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Asset Managers Flip To Net Short on Treasuries As UST 10Y-2Y Curve Slope Falls Below 80 BPS

wallstreetexaminer.com / by Anthony B Sanders via Snake Hole Lounge / 

Asset managers have flipped to net short on 10-year Treasury futures for the first time since November, according to CFTC data. The group reduced long positions the past three weeks after 10-year yields approached the 2 percent level in the lead-up to the September FOMC meeting.

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YOUR IDENTITY IS NOT DEFINED BY A PIECE OF CLOTH! (VIDEO)

thedailysheeple.com / 

My two cents on the whole flag debacle that is dividing the People even further…. and by the way, I sacrificed SIX years of my life for what that flag represents. The problem is, we need to FACE what that flag really represents, and it’s not a pretty picture at all.

SOURCE

Dallas Fed Surges Near 10-Year Highs Despite Every Respondent Complaining About Hurricane Damage

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017  10:42 AM

If ever there was a reason to completely dismiss the farce that ‘soft’ survey data is of any use at all, this is it.

Having hovered around 17.0 for the last four months, The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Outlook survey spiked to 21.3 in September – just shy of its highest since 2010 – despite the total and utter devastation of Houston and much of the energy complex during this month thanks to Hurricane Harvey.

This print was 5 standard deviations above expectations as economists expected some pullback as Harvey impacted the state’s economy…

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Mixed Expectations, Will Stocks Continue Higher?

sunshineprofits.com / PAUL REJCZAK / SEPTEMBER 25, 2017

Briefly:

Intraday trade: Our Friday’s neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index continued to fluctuate along the level of 2,500, as it remained close to new record high. The market may extend its short-term consolidation again. The support level is relatively close, at the September 12 daily gap up of 2,488.95-2,490.37. Therefore, we still prefer to be out of the market, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish

The main U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.04% and +0.07% on Friday, as investors continued to hesitate following some economic data, quarterly corporate earnings releases.

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Equifax and Our Broken Computer Industry

mauldineconomics.com / BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN / SEPTEMBER 25, 2017

The Equifax hack ought to have been the last straw in the saga of our inept computer industry. Critical information on the vast majority of American families was compromised. To say that this was not a rare phenomenon understates it. There has been an endless array of stolen information, from the recent theft of still proprietary stock information from the Commerce Department to the theft of emails from the Democratic National Committee.

The probability that information committed to computers will remain confidential has become slim at best. It must be assumed that if people wish to steal information, they will.

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Turkey, Iraq Threaten “Military Intervention” As Iraqi Kurds Hold Independence Referendum

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017 10:29 AM

One day after a “Nightmare Victory” for Angela Merkel in the German elections, which has unleashed a nationalist “earthquake” in the Bundestag, on Monday in another closely watched election, polls opened in Iraq’s Kurdish-run provinces and disputed territories as Iraqi Kurds cast ballots in support for independence from Baghdad in a historic but non-binding and furiously challenged vote.

Millions are expected to vote on Monday across the three provinces that make up the Kurdish autonomous region, as well as residents in disputed territories — areas claimed by both Baghdad and the Kurds, including the oil-rich city of Kirkuk.

The vote is being carried out despite mounting regional opposition to the move, including virtually every neighboring nation, except the odd stance by Israel whose Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stunned the region when he commented specifically of the referendum on Sept 13 saying, “Israel supports the legitimate efforts of the Kurdish people to achieve their own state.”

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Founder of World’s Biggest Hedge Fund Says You Need to Own Gold (Video)

schiffgold.com / BY SCHIFFGOLD /  

The founder of the world’s biggest hedge fund says every investor should own some gold.

Business Insider CEO Henry Blodget recently interviewed Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates.

You recommend that most portfolios should contain some gold.”

Dalio’s didn’t even hesitate.

Yeah. Of course.”

But why own gold? A lot of people claim buying gold doesn’t make any sense.

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Spanish Suppression Of Catalan Independence Movement Continues To Escalate

disobedientmedia.com / Elizabeth Vos / 

Disobedient Media previously reported on the suppression of the Catalan independence movement in Spain. Since our first coverage of the issue, repressive tactics in Spain have continued to escalate. Disobedient Media’s report on the issue was also disingenuously smeared by Spanish media outlet El País. The press outlet also heavily criticized Edward Snowden and Julian Assange for having expressed concern on the matter.

