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Bloomberg’s Commodity Index Drops To Lowest Since 2009: What Does It Mean?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/22/2014 12:31

Moments ago we learned that for all talk of a commodity “bottom”, the “energetic” dead cat has resumed its inverse bounce. To wit:

BLOOMBERG COMMODITY INDEX EXTENDS DROP TO LOWEST SINCE 2009

So what does that mean? The answer: it all depends on whose narrative one […]

The Most Common Error in Economic Debates

acting-man.com / Keith Weiner / December 22, 2014

The Problem of Contingent Data

Have you ever been in an argument about whether we should raise taxes and then someone tosses out a real whopper? “The top tax rate for decades after World War II was over 90% and look how the economy boomed!”

Or […]

Two Months After Saying “Deflation Isn’t Going To Happen” ECB Warns “Negative Inflation” Is Coming

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/21/2014 14:30

Remember when on the last weekend of October, the ECB released the results from its latest farcical stress test, which contained the following pearl: “within the massive 178-page Stress Test document, there is a “whopping” 4 mentions of the word inflation (deflation appears just once). Here […]

A Look Ahead Into 2015

gold-eagle.com / by Cliff Droke / December 21, 2014

With 2014 winding down, now would be a convenient time to discuss the prospects for the financial market and economy in 2015.

Year 2014 was in some respects a tumultuous year; from the slowdown in Europe and China to the collapse in oil and agricultural […]

Mortgage Rate: 3.8% for 30 Years

teapartyeconomist.com / by Gary North / December 19, 2014

The rate of price inflation (median CPI) was up a tiny 0.1% last month. The CPI was down by -0.3%.

The 30-year mortgage rate is at 3.8%

There is no “inflation premium” in the mortgage rate today. This sends a signal: “Don’t worry about price inflation. […]

The Keynesian PhD Brigade Strikes Again: Sweden’s Riksbank Joins The ZIRP Mania

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / December 19, 2014

Folks, it’s a tyranny of the PhDs. Recently, the central bank of Sweden was subject to a withering tirade by that oracle of Keynesian rubbish, professor Paul Krugman, who accused it of “sado-monetarism” for leaving the Swedish economy exposed to the mythical economic disease of […]

Competitive Theories: “Deflation Warning” vs. “Inflation is Nearly Everywhere”

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / December 18, 2014

Theory #1: Break-Even Rates Provide “Deflation Warning”

Bloomberg is sounding a Deflation Warning as 2-Year Break-Even Rates Go Negative.

Break-even rates are the difference between treasuries and the same-duration Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). The break-even rate turned negative yesterday for the first time since 2009.

In […]

How The Fed Masterfully Punk’d Algos Into A Stock Buying Frenzy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 12/18/2014 13:59

Something unexpected took took place yesterday: as we showed just after the FOMC statement hit, while the “hawks” had been pre-advised by the unofficial Fed mouthpieces to watch for instances of the word “patient” as a signal of shift in monetary policy by Yellen, the “doves” were […]

The Price of Gold and the Art of War Part III

news.goldseek.com / By Darryl Robert Schoon / 18 December 2014

If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by

Sun Tzu, The Art of War, fifth century BC

When growth slows in capital markets, the bankers’ daisy-chain of credit and debt breaks […]

How Inflation Changes Retirement Benefit Choices

gold-eagle.com / Daniel R. Amerman / December 17, 2014

One of the most important financial questions someone of retirement age in the United States faces is when to start collecting their Social Security payments ─ and this crucial decision deserves the best possible information to work from.

Recently, there has been quite a bit of […]

Soaring Inflation Around The Globe: Cartier Hikes Russian Prices By 50%, Suntory Whiskey Prices Surge 25% In Japan

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 12/17/2014 11:05

As the Fed continues to rely on seasonally-adjusted survey data to validate its belief that the time to hike rates is coming, even as market-implied inflation swap rates are back to 2008 levels, the one thing that continues to happen everywhere but in the US is […]

Janet Yellen: Gold Rally Catalyst?

gold-eagle.com / Stewart Thomson / December 16, 2014

1. Is Santa Claus coming to town this year? For US stock market investors, it looks like the Grinch just stole Christmas! 2. Stock markets around the world are reeling, under pressure from the tumbling price of oil. On that daily chart of the Dow, it appears […]

The Russian Rubble

acting-man.com / Pater Tenebrarum / December 16, 2014

From Ruble to Rubble in a Heartbeat

The Russian ruble has been in panicked free-fall, not unlike the oil price. Last night the Russian central bank reacted by hiking its interest rates, not in baby steps, but rather in giant strides. This was incidentally the second […]

17 Reasons Why I Trust Silver

goldsilverworlds.com / Gary Christenson / December 15, 201

War and Inflation From Earnest Hemingway: “The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.” This was true before WWII […]

How Change Is Stymied — Paul Craig Roberts

paulcraigroberts.org / By Paul Craig Roberts / December 15, 2014

The gangsters who run the US financial system have determined opponents. Among them are Elizabeth Warren, Nomi Prins, Pam and Russ Martens, Michael Hudson, and David Stockman.

I have often expressed my admiration for Warren, Prins, Martens, and Hudson. In his latest column, David Stockman […]

Deflation or Inflation?

news.goldseek.com / By Gary Tanashian / 15 December 2014

At the prodding of an NFTRH subscriber who was combing through old issues, I went back and read NFTRH 7, from November of 2008 and was struck by how things have really not changed in the last 6 years of non-stop inflationary policy; they have intensified […]

Fairytales From The Eccles Building: 15 Reasons Fed Policies Belong in Fantasyland

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / By James Rickards / December 14, 2014

Don’t ever think for a minute that the central bankers know what they’re doing. They don’t. And that’s my own view, but I’ve heard that recently from a couple central bankers. I recently had spent some time with one member of the FOMC, the Federal Open […]

Consumer Price Deflation for 15 Consecutive Months in Spain, CPI Now -0.4 Percent

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / by Mike “Mish” Shedlock / December 14, 2014

Spain is in the midst of consumer price deflation going on 15 months. Inflation is -0.4% and falling. El Confidential reports Deflation is Cast in the Spanish Economy … and No Disasters (For Now).

It is rare to see publications looking at the […]

Is Inflation Oversold?

gold-eagle.com / by Gary Tanashian / December 12, 2014

First, for all you right minded wording detectives out there, you are absolutely right… inflation is not rising prices and deflation is not dropping prices. Also, deflation is not two measures of a heavily manipulated bond market (chart 1) dropping impulsively. But for the sake of […]

Italy coming Closer & Closer to Leaving EU

armstrongeconomics.com / by Martin Armstrong / December 12, 2014

In Italy, there are again serious protests against austerity measures. A major general strike has paralyzed Italy as public life style has simply collapsed. Nationally, 54 demonstrations were held around the country.Citizens are protesting against the austerity measures and labor market reforms the government […]