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It’s Official: Fed Sees 0.0% GDP Growth In The First Quarter

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 04/01/2015 13:22

The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2015 has been downgraded once again… to 0.0 percent on April 1, down from 2.3 percent on Feb 13th.

READ MORE

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Don’t Fall for the “Recovery” Myth

acting-man.com / by Bill Bonner / April 1, 2015

Image Credit: Tashatuvango

A Great Way to Invest until Disaster Strikes

An economy is like an ecosystem. It is not the result of central planning; it evolves in ways the planners cannot even imagine.

What central planner would have imagined Instagram, Snapchat or Uber? And […]

Expect Volatility With First Decline in Corporate Earnings in Three Years

financialsense.com / by MATTHEW KERKHOFF / 03/31/2015

The stock market rises and falls for many reasons, but in the long run, its direction is primarily driven by earnings and interest rates. Stock prices and corporate earnings are positively correlated, while stock prices and interest rates tend to be inversely correlated.

We’ve talked about interest rates […]

U.S. Isolated in Opposition to Chinese Bank

europac.com / By John Browne / March 31, 2015

Over the past few decades while the economic power of the Chinese has grown exponentially, many observers have been surprised by the relative willingness of China to operate within the financial and economic framework established by the dominant Western order. But it should now be blatantly […]

Goldman’s “Excel Fat Finger” – Says Earlier GDP Estimate Was A Mistake, Lowers Q1 GDP Tracking To Just 0.8%

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/30/2015 15:09

Back in 2014, Goldman’s Jan Hatzius was proud to announce he anticipated the US economy growing solidly in 2015, at a so-called “above consensus” pace, somewhere in the 3%-3.5% range. Then, a few months ago, the same Goldman strategist unabashedly declared that the US economy would grow […]

Meet Andorra: Europe’s Next Failed State

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/30/2015 14:25

Nestling idyllically between France and Spain in the foothills of the Pyrenees, Andorra – which has enjoyed the benefits of European borders without the restrictions of EU membership – has seen its risk “increase beyond our expectations,”according to S&P. As a reminder, when Cyprus was “templated” and […]

Earnings Have Peaked And Are Falling For the First Time Since 2008

goldseek.com / By Graham Summers / 30 March 2015

Earnings may very well have peaked.

MarketWatch notes that adjusted profits (even after all of the accounting gimmicks), FELL last year. This is the first time this has happened since we entered the alleged “recovery.”

For the full year, adjusted profits slipped 0.8% to […]

A Tale Of Two Streets: Main Street Lagging, Wall Street Booming

davidstockmanscontracorner.com / by David Stockman • March 27, 2015

The most important number in today’s GDP revisions for Q4 was $16.20 trillion. That’s the annualized constant dollar (2009 $) value of final sales during the quarter and, naturally, it was not mentioned in any of the media reports. But its important because the final […]

Housing Contribution To US GDP Lowest In Post-War Era

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/27/2015 14:45

In “Underwater Homeowners Here To Stay” we highlighted a report from Zillow which showed that negative equity has now become a permanent fixture of the US housing market. The report also showed that the percentage of homeowners who are underwater was flat from Q314 to Q414, […]

5 Things To Ponder: Random Musings

streettalklive.com / Lance Roberts / 26 March 2015

This weekend’s reading list is a bit of a hodge-podge of reads on a variety of different topics. However, before we get into it I wanted to address an interesting statement by the Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart who Thursday:

“Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank president Dennis […]

27/3/15: Russia Goes for Fiscal Cuts: Amended Budget 2015

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / by Constantin Gurdgiev / March 27, 2015

Russian Duma passed (in first reading) amendments to the Budget 2015.

The new Budget is based on average oil price of USD50 pb, with expected GDP growth of -3% against inflation of 12.2% and USD/RUB exchange rate of RUB61.5. These are major revisions to the base […]

CENTRAL BANKS LOSING CONTROL: Are The Seeds Of A Global Depression Sprouting?

SOURCE: Haver Analytics; national sources; World economic outlook, IMF; BIS, McKenzie Global Institute analysis

srsroccoreport.com / By Chris Hamilton / March 27, 2015

If the “markets” are rigged and economies divorced from true market valuations, then what (if anything) could trigger a recoupling of reality to the record setting flashing numbers presently offered by […]

‘Twas The Night Before The GDP Report: Atlanta GDP NOW Forecasts 0.2 Percent Q1 GDP Growth

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B. Sanders • March 26, 2015

Twas the night before THE GDP RELEASE, when all through the house

Not a creature was stirring, not even a mouse

Apparently the same applies to the US economy. The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP NOW is forecasting a pathetic Q1 GDP read of 0.2 […]

US CEO-Worker Pay Gap Is Widest In Developed World

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/26/2015 12:20

Not too long ago we solved the mystery of America’s missing wage growth by pointing to the fact that wage growth for the country’s “non-supervisory” workers was in fact headed in the wrong direction, while America’s bosses were seeing their pay increase. We went on to […]

Is the tide turning for Precious Metals? Part II

silverseek.com / by Chris Marchese / March 25th

In our new book The Silver Manifesto, David Morgan and I not only discuss the debt bomb waiting to explode in most every western world economy but also the fact that the Fed will NEVER willingly hike interest rates by any material degree because (i) the monetary […]

26/3/15: BOFIT Latest Forecasts for Russian Economy 2015-2017

trueeconomics.blogspot.com / by Constantin Gurdgiev / March 26, 2015

BOFIT published their new forecasts for the Russian economy. Here is the summary with my comments:

Pre-conditions: “Russian economic growth has slowed for three years in a row, due to e.g. waning growth in the available labour force, capital and productivity. In addition, a slight […]

What If Janet Yellen Is Dead Wrong on the Strength of the U.S. Economy?

wallstreetonparade.com / By Pam Martens and Russ Martens / March 26, 2015

Yesterday, economists at the Atlanta Fed’s Center for Quantitative Economic Research notched down their forecast for real GDP growth – the seasonally adjusted annual rate – to a tepid 0.2 percent for the first quarter of 2015. The revision from the earlier […]

GDP Projections Drop Yet Again, Still Too High

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / March 25, 2015

In the wake of a 6th consecutive decline in business spending GDP Growth Estimates Tumble, Again.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta on Wednesday put its gauge at 0.2%, down from its earlier estimate of 0.3%. Morgan Stanley economists lowered their estimate for first-quarter growth to […]

The 4 Point Globalist Plan to Replace AMERICA With AMERIKA

thecommonsenseshow.com / by Dave Hodges / March 25, 2015

The blueprint for the globalist enslavement of America remains unchanged and we Americans are marching directly toward our final demise as a nation. With all the things we write about, and with all of the things that we call attention to, the methodology associated with […]

Fed Now Sees Only 0.2% GDP Growth In Q1

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 03/25/2015 12:21

From almost 2.5% GDP growth expectations in February, The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model has now collapsed its estimates of Q1 GDP growth to just 0.2% – plunging from +1.4% just 2 weeks ago. The reality of plunging capex and no decoupling is starting to rear its ugly […]