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Housing Recovery: Thin Ice

teapartyeconomist.com / By Mark Hanson / January 27, 2015

This “housing recovery” has not been about demand, rather house-price super-inflation, which is suspect as price is a “lagging” indicator to demand.

Existing Home demand has been extremely weak since mid-2013, when rates popped and the unorthodox demand began to dry up. “End-user” Existing home […]

The search for the smallest home in Los Angeles currently for sale: 3 properties in various parts of L.A. Washington Mutual sins still relevant in 2015.

doctorhousingbubble.com / by Dr. Housing Bubble / January 22, 2015

Whenever the mainstream press talks about the housing market they rarely provide pictures of the crap that is selling. They speak in overall glossy trends with flowery language but fail to put a picture to what is actually selling in the market. The rent is […]

The Dead Mortgage Cat Bounce Is Over

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 01/14/2015 11:42

While earlier today the MBA came out with some absolutely ridiculous numbers namely that there was a 49.1% surge in mortgage applications in the week ended January 9, this was, as Stone McCarthy reported, due largely to seasonals. To wit: “The MBA’s broad mortgage application index […]

Running Out of Bricks

acting-man.com / Pater Tenebrarum / January 5, 2015

A Warning Sign for the UK Housing Market

The UK real estate boom has largely recovered from the brief hick-up in 2008-2009, whereby the biggest price increases were as usual seen in London and the counties in London’s immediate neighborhood. As a result, prices have not yet […]

It’s Official: Home Price Inflation Strangling US Housing Market

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / December 29, 2014

Mortgages are hard to get, and inventories of homes for sale are low: Those have been the dominant reasons cited by the industry to rationalize the crummy home sales that have disappointed pundits for over a year. But now those memes have been debunked by […]

Five Interesting Posts to Whet Your Political Economy Appetite

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / December 24, 2014

1. To make US shale production economical, it required a high price of oil and access to cheap credit. The latter was predicated on the former. From the exploration and production to the transportation and housing markets in Texas and North Dakota, the whole shale ecosystem […]

2015 Housing Predictions: The Bar Is So Low We Might Trip On It

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Logan Mohtashami / December 22, 2014

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Logan Mohtashami. To view original,click here.

2014 was not a great year for the housing market. Higher inventories in many areas and low mortgage interest rates lead to lofty promises of booming mortgage purchase applications and “nirvana” for new […]

Why Millennials are stuck living at home with parents: The impact on first time home buying, renting, and the 2015 housing market. Big jump in foreign EB-5 visas.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / December 11th, 2014

The Federal Reserve conducted a study on Millennials and tried to ascertain why so many of them are living at home. Is it too much student debt? Lower incomes? Or is it that home prices are simply unaffordable? The study finds that all of these factors […]

The Housing Market: Fact vs. Fiction

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / November 25, 2014

The homebuilders have had near-parabolic run-up in their stock prices. This is not atypical of the sector, which is twice as volatile as the overall stock market because of the extreme amount of debt embedded in homebuilder balance sheets and the relatively high short-interest in […]

You can’t afford to live in California: Only 30 percent of families can afford to purchase a home in California. Over 80 percent of California unaffordable on a teacher’s salary.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 18th, 2014

The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) is once again flashing red for California. Los Angeles and Orange counties are two of the most expensive markets to rent relative to what people earn in the area. The The HAI is showing that once again, California is incredibly overpriced. […]

The condo alternative pitch: Tiny homes in Pasadena continue to hit the market for first time home buyers.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 16th, 2014

There is a heavy premium that is placed on purchasing a single family detached property. In the past, condos were seen as a fine entry point into the housing market before trading up to a single family detached home. But with current home and condo prices, […]

Housing Market: Desperation Is Setting In

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By Dave Kranzler / November 6, 2014

A colleague of mine who has a second residence in Arizona told me today that he received a card in the mail from Toll Brothers. TOL was offering to reimburse up to $2,000 in travel expenses if the person receiving the card bought a new […]

Goldman Shows “Equity Bust” Risk Highest Since 2008

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 11/04/2014 18:53

With the equity market back to near-historical highs, Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius revisits his analysis of the predictability of asset price busts. The main predictors of busts are past asset price appreciation and past credit growth, followed by a rising investment/GDP ratio. Hatzius warns that their […]

Buyer traffic slows down and the great housing standoff: Buyer and seller traffic declined substantially to start the fall real estate season.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 3rd, 2014

The latest figures from the National Association of Realtors show that both buyer and seller traffic declined substantially to start the fall selling season. The assumption was that the mania of 2013 would carry forward and slapping on a faux hardwood floor would suddenly add $50,000 […]

Blame the fall in homeownership on Generation X: Why did the homeownership rate fall so dramatically for those 35 to 44?

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / October 31st, 2014

We’ve all heard about the broke Millennials living at home with mom and dad unable to move out into a very expensive rental. For years, we’ve been told that somehow this young group of people would represent some pent up demand to buy homes. This demand […]

What Options Are Left for Central Banks?

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / By CHARLES HUGH SMITH / OCTOBER 15, 2014

Central banks have reached a fork in the road.

Never before have quasi-omnipotent financial gods had so few powers. A lot is being written about central bank policies now as the Federal Reserve ends its primary quantitative easing (QE) program and the limitations of central […]

Further Deterioration In Housing Market Fundamentals

investmentresearchdynamics.com / David Kranzler / October 6, 2014

The construction rate for single-family homes is about 40% below its long-term average, but even that depressed pace may be too high given that vacancy rates haven’t dropped much from post-housing-collapse highs – Jed Kolko, chief economist, Trulia.com

I have been making the case for over a […]

Drop In Pending Homes Sales Portends Bigger Drop For Housing Market

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / October 1, 2014

I know, I know I’ve been radio silent on the precious metals sector. That’s because there’s nothing constructive for me say right now given the extreme level of intervention going on and everyone can read rants about that ad nauseum on a lot of other blogs. […]

Case-Shiller: Home Prices Decline For The Third Month In A Row

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / September 30, 2014

“The broad-based deceleration in home prices continued in the most recent data,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices

The housing market was greeted with a double-whammy so far this week. Yesterday’s Pending Home Sales Index for August […]

New Homebuilder Short-Sell Report Is Posted

investmentresearchdynamics.com / by David Kranzler / September 30, 2014

The National Association of Realtor’s Pending Home Sales Report for August was out today. It showed a 1% drop from July to August – despite a Wall St. consensus estimate looking for a .8% gain. July’s index was also revised slightly lower. It showed a 2.2% […]