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From Demographic Boom To Dependency Bust

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / June 19, 2013, 16:51 -0400

The economic and asset bubble in Japan burst in 1990, at roughly the same time as its demographic structure reached a tipping point. As UBS’ George Magnus notes, the working age population began to fall, marking the start of a relentless rise in both [...]

Bill Holter – The Debt To Gold Ratio Is Frightening

from Financial Survival Network

We caught up with Bill Holter of Miles Franklin today.

“The United States debt, foreign and domestic, was the price of liberty. The faith of America has been repeatedly pledged for it… Among ourselves, the most enlightened friends of good government are those whose expectations of prompt payment are the highest. [...]

Fitch Notices Credit Bubble in China

acting-man.com / By Pater Tenebrarum / June 19, 2013

Something Might Be Going Wrong Over There …

Now it’s official – even the credit rating agencies are noticing the huge credit bubble in China, which has in recent years been mainly driven by the ‘shadow banking’ market. Keep in mind though, the [...]

Guest Post: Why We Shouldn’t Trust The Fed’s Inflation Target

zerohedge.com / By F.F. Wiley / June 18, 2013, 17:24 -0400

Submitted by F.F. Wiley via Cyniconomics blog,

Awhile back, I thought it might be interesting to create one of those island economy stories to demonstrate a problem with the Fed’s policy framework. I finally got around to it over the past week, after reading [...]

Hedging, Not Selling

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / 06/18/2013 13:25 -0400

It appears that while investors seem loathed to sell their underlying positions, they are actively (and anxiously) hedging in equities and credit today…

The credit ETF (and CDS) market provides liquidity for active hedging – as does the VIX ETF and futures market…

[...]

All Eyes on The US Federal Reserve

dailyreckoning.com.au / By Greg Canavan / June 17th, 2013

Before we get into today’s Daily Reckoning, just a quick reminder to keep an eye out for a new ‘Revolutionary Technology Report’ coming out later today. It should be with you around 3pm. It’s the culmination of the three part tech-trilogy video series [...]

Prisoner’s Dilemma: Will Investors And The Fed Collaborate?

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / June 16, 2013, 20:01 -0400

The recent market weakness (selling off in equity indices and widening in credit spreads) shares many elements of the previous dips this year, which should give bulls some comfort (the Italian- and Cyprus-led dips didn’t last very long). However, there are elements which are [...]

Developing Crisis in the Developing World

dollarcollapse.com / By John Rubino / June 15, 2013

Things have been a little erratic lately here in US, but not really headline-worthy. The economy continues to grow, sort of, houses continue to sell and stock and bond prices fluctuate but can’t seem to follow through in either direction. We are not, in short, engulfed [...]

10 Nagging Concerns

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / June 13, 2013, 21:04 -0400

Gluskin Sheff’s David Rosenberg has ten nagging concerns…

1. No wonder China can no longer reflate like it did back in 2009. It would be adding more debt to an unprecedented credit bubble…

2. Wondering why the Euro is doing so [...]

What Crime Lies Behind Booz Allen Hamilton

dailyreckoning.com.au / By Bill Bonner / June 13th, 2013

‘Behind every great fortune is a great crime,’ said French novelist Honoré de Balzac. What crime lies behind Booz Allen Hamilton?

Fraud, mostly.

More on that in a moment…

Still no clarity in the markets. Still no resolution. The unstoppable force of more and more [...]

The Word For The Day: Credit

market-ticker.org / By Karl Denninger / June 12, 2013

From 2007:

Everyone thinks of the Stock Market Crash of 1929 as having been caused by “irrational exuberance”.

Nope.

The panic of ’87 and the crash of 00/01 was thought of the same way. Nope.

So what causes them?

Overuse of leverage.

In other words, they [...]

“Not” Off-The-Lows

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / June 12, 2013, 14:47 -0400

The “buy-the-dip mentality” has left the building (for now)… The Great Rotation out of USD assets continues (for now as Gold remains bid and equities play catch-down to credit)… only 45 minutes to 330 Ramp Capital…

READ MORE

[...]

Spot The Odd One Out

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / June 6, 2013, 13:06 -0400

Presented with no comment…

So summing it all up – 10Y is almost unchanged on the year; credit is now worse on the year; VIX is dramatically worse; Lumber has plunged; and the Nikkei 225 is down 24% from its highs…

[...]

Why it’s Going to Get Ugly When Interest Rates Rise Again

dailyreckoning.com.au / By Greg Canavan / June 5, 2013

So, the monthly interest rate hype has come and gone for, well, another month. Boss Stevens, of course, left interest rates on hold yesterday, at 2.75%. If anything the absence of a cut saved us from the hysteria about how it will be good for consumption/housing/building/retail [...]

Fed Policies and Obama Programs Exacerbate Credit Crunch to Small Businesses

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com / By Mike “Mish” Shedlock / Tuesday, June 04, 2013 7:34 PM

 

The Fed believes that holding interest rates low fosters business growth, hiring, and bank lending?

So why isn’t that happening? I have discussed many reasons, but today I have another one from Steve H. Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics [...]

