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Great Graphic: G7 GDP

marctomarket.com / By Marc Chandler / July 24, 2014

The UK is typically the first G7 country to report its official estimate of quarterly GDP figures. Today was the day. Growth in Q2 was spot on expectations, matching the 0.8% pace seen in Q1. The US will issue its first estimate next week.

Today’s [...]

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – Metals Bounce, Huge Week for Events and News Coming

jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com / July 25, 2014

Gold and silver bounced back quite a bit from the bear raid earlier this week.Things are so boring on the Comex I think they didn’t bother to update the clearing reports or the warehouse data.Next week is going to be a huge week for news. First off we have a [...]

The Coming Slump

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / 25 July 2014

Governments and central banks have made little or no progress in recovering from the Lehman crisis six years ago. The problem is not helped by dependence on statistics which are downright misleading. This is particularly true of real GDP, comprised of nominal GDP deflated by an [...]

The Chart That Keeps Mario Draghi Up At Night

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/24/2014 19:33

With peripheral European sovereign bond yields at or near record lows, no matter how much GDP gets downgraded (Italy), banking system collapses (Portugal), or loan losses surge (Spain); things must be great for borrowers, right? Wrong! And this is exactly what keeps Mario Draghi up at [...]

IMF Cuts US GDP From 2.0% To 1.7% As US Retail Sales Forecast Slashed From 4.1% To 3.6%: Winter Blamed

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/23/2014 12:05

This is what happens when a priced to perfection global economy (and well beyond perfection based on the S&P 500) runs into the utterly and completely unpredictable and unforseeable “harsh winter weather.”

First, the IMF just cut (again) its forecast for US [...]

Another Chinese Economic Problem: Sky-High Debt Ratios

thedailybell.com / By Staff Report / July 23, 2014

China’s terrifying debt ratios poised to breeze past US levels … The China-US sorpasso is looming … The sorpasso may instead be the ominous moment when China’s debt ratios overtake the arch-debtor itself … A a new report from Stephen Green at Standard Chartered argues [...]

Chinese Government Frets Out Loud About Property Bubble Taking Down the Economy

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / July 22, 2014

China’s economic miracle is addicted to credit, no matter what the source, that was plowed into the ground to build no matter what, houses, high-speed rail lines, forests of skyscrapers, massive industrial overcapacity, entire ghost cities….

These activities created millions of jobs [...]

Krugman’s Latest Debt Denial: Why His Two Magic Numbers Don’t Cut It

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / July 22, 2014

Professor Krugman is at it again—–conjuring fairy tales about a benign long-term fiscal outlook. Notwithstanding that the public debt has surged from 40% to 75% of GDP during the six short years since 2008, he claims there is no reason to fret and [...]

Three Charts Of The Week: Money Printing Is Not Bringing Prosperity To Main Street

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / July 20, 2014

Furious money printing by the world’s major central banks is not generating real growth and prosperity—–but professional economists never seem to get the word. As shown below, the 2014 outlook for global real growth has been marked down sharply since early 2013. Back [...]

What Recovery? US Macro Suffers Longest Streak Of Weakness Since Lehman

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/19/2014 19:45

Despite the best efforts of The Fed, its apologists, and the commission-taking talking-heads to persuade the world that the US economy is picking up and set to reach escape velocity any minute… the fact is, the US economy (judged on [...]

Hoisington: 30Y Treasury Bonds Are Undervalued

zerohedge.com / Via Hoisington Investment Management / 07/19/2014 16:45

Hoisington Investment Management – Quarterly Review and Outlook, Second Quarter 2014

Treasury Bonds Undervalued

Thirty-year treasury bonds appear to be undervalued based on the tepid growth rate of the U.S. economy. The past four quarters have recorded a nominal “top-line” GDP expansion of [...]

World GDP Hopes Are Collapsing

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/18/2014 21:10

Presented with no comment (except to note how different the “fact” in this chart is from the “fantasy” we hear spewed day after day about ‘recovery’ in the world’s economy)…

READ MORE

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China vs. Japan Debt Capacity; Impact of Debt on Chinese Growth; Chinese Recovery On Paper

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 18, 2014

Chinese Recovery On Paper

Is China really growing at the reported 7.5% rate? I have frequently stated “no chance”. Malinvestments in housing, vacant cities, vacant malls, and roads with no traffic prove the point. Michael Pettis at China Financial Markets reiterates that view in [...]

The Fed’s Paint-By-The-Numbers Insanity: Why Humphrey-Hawkins Should Be Repealed Now

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / July 17, 2014

Janet Yellen’s circuitous prattle before the congressional committees this week is a reminder that the Humphrey-Hawkins Act is an obsolete relic and should be repealed. It arose out of the Keynesian heyday in the 1970s and is predicated on a closed US economy. [...]

“Treasury Bond Undervalued” Says Hoisington Second Quarter Review; Path to Fiscal Ruin

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 16, 2014

The Hoisington Investment Management, Second Quarter 2014 Review and Outlook makes the case “Treasury Bond Undervalued“.

Thirty-year treasury bonds appear to be undervalued based on the tepid growth rate of the U.S. economy. The past four quarters have recorded a nominal “top-line” GDP expansion of [...]

