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Europe: Stagnation, Default, Or Devaluation

zerohedge.com / by Louis & Charles Gave via Evergreen Gavekal / 08/26/2014 17:54

Last week’s Jackson Hole meeting helped to highlight a simple reality: unlike other parts of the world, the eurozone remains mired in a deflationary bust six years after the 2008 financial crisis. The only official solutions to this bust seem to [...]

Continued EU Weakness Gives Rise to Two Inflationary Trends

thedailybell.com / By Staff News & Analysis / August 26, 2014

German economy ‘losing steam’ as business confidence plunges again … Survey of optimism among companies adds to gloom enveloping Europe’s biggest economy … Germany’s businesses are rapidly losing confidence in the prospect of a recovery in the eurozone, in [...]

copens doors to QE as Germany and France stumble

gata.org / By James Titcomb, The Telegraph, London / August 25, 2014

The eurozone has moved closer to adopting further radical measures to ward off a second recession and a spiral of deflation after its two biggest economies fell deeper into trouble yesterday.

The dual shock of a French government reshuffle and weaker-than-expected German figures [...]

Daily Pfennig: Fed Meeting Minutes Are Looked At Differently

caseyresearch.com / Chuck Butler / August 21, 2014 8:18am

In This Issue.

* Dollar’s mini-rally stalls. * Norwegian 2nd QTR GDP beats expectations! * Eurozone Flash PMI’s are weaker. * SDR’s in our future?

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Fed Meeting Minutes Are Looked At Differently.

Good Day! . And a Tub [...]

Europe: Is the Deepening Crisis Coming to a Head?

thedailybell.com / By Staff News & Analysis / August 21, 2014

Nobel economists say policy blunders pushing Europe into depression … German Chancellor Angela Merkel defends eurozone and says it is hard to manage a currency for 18 states … Professor Joseph Stiglitz said austerity policies had been a ‘disastrous [...]

Government Spending and Negative Interest Rates

mises.org / by Dickson Buchanan / Thursday, August 14, 2014

In June, the European Central Bank (ECB) made a historic and downright diabolical announcement. They decided to inaugurate negative interest rates for overnight deposits. Here are the details from the official transcript:

The rate on the deposit facility [...]

Decision Time!

blog.milesfranklin.com / By Andrew Hoffman / August 13th, 2014

esterday was a prototypical example of TPTB attempting to prolong increasingly tenuous “recovery” and “de-escalation” propaganda by attacking “unfavorable” markets like PMs, while supporting “favorable” ones like equities. I mean, how many times can the “Dow Jones Propaganda Average” be supported by a 10:00 [...]

Global Policy Divergence – Really??

news.goldseek.com / By: Axel G. Merk, Merk Investments / 13 August 2014

Last week, European Central Bank (ECB) head Draghi talked about the de-coupling of the ECB and the Fed’s policies, of policy divergence. Lots of pundits have suggested the same. With due respect to their views, my analysis of the data suggests [...]

Just The Right Amount Of Bad Overnight News To Ramp Global Equities

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/13/2014 07:10 -0400

If it was crashing German business confidence yesterday setting the somber mood for European economic “growth” in the second half, with a European GDP decline if not outright contraction now almost practically inevitable, then overnight it was disappointing data from virtually every other [...]

“Central Bank Post-Crisis Quasi-Coordination Has Broken Down”

zerohedge.com / From Guy Haselmann of ScotiaBank / 08/12/2014 18:24

Out There Beyond the Wall

Germany, France, Japan and the Eurozone are expected to follow Italy with flat or negative Q2 GDP when the data is released this week. Italy’s economy grew at -0.2% in Q2 and has not grown [...]

Young Italian Prime Minister Dares (!) to Defy Troika

wolfstreet.com / by Don Quijones / August 12, 2014

Don Quijones, freelance writer, translator in Barcelona, Spain. Raging Bull-Shitis his modest attempt to challenge the wishful thinking and scrub away the lathers of soft soap peddled by political and business leaders and their loyal mainstream media. This article is a Wolf Street exclusive.

Germany close to recession as ECB admits recovery is weak

gata.org / By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard / 2014-08-08 02:24

By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard The Telegraph, London Thursday, August 7, 2014

German bonds yields plunged to a historic low and two-year rates briefly fell below zero on Thursday on fears of widening recession in the eurozone and a flight to safety as Russian troops [...]

Italy’s Economic ‘Recovery’ from Hell in One Chart

wolfstreet.com / by Wolf Richter / August 6, 2014

In the second quarter, Italy’s economy contracted 0.2% from the first quarter, which surprised economists who’d expected, somehow, more growth now that the Italian economy – in parallel with the grander Eurozone economy – is recovering so nicely.

However, reality is not playing [...]

Weak Chinese And European Macro Data Briefly Halts Futures Levitation

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 08/05/2014 07:10 -0400

It is unclear how much of this morning’s momentum-busting weakness in futures is the result of China’s horrendous Service PMI, which as we reported last night dropped to the lowest print on record at the contraction borderline, but whatever low volume levitation was launched [...]

Daily Pfennig: Safe Haven Buying Fades

caseyresearch.com / By Chuck Butler / July 31, 2014 6:01am

In This Issue.

* Dollar kicks butt and takes names later after GDP. * Eurozone flash inflation drops to .4%. * Canada to print May GDP. * Urbanization to happen in China!

