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6 Reasons Why ECB Will Avoid QE As Long As Possible (And Why The Fed Did It)

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/28/2014 14:12

Yields on European sovereign debt have collapsed in recent months as investors piled into these ‘riskless’ investments following hints that the ECB will unleash QE (at some point “we promise”) and the economic situation collapses. However, Mario Draghi has made it clear that any QE [...]

Ominous Beyond Words

blog.milesfranklin.com / Andrew Hoffman / August 28th, 2014

This morning, I was as fired up as I can remember to write; as per today’s title, I can’t recall a more ominous set of geopolitical, economic and social circumstances in my life. Sure, for a few months in late 2008 and early 2009, it [...]

Of Manipulation and Madness

blog.milesfranklin.com / Andrew Hoffman / August 27th, 2014

It’s Wednesday morning and sovereign debt yields – U.S. Treasuries included – are again plumbing multi-year or in some cases all-time lows; as globally speaking, the “most damning proof yet of QE failure” couldn’t be more plain to see. In other words, from East to West, [...]

ECB Hires Blackrock For ABS-Buying Advice; Crushes Idea Of Upcoming QE

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/27/2014 09:56

Just in case futures buying algos forgot what the regurgitated “catalyst” that activated the overnight ramp was, the ECB was kind enough to remind everyone that the main event over the past 12 hours was the Deutsche Bank leak that while the ECB will not [...]

The Greatest Depression? German Yields Now Negative Through 2017

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/27/2014 08:28 -0400

Another night, another sell-side bank suggests European QE must be getting closer and, along with more un-de-escalation in Russia-Ukraine, the bid for German bonds continues to surge as Europe’s greater depression appears increasingly priced into bonds. Yields on all German bonds out to 3 [...]

More Bad News Out Of Europe Coupled With Hopes For More QE Push Stocks, Bonds Higher

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/27/2014 07:10 -0400

If the big hope propelling both ES and S&P cash over 2,000 was the Ukraine-Russian talks, leading to some de-escalation and a thawing of Russian-German conditions, then it was clearly a dud. As the WSJ reports, “face-to-face talks between the Russian and Ukrainian [...]

China Industrial Commodities Collapse As Sentiment Tumbles To 15-Month Lows

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/26/2014 19:35

Unlike the QE-lite-driven exuberance in Chinese stocks of the last few weeks (which faded dramatically overnight), China’s industrial commodities (with near-record inventories) and seeing prices collapse. This may shock some who espy PMIs and government-created trade data and proclaim, China is fixed. In fact, as [...]

Road Sign Says: Pot Of Gold Ahead

news.goldseek.com / By Stewart Thomson / 26 August 2014

A week ago, I suggested gold would likely decline from the $1300 area to about $1275 and stop there, adding bullish symmetry to an inverse head and shoulders bottom pattern. Please click here now. That’s the hourly bars chart for gold. It’s clear that gold declined [...]

Today is about Politics and US Durtable Goods Orders

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / August 26, 2014

The US dollar is little changed. The consolidative tone, however, does not hide the fact that, despite the stretched technical conditions, participants are still buying the slightest dollar pullback. The euro sold into the early gains that carried it to $1.3215 in early European activity. [...]

copens doors to QE as Germany and France stumble

gata.org / By James Titcomb, The Telegraph, London / August 25, 2014

The eurozone has moved closer to adopting further radical measures to ward off a second recession and a spiral of deflation after its two biggest economies fell deeper into trouble yesterday.

The dual shock of a French government reshuffle and weaker-than-expected German figures [...]

The Japanification Of Europe

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/25/2014 14:45

According to the 1990s Japan script, European QE is just what the doctor ordered to raise growth and inflation expectations… oh wait…

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Occam’s Razor and Bank Lending

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Saturday, August 23, 2014 8:36 PM

I received an interesting question on bank lending just a bit ago.

The question is in reference to Euro Bond Bubble Guaranteed to Burst where I stated …

“Would QE by the ECB spur European bank lending? Of course not. [...]

Europe’s Real Borrowing Costs

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/23/2014 20:01 -0400

Just what Europe needs… more QE… this is the real problem – not only is demand for credit weak in the periphery as the balance sheet recession rolls on, but “real” borrowing costs are at near-record highs… Despite Draghi’s earlier comments and promises, cramming [...]

German Two-Year Bonds Have Negative Yield, Demand High; Euro Bond Bubble Guaranteed to Burst

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / August 22, 2014

Central bank money madness continues, with market participants expecting QE to begin in Europe.

Would QE by the ECB spur European bank lending? Of course not. Banks do not lend from excess reserves. Banks lend (provided they are not capital impaired), when credit-worthy [...]

Mario Draghi Takes The Wind Out Of Citi’s “QE In December” Sails

zerohedge.com / Tyler Durden on 08/22/2014 14:29

With Yellen’s speech a bit of a letdown for the doves – she did not go full-dovish – markets anxiously await Mario Draghi to promise whetever for ever and ever… While financial markets don’t expect bombshells, his speech is an opportunity to underscore that ECB [...]

