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Do You Believe In Chinese Miracles? GDP, Industrial Production Beat; Retail Sales Miss

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/20/2014 22:18

Whocouldanode? Chinese GDP managed (thanks to record-breaking credit creation and QE-lite) to beat expectations of +7.2% and come in at +7.3% (still its slowest growth since April 2009). Notably this was the biggest decoupling from Bloomberg’s high-frequency economic data forecast (i.e. real data) since May 2010. [...]

Emerging Market Preview: The Week Ahead

marctomarket.com / Dr.Win Thin and Ilan Solot / Oct 19, 2014

Emerging market assets have started off the week mixed, with few clear signals to follow. The major currencies also appear directionless at the moment, though eurozone flash PMIs on Thursday could help put the spotlight back on weakness there.

As long as the dollar [...]

Prepare For GDP Downgrades: Eurasian Snow Flashes Polar Vortex 2.0 Warning

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/19/2014 13:21

Just when you thought it was safe to believe in escape velocity GDP growth for the US economy… the weather ruins the party. As Bloomberg reports, the snow in Siberia is piling up, and if it keeps coming, people in New York may have to bundle [...]

Updated Secret Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP)

thedailysheeple.com / by Activist Post / October 18th, 2014

WikiLeaks has released a second updated version of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) Intellectual Property Rights Chapter. The TPP is the world’s largest economic trade agreement that will, if it comes into force, encompass more than 40 per cent of the world’s GDP. The IP Chapter covers [...]

Fuzzy Numbers – Crash Course Chapter 18

peakprosperity.com / by Adam Taggart / Friday, October 17, 2014

Chapter 18 of the Crash Course is now publicly available and ready for watching below.

What if it turned out that our individual, corporate and government decision-making was based on misleading, if not provably false, data?

As we detail in this latest chapter of the [...]

If the US Deficit is ‘only’ $483 Billion, why does the Government Have to Borrow $1.1 Trillion to Fill the Hole?

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / October 16, 2014

On Wednesday, the Treasury Department released its Monthly Treasury Statement for September and the fiscal year 2014. It’s the official account of how the US government arrives at its infamous deficit. And it was a doozie.

Without giving it a second thought, the media gushed about [...]

Governments Need Inflation, Economies Don’t

europac.net / By: Peter Schiff / October 15, 2014

In an article in the UK’s Telegraph on October 10, veteran economic correspondent Ambrose Evans-Pritchard laid bare the essential truth of the nearly universal current embrace of inflation as an economic panacea. While politicians, CEOs and economists talk about demand stimulus and the avoidance of a [...]

Debt Rattle October 15 2014

John Vachon Rear of grocery store in Baltimore Jul 1938

theautomaticearth.com / by Raúl Ilargi Meijer / October 15, 2014

“The biggest worry is a precipitous sell-off in the bond markets once the US Federal Reserve and the other major central banks begin to tighten in earnest. Mr Debelle cited the US bond crash [...]

The Unwind Process Has Far To Go (And Don’t Hold Your Breath For QE4)

zerohedge.com / Via Scotiabank’s Guy Haselmann / 10/15/2014 17:29

Several times today, I was asked if or when I thought the Fed would begin QE4. The answer is ‘never’ (pending a disaster); although I guess the more prudent answer is to say the chances are ‘infinitesimal’. It is counterfactual to know with any certainty what [...]

And The GDP Downgrades Begin: Goldman Slashes Q3/Q4 GDP

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/15/2014 11:19

Remember the data-dependent recovery, which until the NFP report two weeks ago, could seemingly do no wrong. Well, according to Goldman the recovery party just ended.

From Goldman’s Kris Dawsey:

BOTTOM LINE: Business inventories rose less than expected in August. In light of the disappointing September retail [...]

What QE4: US Monetizable Deficit Drops To Just $483 Billion, Or 2.8% Of GDP

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/15/2014 11:14

Remember that in addition to its primary function, which is to push stocks higher i.e., the “wealth effect”, the Fed’s Quantitative Easing has another just as important role: to monetize the US deficit. Which is why the news that was released moments ago from the Treasury, namely [...]

What The Fed Does Next

zerohedge.com / Via Scotiabank’s Guy Haselmann

In 2008, various liquidity facilities, designed by the Fed, unclogged broken capital markets. Shortly thereafter in early 2009, QE1 was implemented to improve market liquidity and transform investors’ general revulsion to financial assets. The combination helped avert economic and financial disaster. The Fed responded well at that time; however, [...]

Washington D.C. is Now the Most Expensive Place to Live in the USA

libertyblitzkrieg.com / Michael Krieger / Tuesday Oct 14, 2014

There is no greater signpost of the decay in America’s cultural, economic and spiritual life than Washington D.C.’s ascendancy into the most expensive spot to live in within these United States.

Yes, according to a recent government study, the nation’s capital is even more expensive [...]

Goldman Slashes European Growth Forecast, Sees Triple-Dip Recession In Q3

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/14/2014 10:54

As if to rub salt into the wounds of Europe’s death by a thousand-downgrades, Goldman Sachs followed up Germany’s decision to drastically cut its growth outlook for 2014 (+1.2% from +1.8%) and 2015 (+1.3% from +2.0%) by slashing its forecast for Europe in Q3 to a triple-dip [...]

LETHAL TAPER

theburningplatform.com / by Anthony Sanders / 13th October 2014

Lethal Taper: The Buffett Valuation Indicator Flashing Red (Are Stocks And Housing Too “Frothy”?)

Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett, the Oracle of Omaha.

Here is a chart of the market [...]

Is This The Real Growth Scare That Markets Fear?

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden on 10/13/2014 17:48

‘Everyone‘ knows that the Japanese economy is weakening (apart from Abe and Kuroda obviously), ‘everyone‘ knows that the European economy is tumbling towards another recession, ‘most‘ know that China is really slowing (no matter what the magic of excel enables GDP to be)… and ‘everyone‘ [...]

Debris from Subprime Auto Loans to Ricochet across Main Street

wolfstreet.com/ by Wolf Richter / October 13, 2014

Profit on subprime is just too juicy to resist.

We called them “note lots.” People with terrible credit could go buy an old beater there. Ideally, it worked like this: you walked in with $500 cash. The dealer showed you a “cream puff” he’d bought for $500. [...]

Cycle Failures Point to a Market Correction

news.goldseek.com / By Bob Loukas / 13 October 2014

The equity markets are finally seeing action that has even the most hardened bulls running scared. In the past, I’ve been quick to dismiss selling periods – Cycle Lows – as natural regression-to-the-mean events. In a bull market, an oscillating Cycle pattern of two steps [...]

Time To Wake Up! (Growth)

market-ticker.org / by Karl Denninger / 2014-10-13

One of the punchlines in my book Leverage is the following: Behind every unit of GDP is a unit of energy.

This is not conjecture or supposition, it is inescapable fact. It also underlies the limit to what many claim is an “eternal” exponential capacity to grow [...]

Bank Regulators Target Subprime Auto-Loan Bubble, Hit Auto Sales, Production, and Broader Economy

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / October 13, 2014

We called them “note lots.” People with terrible credit could go buy an old beater there. Ideally, it worked like this: you walked in with $500 cash. The dealer showed you a “cream puff” he’d bought for $500. You didn’t like the car, but you’d been [...]