Palpable Fear

blog.milesfranklin.com / Andrew Hoffman / August 21st, 2014

In last month’s “Most Resolute Precious Metals Bulls,” we wrote of how whether a certain technical analyst’s prediction that a major PM attack was forthcoming, we wouldn’t need the slightest bit of “resolve” to maintain our physical gold and silver savings – which insure us against the [...]

Yes, This Is An Equity Bubble

gold-eagle.com / Dr. John Hussman / August 18, 2014

After the 2000-2002 recession, the Federal Reserve remained fixed on holding down short-term interest rates in efforts to stimulate demand in interest-sensitive sectors of the economy. Corporations – particularly those with low quality balance sheets – were quick to take advantage of the low [...]

What States are the Biggest Job Winners and Losers in the Recovery?

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Sunday, August 17, 2014 11:01 PM

The Deloitte University Press has a very interesting, and comprehensive study on job gains and losses, by type of job, and state by state.

The biggest winners are states involved in energy production, finance, or healthcare. The biggest losers are states that did [...]

U.S. Desperate To Halt German-Chinese-Russian Alliance

kingworldnews.com / August 15, 2014

Today an acclaimed money manager told King World News that that the United States is now desperately trying to put a stop to an alliance between Germany, China, and Russia. Stephen Leeb also said investors must be overweight physical gold and silver in order [...]

Right on Time, Calls for EU Inflation

thedailybell.com / By Staff Report / August 15, 2014

Europe’s Greater Depression is worse than the 1930s … Europe hasn’t recovered, because it hasn’t let itself. Too much fiscal austerity and too little monetary stimulus have, instead, put it more than halfway to a lost decade that’s already worse than [...]

Is the Euro Zone Headed for a Recession?

goldbroker.com / Philippe Herlin / Aug 14, 2014

The United States has just announced a 4% (annualised) growth for the second quarter, following a disastrous first quarter showing (finally revised, for the third time, at -2.1% instead of -2.9%). Though this sounds like good news, we should wait for the official revision of this 4% [...]

It’s Amazing What People In Europe Are Doing Just To Survive

kingworldnews.com / August 14, 2014

Today one of the legends in the business spoke with King World News about the gold and silver markets, and how people are getting creative in Europe just to survive. Keith Barron, who consults with major companies around the world and is responsible for one of the largest gold discoveries [...]

Here Comes The European Triple-Dip: Negative German GDP Sends Bunds Under 1% For The First Time Ever

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/14/2014 07:11 -0400

The hammer finally hit for Europe when overnight both Germany and France reported Q2 GDP prints that missed expectations, the first actually contracting at a 0.2% rate with consensus looking for -0.1%, while France remained flat vs expectations for a tiny 0.1% rise. [...]

German Economy Contracts, France Stagnates, Italy in Recession; Time for a Rethink

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Thursday, August 14, 2014 2:45 AM

The recovery in Europe, not that there was ever much of one, is now over. As expected in this corner, Germany Contracts and France Stagnates in Second Quarter.

The data from the currency bloc’s two largest economies came as [...]

Monetary Inflation No Matter How Generous Won’t Help the EU in the Long Term

thedailybell.com / By Staff Report / August 13, 2014

Crisis stalks Europe again as deflation deepens, Germany stalls … Data from Germany, Italy and Portugal put pressure on ECB to act … The ECB is waiting to see whether its new four-year loans for banks will stop the relentless contraction [...]

Germany close to recession as ECB admits recovery is weak

gata.org / By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard / 2014-08-08 02:24

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Telegraph, London Thursday, August 7, 2014

German bonds yields plunged to a historic low and two-year rates briefly fell below zero on Thursday on fears of widening recession in the eurozone and a flight to safety as Russian troops [...]

Europe Furious That Putin Dares To Retaliate To Sanctions, Blames Economic Slide On Kremlin

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/07/2014 08:14 -0400

Either Europe is run by a bunch of unelected idiots, or… well, that’s about it.

After blindly doing the US’ bidding over all propaganda matters Ukraine-related, and following just as blindly into round after round of US-inspired sanctions, sanctions to whose retaliation [...]