Q1 Productivity Collapsed Most In Over 60 Years; Goldman Fears Consequences

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/16/2014 19:04

The official measure of Q1 productivity growth currently looks likely to be revised down to almost -6% (annualized) – the worst in almost 70 years. As Goldman points out, even on a longer-term basis, the 4-, 8-, and 12-quarter trends are all in a 0.2%-0.6% range [...]

Video of the Day – Elizabeth Warren Torches Janet Yellen on TBTF

libertyblitzkrieg.com / Michael Krieger / July 16, 2014

Before you watch the video, I want to highlight an excellent article published this morning by Yves Smith over at Naked Capitalism titled, Yellen Tells Whoppers to the New Yorker. The title doesn’t do justice to the powerful and scathing critique of the fraud that [...]

The Absolute Peak Of Lunacy

blog.milesfranklin.com / Andrew Hoffman / July 16th, 2014

Let’s start by simply getting the “pink elephant” out of the way. Yesterday’s PM “drive-by shooting,” on essentially the lowest volume trading day of the year, represents an act of desperation as urgent as any we’ve seen to date. In the past month, whilst gold [...]

Analyzing The Impact Of Fed Rate Hikes On Markets & Economy

streettalklive.com / Lance Roberts / 15 July 2014

There has been much discussion as of late about the end of the current quantitative easing program and the beginning of the Federal Reserve “normalizing” interest rates. The primary assumption is that as interest rates normalize, the financial markets will continue to rise as [...]

Triple Whammy for German Economy

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / July 15, 2014

I have a guest post this morning from Saxo Bank chief economist Steen Jakobsen regarding the slowing German economy. Steen says the German economy is decelerating too quick for comfort and faces a triple whammy from Asian rebalancing, the US economy, and a bad energy [...]

Richard Russell – People Are Going Broke & It Will Get Ugly

kingworldnews.com / July 15, 2014

At nearly 90 years old, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, warned that he expects this ongoing crisis to get very ugly. The 60-year market veteran also included some very troubling guest commentaries warning that, sadly, people are simply going broke in the United States.

Japanese GDP “Guesses” Are Collapsing; Here’s The 3rd Arrow That Will ‘Save’ It

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/14/2014 21:29

Japan’s GDP may have declined in April and May, implying an overall collapse for Q2 not seen since 2009. Bloomberg’s Nowcast estimate suggests that the hope-strewn pre-tax-hike pile up of a +6.7% annualized GDP growth in Q1 will come crashing back to earth as [...]

Inside the Strange Mind of NATO’s Anders Fogh Rasmussen

ronpaulinstitute.org / robert wenzel / friday july 11, 2014

This week, I attended a talk here in San Francisco by NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, sponsored jointly by The World Affairs Council and The Commonwealth Club.I have never heard remarks before quite like those made by Rasmussen, the former Prime Minister of Denmark.In nearly [...]

The Wall Street “Escape Velocity” Scam: GDP Forecasts Fizzling For Fourth Straight Year

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / David Stockman / July 11, 2014

There is nothing more predictable than the bevy of Wall Street economists who come charging out of the blocks early each year proclaiming that money printing by the Fed will finally work its magic, and that real GDP growth will hit “escape velocity”. But this [...]

What’s Wrong With This Chart?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/10/2014 15:4

The consensus estimate for US GDP growth in 2014 has collapsed. 4 months ago, the world of serial extrapolators and mean-reverters prognosticated that 2014 GDP would reach the lofty heights of 2.9%. Today – on the heels of numerous micro- and macro-fundamental realities, consensus US GDP growth [...]

Second Company Admits “It’s Not The Weather” – It’s The Economy, Stupid

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/10/2014 11:00

On the heels of Wal-Mart’s dismissal of the “great” jobs report, The Container Store CEO yesterday explained how Q1 weakness was “not just the weather” but an overall ‘funk’ in consumer spending. Last night we had a second firm – the much more integrated [...]

Why Killing The Ex-Im Bank Is Crucial To The Future Of Capitalism

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman / July 8, 2014

The surface facts make abundantly clear that the case for the Ex-Im Bank is truly lame. In the most recent year (2013), its credit guarantees and other programs accounted for $37 billion of exports or less than 2% of the $2.2 trillion of exports [...]

Daily Pfennig: Fitch Raises N.Z.‘s Outlook!

caseyresearch.com / BY Chuck Butler / July 8, 2014 6:17am

In This Issue.

* High Yielders gain VS dollars today. * U.K. IP prints negative, pushing down pound sterling. * Consumer Credit rebound good or bad? * Total U.S. debt is out of control!

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Fitch Raises N.Z.’s [...]

The Deteriorating Economic Outlook

paulcraigroberts.org / By Paul Craig Roberts, Dave Kranzler, and John Williams / July 8, 2014

The third and final estimate (until the annual GDP revisions) of first quarter 2014 real GDP growth released June 25 by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was a 2.9% contraction in GDP growth, a 5.5 percentage [...]

Chart Of The Day: The “Weather-Apologist Economist”‘s Worst Nightmare

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 07/07/2014 18:36

We have been a little more than skeptical of the extent to which the total and utter $118 Billion collapse in Q1 GDP in the USA was due to weather – as opposed to the tapering reality of an American consumer that feels anything but ‘recovered’. [...]