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Safe Haven Buying Fades.

Good [...]

US Dollar Moving for a Test of Resistance

traderdannorcini.blogspot.com / Dan Norcini / July 29, 2014

Since November of last year, the US Dollar has been thwarted from beginning any sort of upward trending move by the region near 81.50 on the USDX. It is once again moving towards a showdown with this critical chart region. Can the Greenback blast through and [...]

Fed Exit a Blue Pill?

news.goldseek.com / By: Axel G. Merk, Merk Investments / 29 July 2014

While we are busy arguing whether the Fed’s exit will consist of rising rates, reverse repos or the trimming of its massive portfolio, the Fed may well be fooling all of us. Investors must have been swallowing lots of blue pills not [...]

Euro Currency Breakdown

traderdannorcini.blogspot.com / Dan Norcini / Tuesday, July 22, 2014

We have been watching the Euro closely here over the past few weeks and have noted that the 1.35 level has been a strong support zone on its price chart that has held the currency’s downside for the last 8 months. Today it broke through this [...]

Why Are TBTF Banks so Happy with the EU Banking Union?

wolfstreet.com / by Don Quijones / July 10, 2014

Don Quijones, freelance writer, translator in Barcelona, Spain. Raging Bull-Shitis his modest attempt to challenge the wishful thinking and scrub away the lathers of soft soap peddled by political and business leaders and their loyal mainstream media.

On Tuesday, November 4th of [...]

Epic Portugal Damage Control To Preserve Bank Confidence: BES Resumes Trading, Surges Then Tumbles

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 07/11/2014 07:09 -0400

Following yesterday’s peripheral European poundage over fears of what a Banco Espirito Santo failure could mean to the nation, and to the Eurozone, but most importantly to depositor confidence everywhere, today has been an epic damage control session, with one sellside penguin after another, [...]

Russia Reveals “Plan B”: Gazprom Says Gas Transit Via Ukraine May Be Stopped Completely

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 06/30/2014 07:53 -0400

A few days ago, when we wrote our “explainer” on the need for Russia to have an alternative pathway for its gas, one which bypasses Ukraine entirely and as the current “South Stream” framework is set up, crosses the Black Sea and enters Bulgaria before passing [...]

Daily Nugget – gold at a two-month high

therealasset.co.uk / by Jan Skoyles / Jun 24 2014

The gold price slipped this morning before reaching another two-month high. Weak eurozone data and violence in Iraq continues to support the gold price, however speculators are no doubt awaiting the US and the West’s next steps in regard to the militant takeover [...]

Futures Exuberance On China PMI Fades After Eurozone Composite Drops To 6 Month Lows

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 06/23/2014 07:06 -0400

Following last night’s laughable (in light of the slow motion housing train wreck that is taking place, not to mention the concurrent capex spending halt and of course the unwinding rehypothecation scandal) Chinese PMI release by HSBC/Markit (one wonders how much of an [...]

Daily Pfennig: Gold Shorts Get Squeezed Out!

caseyresearch.com / By Chuck Butler / June 20, 2014 8:07am

In This Issue.

* Gold soars, then backs off. * Currencies back off gains from Thursday. * Eurozone awaits LTRO repayment announcement. * Olsen does his best John Connally.

And Now. Today’s A Pfennig For Your Thoughts.

Gold Shorts Get Squeezed Out!

Good Day! . [...]

Fourth Largest Bulgarian Bank Seized After Bank Run: “Let’s Not Tear Down Our House” Central Banker Begs

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / 06/20/2014 10:57

The small, impoverished country of Bulgaria may not be in the Eurozone (even though its currency is pegged to the Euro), but it is in the European Union. Which is why we find it surprising that there has been relatively little mention that overnight the fourth [...]

Blaming deflation

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / 20 June 2014

With the Eurozone going to the extreme of negative interest rates and the IMF belatedly revising downwards their expectations of US economic growth, deflation is now the favoured buzzword. It is time to untangle myth from reality and put deflation in context.

Keynesian [...]

Draghi Hits Savers To Salvage Faux Recovery

europac.net / By John Browne / June 18, 2014

On June 5th, Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), announced a package of measures, including a policy of negative interest rates, aimed at encouraging or even forcing Eurozone banks to increase their lending to businesses.Although previously imposed by Swiss banks on [...]

It’s Official: Despite Media Hype, Eurozone STILL In Recession

testosteronepit.com / Wolf Richter / JUNE 18, 2014 AT 1:13AM

The media and statistical agencies have been bursting at the seams with stories about the Eurozone’s increasingly healthy economy. Government budgets remain a mess. But no one really cares as long as bond markets are willing to fund these deficits and roll over [...]

Market volatility grinds to a halt

goldmoney.com / By Alasdair Macleod / 13 June 2014

There is uneasiness across a number of markets with moment-to-moment volatility grinding almost to a halt. It contributes to a feeling that this is the calm before a storm. It is not unusual for there to be a summer lull, or for one market to suffer [...]

One Down; One to Go

traderdannorcini.blogspot.com / By Dan Norcini / June 5, 2014

The big day ( One Down) that we have been waiting for this week has finally arrived with the ECB taking some steps to provide a sort of monetary stimulus to the flagging Eurozone economy. They lowered rates from 0.25% to 0.15% and actually pushed the [...]