Italy “Unexpectedly” Slips Back Into Recession

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Thursday, August 07, 2014 1:26 AM

The optimism of mainstream economists is rather curious.

Economics appears to be right up there with faith-healing as the most optimistic profession on the planet.

Here is a case in point: Bloomberg reports Italy Unexpectedly Returns to Recession.

Italy [...]

The European “Recovery” Is Over: Italy “Unexpectedly” Enters Triple-Dip Recession

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/06/2014 06:38 -0400

Goodbye European recovery, we hardly knew you.

It must have come as a huge shock to all hypnotized lemmings aka “sophisticated investors” who have been following the manipulated, artificial yields in the Italian 10Y relentlessly declining and thus suggesting at least some [...]

Futures Push Higher Ahead Of Data Deluge, Yellen Capital Statement

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/30/2014 07:10 -0400

This week’s US data onslaught begins today, with the ADP private payroll report first on deck (Exp. 230K, down from 281K), followed by the number of the day, Q2 GDP, which after Q1′s abysmal -2.9%, is expected to increase 3%. Anything less and in the first [...]

Overnight Manufacturing PMI Euphoria Boosts Futures To Fresh Record Highs

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/24/2014 07:08 -0400

Ever since going public, it appears that Markit’s giddyness about life has spilled over into its manufacturing surveys: after a surge in recent Markit mfg exuberance in recent months in the US, it was first China’s turn overnight to hit an 18 month high, [...]

A trend to working fewer hours and low wage labor: Is America looking at becoming a low wage nation in a race to the bottom? 1 out of 4 people working are in jobs paying $10 an hour or less.

mybudget360.com / by mybudget360 / July 22, 2014

One distinctive feature of this recovery is that many of the jobs added since the recession officially ended five years ago is that a large part of the jobs are coming from low wage labor. Low wages are not the only challenge hitting Americans. The [...]

“Is College Worth It?” – Here Is The Fed’s Answer In One Chart

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/22/2014 22:43 -0400

The topic of whether college is worth it (costs vs benefits) has been discussed at length (here, here, and here most recently) but no lesser entity than the San Francisco Fed’s PhDs have crunched the numbers and found that in the new normal, median [...]

Technician who called gold bust predicts $700 gold

truthingold.com / Dave in Denver / July 16, 2014 at 09:22

When Yoni Jacobs’ book “Gold Bubble:Profiting ffrom Gold’sImpending Collapse” was published in April 2012, gold was trading around $1,650 per ounce. Now gold is below $1,300. But Jacobs, the chief investment strategist at Chart Prophet Capital, doesn’t think the gold plunge is over just [...]

A Reader Asks: How to Find Shelter from the Coming Storms?

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / THURSDAY, JULY 10, 2014

Some basic suggestions for those who are seeking shelter from the coming storms of global financial crisis and recession. Reader Andy recently wrote: “I look forward to your blog each day but am still waiting for your ideas for surviving the coming crisis.” Andy [...]

Poverty Matters for Capitalists

mauldineconomics.com / JOHN MAULDIN / JULY 9, 2014

Having taken Thomas Piketty to the cleaners a few weeks back (see “Gave & Gave … and Hay”), Charles Gave now redresses the balance with regard to the issue of economic inequality in today’s Outside the Box. He makes a forceful case that “poverty matters [...]

What “Rosy” Job Numbers? Wal-Mart CEO Slams Recovery Mirage

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/08/2014 20:05

When the CEO of the world’s biggest company doubts the veracity of US economic data, you know you have a problem. After quarters of disappointing growth in the face of miraculous equity market performance; Wal-Mart CEO Bill Simon warns that shoppers aren’t returning at the pace one [...]

JPM Cuts Its Original 2014 GDP Forecast In Half, Sees Slowest Full Year Growth Since 2009

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/04/2014 08:49 -0400

It was precisely 6 months ago, on January 3, when JPM, blissfully unaware of the powerful snowstorms that were raging outside its office, a condition which would later be branded with the technical economic term “harsh weather“, predicted that the US economy would grow [...]