How Cheap Credit Fuels Income/Wealth Inequality

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / By Charles Hugh Smith / THURSDAY, May 30, 2013

Cheap credit is a great boon to the wealthy and a path to debt-serfdom for everyone else.

The ever-widening chasm between the wealthy and the “rest of us” has generated any number of explanations for this deeply troubling phenomenon. We can start with capitalism, [...]

European Credit Contraction Accelerates, Spanish Loan Creation Craters

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 29, 2013, 09:03 -0400

There is a simple mnemonic for the Keynesian world: credit creation = growth. More importantly, no credit creation = no growth. And that, in a nutshell is the entire problem with Europe.

With the ECB unable and unwilling to engage in [...]

Haunted By The Last Housing Bubble, Fitch Warns “Gains Are Outpacing Fundamentals”

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 28, 2013, 23:02 -0400

The last week has seen quite dramatic drops in the prices of a little-discussed but oh-so-critical asset-class in the last housing bubble’s ‘pop’. Having just crossed above ‘Lehman’ levels, ABX (residential) and CMBX (commercial) credit indices have seen their biggest weekly drop in 20 [...]

Stocks Nervously Eyeing Soaring Bond Yields

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 28, 2013, 11:25 -0400

While this morning’s explosion higher in Treasury bond yields (the largest in 9 months) was ‘evidence’ for many of the ‘great rotation’ as stocks rallied; it seems that now the ‘crowd’ is selling everything.Stocks, commodities, bonds, and credit are all offered (while the [...]

Did Corporate Buybacks Just Jump The Shark?

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 23, 2013, 09:23 -0400

While it should be no surprise to anyone that buybacks have been a major support of the market for the last few years (as we explicitly showed here and here in terms of earnings manipulation and here in terms of ill-timing), the following chart [...]

Five Charts To Start The Day

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 15, 2013, 09:01 -0400

It would appear that the credit markets both anticipated and began to price in what is now the worst recessionary period for the European Union on record a few days ago. However, their exuberant, ever-hungry colleagues over in equity land remain in the bad [...]

S&P Hits New All-Time High As Credit Plunges

zerohedge.com / By Tyler Durden / May 13, 2013, 12:25 -0400

Presented with little comment aside to remember what we said the market ignored in 2007… and as a reminder, we warned last night that the Hilsenrath article would be spun to the equity-eating retail public as a positive (just another reason to buy stocks)…

[...]

Real and Illusory Credit

aucontrarian.blogspot.com / By Frederick J. Sheehan / WEDNESDAY, MAY 8, 2013

“When Ro-Ro goes No-No” expounded upon the ultimate futility of conjuring illusory wealth. Bernard Connolly’s analysis, “Rethinking the Rogoff-Reinhoff Thesis,” made the case. Connolly wrote This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, ”is largely an exercise in measurement rather than theory (while [...]

How Your Purchasing Power Was And Is Destroyed

market-ticker.org / By Karl Denninger / May 5, 2013

Most people fail to understand basic mathematical concepts such as exponents and ratios as they apply to everyday life. We usually “get it” when it comes to the mathematical facts that are taught in school (if we passed through basic Algebra) but nobody in our [...]

The return of the prodigal interest only loan: The appearance of safety is bringing back our favorite mortgages.

doctorhousingbubble.com / By Dr. Housing Bubble / April 23, 2013

What if I told you that you could have a $600,000 mortgage for a monthly payment of $1,700? Sounds like a great deal right? Of course the only way to get this kind of action is by going into the “exotic” mortgage options that everyone [...]

My moment of epiphany over the wretched bankers

blogs.telegraph.co.uk / By Jeremy Warner / April 24th, 2013

Up until now, I’ve always been a bit suspicious of complaints from the likes of Vince Cable, the business secretary, that the banks are gratuitously and deliberately starving UK business of the credit it needs to grow. It’s long seemed to me that [...]

The End of Everything Has Arrived

armstrongeconomics.com / By Martin Armstrong / April 14, 2013

A new EU Directive provides that compulsory levies in Cyprus will be charged over the weekend. At a meeting of EU finance ministers in Dublin, Commissioner Michel Barnier confirmed that the the people are responsible for the bank they deal with. Depositors will risk [...]

Good Banker, Bad Banker

oftwominds.com / By Charles Hugh Smith / April 9, 2013

It’s important to draw a line between two very different flavors of banker: “restrained” (Dr. Jekyll) and “unrestrained” (Mr. Hyde).

Those who read The Proper Use of Credit (April 4, 2013) know that I see a vital role for credit and yes, banks, in [...]

New Fed-Induced Credit Bubbles

acting-man.com / By Pater Tenebrarum / April 5, 2013

A Number of Sectoral Credit Bubbles Become Evident

We have previously argued that the current inflationary echo boom (a boom with clear ‘depression undertones’ it should be added) is more diffuse than the previous two bubbles were, which were clearly concentrated in specific industries (namely technology [...]

The Proper Use of Credit

charleshughsmith.blogspot.com / April 3, 2013

Great fortunes are built on the proper use of credit. Improper use of credit leads to mal-investment and wealth destruction.

We cannot understand our fundamental financial problems if we do not understand the proper use of credit. Credit has a key role in capitalism; credit-starved economies are underdeveloped economies, [...]