Janet Yellen’s J-Hole Speech: Slack Remains, QE Is Over, Rates Could Rise Sooner (Or Later)

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/22/2014 10:04

Simply put, as Citi noted, unless Fed head Janet Yellen goes full-dovish, risk assets face tremendous downside potential. As ConvergEx’s Nick Colas notes, Yellen receives a “B” grade from financial professionals, fewer than half (49%) of those surveyed approve of the job the [...]

Roundup Of Key Research Papers At Jackson Hole

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/22/2014 09:12

With all eyes and ears firmly focused Janet Yellen’s opening oratory this morning (due at 10ET), the contents of the rest of the conference appear to have been forgotten (and yet in the past have been among the most crucial to comprehend central banks’ actions [...]

Dour Comments By China’s Leading Supply Chain Manager Reinforce Citi’s View For €1 Trillion ECB QE

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/22/2014 08:52 -0400

While the US Q2 earnings season is now largely in the history books, an interesting place to get some additional commentary on the world economy is none other than China’s leading global sourcing/supply-chain management firm Li & Fung, which “supplies high-volume, time-sensitive consumer goods [...]

3 Reasons why gold is set to rally

truthingold.com / Dave in Denver / August 22, 2014 at 07:30

In recent months there has been renewed investor interest in gold, with the first half of 2014 seeing the gold price rise by 10 per cent.Investors have also tempered their gold ETF selling year on year. Last year saw global gold ETF holdings decline [...]

Why the Fed Must Taper

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / CHARLES HUGH SMITH / THURSDAY, AUGUST 21, 2014

The Fed is being forced to end its bond-buying, cutting off the “free money for financiers” that has sustained a frothy stock market.

While the Federal Reserve presents itself as free to do whatever it pleases whenever it pleases, the reality is [...]

If QE Is Ending Because It Was So Successful, Then Here Are A Few Simple Questions

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/21/2014 18:25

Several very simple questions from Guy Haselmann of Scotiabank:

If QE is ending because it was so successful, then why is aggressive forward guidance necessary? If QE worked so well, then why will Yellen likely need to mention ‘the elevated number of part time workers’, ‘under-utilization of [...]

The Italian Job: How Borrowing And Printing Lead To An Economic Dead End

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / August 21, 2014

Earlier this week Bloomberg published a devastating chart showing real hourly wage growth for the first 60 months of every cycle going back to 1949. The 11 cycle average gain was 9% and the largest was 19% a half century back.

Daily Pfennig: Fed Meeting Minutes Are Looked At Differently

caseyresearch.com / Chuck Butler / August 21, 2014 8:18am

In This Issue.

* Dollar’s mini-rally stalls. * Norwegian 2nd QTR GDP beats expectations! * Eurozone Flash PMI’s are weaker. * SDR’s in our future?

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Fed Meeting Minutes Are Looked At Differently.

Good Day! . And a Tub [...]

Gold 2014: The Year Of Transition

news.goldseek.com / By Stewart Thomson / 19 August 2014

In any market, but especially precious metals, price pullbacks rarely proceed according to expectations. Most “buying opportunities” are perhaps better defined as gulags and torture chambers. Regardless, it’s almost impossible to build retained wealth without enduring a significant amount of pain, so please click here now. [...]

Charting The Diminishing Effects Of QE

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 08/19/2014 13:42

For each $1 of additional quantitative easing by The Fed, the S&P 500 adds $4 of market capitalization.

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5 Things To Ponder: Multifarious Cogitation

streettalklive.com / Lance Roberts / 15 August 2014

1) Stanley Fischer & Schrodinger’s Cat by Jeffrey Snider via Alhambra Partners

This past Monday, Stanley Fischer, the official who took over as Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve in June, commented that the weak economic recovery might simply be continued fallout from [...]

Decision Time!

blog.milesfranklin.com / By Andrew Hoffman / August 13th, 2014

esterday was a prototypical example of TPTB attempting to prolong increasingly tenuous “recovery” and “de-escalation” propaganda by attacking “unfavorable” markets like PMs, while supporting “favorable” ones like equities. I mean, how many times can the “Dow Jones Propaganda Average” be supported by a 10:00 [...]

Daily Pfennig: German ZEW Drops To 2012 Level

caseyresearch.com / By Chuck Butler / August 12, 2014 4:32am

In This Issue.

* Currencies remain mixed but. * The bias to buy dollars remains. * Chuck reminisces of his Alderman days. * Jeff Clark’s 7 reasons he’s buying Silver!

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

German ZEW Drops To 2012 Level.

Good [...]

QE Could Be Coming to an End – So What?

news.goldseek.com / Matt Machaj / 8 August 2014

It is important to review the minutes released recently by the Fed, since they may well signal a turning point in monetary policy. The programs of active purchasing of government debt and commercial assets may be curtailed. Yet, as we have often discussed at length, it [...]

Fed’s Fisher: End of ZIRP moved ‘further forward’

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / August 6, 2014

The stock market swoon since late July has been ascribed in the media to the conflicts in Ukraine and elsewhere. But they’ve been going on for weeks and month. And they’ve just now suddenly started to impact stocks? Or was it something else, something [...]