From Gold Seek / By Scott Pluschau / April 25, 2012
CTKEO? Charts to keep an eye on.
Dollar Index is on trendline support of the “Symmetrical Triangle”. I touched on the triangle previously here: http://scottpluschau.blogspot.com/2012/04/mature-balance-area-on-s-500.html and here:http://scottpluschau.blogspot.com/2012/04/dollar-index.html
The Dollar Index has been zapped to its High Volume node on both the 30 minute chart and the Daily chart. This futures contract has potential for Vertical Development. This triangle is ripe in my opinion. An igniter move lower on a surge in volume may send the longs trapped in the recent Open Interest rushing to the exits which can intensify the price action to the downside if the longs are weak hands using leverage. The strong handed commercials have been consistently on the short side of the contract when viewing the latest COT reports.
The tabs at the top of the blog discuss my interpretation of Open Interest and the COT report.
What type of impact will the Dollar Index have on other futures contracts? It is no secret that I have a passion for trading the metals. In my opinion Gold needs to breakout of its downward sloping channel on the daily chart, which would also put it above the high volume node on the daily chart, putting pressure on the short side of the open interest trapped beneath it. Explosive moves can begin happening in a scenario such as these in my experience.
A breakdown in the Dollar Index does not give me a signal to trade gold. Each auction is traded independently. Only a signal in gold would trigger a trade in gold.
