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When Solar Becomes Cheaper Than Fossil Fuels

azizonomics.com / By John Aziz / January 25, 2013

Solar power has been getting cheaper and cheaper:

Current estimates suggest that solar might be as cheap as coal by the end of the decade, and half the cost of coal by the end of the next decade:

If the trend continues for another 8-10 years, which seems increasingly likely, solar will be as cheap as coal with the added benefit of zero carbon emissions. If the cost continues to fall over the next 20 years, solar costs will be half that of coal. These predictions may in fact be too conservative given that First Solar have reported internal production costs of 75 cents (46 pence) per watt with an expectation of 50 cents (31 pence) per watt by 2016.

When applied to electricity prices this predicts that solar generated electricity in the US will descend to a level of 12 cents (7 pence) per kilowatt hour by 2020, possibly even 2015 for the sunniest parts of America.

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  • CHX

    I wonder whether the implications on and of the possible future silver price has been considered here. Probably not. A boom in solar energy will cause higher silver prices, and will make solar energy more expensive as well. Yet, I see no other “good” alternative except maybe for Thorium reactors (but that idea was burried 6 feet or more by the nuclear power lobby). x