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The Housing Market: Fact vs. Fiction

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / November 25, 2014

The homebuilders have had near-parabolic run-up in their stock prices. This is not atypical of the sector, which is twice as volatile as the overall stock market because of the extreme amount of debt embedded in homebuilder balance sheets and the relatively high short-interest in […]

You can’t afford to live in California: Only 30 percent of families can afford to purchase a home in California. Over 80 percent of California unaffordable on a teacher’s salary.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 18th, 2014

The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) is once again flashing red for California. Los Angeles and Orange counties are two of the most expensive markets to rent relative to what people earn in the area. The The HAI is showing that once again, California is incredibly overpriced. […]

The condo alternative pitch: Tiny homes in Pasadena continue to hit the market for first time home buyers.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 16th, 2014

There is a heavy premium that is placed on purchasing a single family detached property. In the past, condos were seen as a fine entry point into the housing market before trading up to a single family detached home. But with current home and condo prices, […]

Housing Market: Desperation Is Setting In

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By Dave Kranzler / November 6, 2014

A colleague of mine who has a second residence in Arizona told me today that he received a card in the mail from Toll Brothers. TOL was offering to reimburse up to $2,000 in travel expenses if the person receiving the card bought a new […]

Goldman Shows “Equity Bust” Risk Highest Since 2008

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 11/04/2014 18:53

With the equity market back to near-historical highs, Goldman Sachs’ Jan Hatzius revisits his analysis of the predictability of asset price busts. The main predictors of busts are past asset price appreciation and past credit growth, followed by a rising investment/GDP ratio. Hatzius warns that their […]

Buyer traffic slows down and the great housing standoff: Buyer and seller traffic declined substantially to start the fall real estate season.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / November 3rd, 2014

The latest figures from the National Association of Realtors show that both buyer and seller traffic declined substantially to start the fall selling season. The assumption was that the mania of 2013 would carry forward and slapping on a faux hardwood floor would suddenly add $50,000 […]

Blame the fall in homeownership on Generation X: Why did the homeownership rate fall so dramatically for those 35 to 44?

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / October 31st, 2014

We’ve all heard about the broke Millennials living at home with mom and dad unable to move out into a very expensive rental. For years, we’ve been told that somehow this young group of people would represent some pent up demand to buy homes. This demand […]

What Options Are Left for Central Banks?

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / By CHARLES HUGH SMITH / OCTOBER 15, 2014

Central banks have reached a fork in the road.

Never before have quasi-omnipotent financial gods had so few powers. A lot is being written about central bank policies now as the Federal Reserve ends its primary quantitative easing (QE) program and the limitations of central […]

Further Deterioration In Housing Market Fundamentals

investmentresearchdynamics.com / David Kranzler / October 6, 2014

The construction rate for single-family homes is about 40% below its long-term average, but even that depressed pace may be too high given that vacancy rates haven’t dropped much from post-housing-collapse highs – Jed Kolko, chief economist, Trulia.com

I have been making the case for over a […]

Drop In Pending Homes Sales Portends Bigger Drop For Housing Market

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / October 1, 2014

I know, I know I’ve been radio silent on the precious metals sector. That’s because there’s nothing constructive for me say right now given the extreme level of intervention going on and everyone can read rants about that ad nauseum on a lot of other blogs. […]

Case-Shiller: Home Prices Decline For The Third Month In A Row

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / September 30, 2014

“The broad-based deceleration in home prices continued in the most recent data,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices

The housing market was greeted with a double-whammy so far this week. Yesterday’s Pending Home Sales Index for August […]

New Homebuilder Short-Sell Report Is Posted

investmentresearchdynamics.com / by David Kranzler / September 30, 2014

The National Association of Realtor’s Pending Home Sales Report for August was out today. It showed a 1% drop from July to August – despite a Wall St. consensus estimate looking for a .8% gain. July’s index was also revised slightly lower. It showed a 2.2% […]

America’s “All Important” Housing Market Flashing Red After Bad Data Double Whammy

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 09/30/2014 10:12

Those who read Zero Hedge regularly will be aware that for us no other regional US housing market is more important than that of the San Francisco. Recall from June:

When it comes to critical housing markets in the US, none is more important than […]

In Detail, Why The New Homes Sales Report Was Completely Flawed

investmentresearchdynamics.com / David Kranzler / September 27, 2014

Gyrating wildly month-to-month, as seen also with the extreme and unstable monthly reporting of the housing-starts series in Commentary No. 660, headline August new-home sales rose by an incredible 18.0% for the month. Even more incredible—as to why the Census Bureau even bothers to publish […]

Last Time this Happened, the Housing Market Crashed

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / September 25, 2014

Homebuilder KB Homes, when it reported earnings for the quarter ended August 31, revealed that the average price of the homes it sold rose 9% to $327,000. In the West, prices jumped by 20% to $579,700. With these juicy price increases, sales in […]

August Existing Home Sales Tank Despite Lowest Mortgage Rates In Year

investmentresearchdynamics.com / David Kranzler / September 23, 2014

Just for the record, I would not be surprised is tomorrow’s new home sales report is stronger than expected. The numbers are coming from the Government’s Census Bureau and the new home sales series has been irregularly volatile and unreliable. But based on every […]

Turning the nation into permanent renters: Stagnant household incomes and growing renter class strikes at core of home ownership.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / September 22nd, 2014

The summer selling season has now come to an official close. Not that it had much substance behind it. The sales volume has been wickedly low for all the hoopla being bandied about how great the housing market is doing. Much of the momentum […]

China’s Housing Slump Accelerates, Worst In Over Three Years

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 09/18/2014 08:22 -0400

While the rest of the world is focused on what any given “developed” (or Chinese) central bank will do to continue the relentless liquidity-driven rally to new record highs, China has bigger problems as it continues to scramble in its attempts to figure out […]

SoCal housing market so hot, sellers finding the need to cut prices: One third of sellers in Orange County have found the need to cut asking price.

doctorhousingbubble.com / Dr. Housing Bubble / September 14th, 2014

While the heat wave continues in SoCal drawing out the summer, there is little momentum from the 2013 real estate bonanza. Sellers with their awe inspiring wisdom are finding that no, they simply cannot ask for delusional prices on their stucco box crap shacks. […]

The Entire Housing Market Hit A Wall In August

investmentresearchdynamics.com / By David Kranzler / September 12, 2014

“I spent well over an hour surveying the housing market in my area (south-metro Denver) and the market is flooded with homes for sale, with many mid-range ($500-$750) homes being lowered 5-10% in price and still sitting on the market. Zillow is estimating […]