That El País would perceive an independent news source like Disobedient Media as damaging enough to warrant such a response illustrates the deep insecurity the Catalan independence movement has stirred in Spain. El Paísdevoted a large, inaccurate chart to our coverage of the events:

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#TakeAKnee Vs. #BoycottNFL Is Vapid Establishment Wedge Politics

zerohedge.com / by Caitlin Johnstone via Medium.com / Sep 25, 2017 9:53 AM

It baffles me how some people can continue to say that Donald Trump is politically inept and doesn’t understand how Washington works.

He crushed both the Bush and Clinton dynasties on his path to election, he’s got a significant and heavily-armed support base willing to literally fight and die for him if he’s ever impeached, and his ability to use wedge issues to manipulate support puts even David Brock to shame. His political bullshitting IQ is off the charts. He was born for this.

wedge issue is a heavily politicized topic emphasized with the goal of splitting a sector of the population and rendering them politically impotent. While wedge politics can sometimes be used by political parties to try and sow division within a rival party, in America it’s far more common to see them used to neuter anti-establishment sentiment within both parties simultaneously. Since America is a corporatist oligarchy and both parties are more or less controlled by the same plutocrats, the goal is not to ensure victory of one party or another but to disrupt all anti-establishment sentiment.

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SYRIA: Full Text of Syrian Deputy Prime Minister’s Speech at UNGA

21stcenturywire.com / 21WIRE + SANA / SEPTEMBER 25, 2017

21st Century Wire says…

Above the bluster and posturing of western world leaders at the UNGA, rose the voices from nations that are most under attack from these neo-colonialist entities…

Syrian Deputy Prime Minister, Foreign and Expatriates Minister Walid al-Moallem delivered a speech at the 72nd session of the UN General Assembly, in which he affirmed that Syria is marching steadily towards the goal of rooting out terrorism, and that any solution in Syria must respect Syria’s non-negotiable principles, which include the territorial unity of Syria and its people, and the rejection of any external interference.

Minister al-Moallem affirmed that Syria is determined to scale up reconciliation efforts, and that it is committed to the memorandum on de-escalation zones, the establishment of which is a temporary arrangement, adding that the Syrian government reaffirms its commitment to the Geneva process.

Following is the full text of the speech from SANA:

President of the seventy-second session of the United Nations General Assembly, I would like to congratulate you on your election as President of the current session of the General Assembly and wish you all the success. I would also like to thank your predecessor for his important role at the helm of the General Assembly during the previous session. I congratulate Mr. Antonio Guterres on his appointment as Secretary-General of the United Nations and wish him the best in carrying out his responsibilities in service of the principles and purposes of the UN Charter.

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Asian Metals Market Update: September-25-2017

news.goldseek.com / By: Chintan Karnani, Insignia Consultants / 25 September 2017

Fundamentally the US economy is strong enough to withstand an interest rate hike. Central banks stance of various economic matters like interest rates also tell us their currency stance. Currency market moves in the third quarter will be the key to precious metals and base metals. The third quarter of the year favored US dollar bears. If fundamentals dictate currency markets in the final quarter, the final quarter should belong to US dollar bulls.

German election results are the key for euro.

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Stunning Photos Of Massive Baltimore Warehouse Fire: Live Feed

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017 10:16 AM

Live Feed:

Baltimore fire crews are struggling to suppress a four-alarm fire at a warehouse in the Fairfield area of South Baltimore. Pictures of the blaze show the 94,000 square-foot building engulfed in flames, sending clouds of thick, dark smoke billowing into the air that were widely visible to the city’s 600,000 residents.

Baltimore Fire Department spokesman Roman Clark said the fire was reported at around 6:45 Monday morning, and that more than 100 firefighters were fighting the blaze at 1030 E. Patapsco Ave. The 94,000-square-foot warehouse contains toys, clothing and packing supplies, though aerial footage showed multiple buildings were on fire. The cause of the fire remains under investigation. No inujuries have been reported, the Baltimore Sun reported.

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(VERY IMPORTANT UPDATES): Gold, Silver, Stocks, Bitcoin, Dollar MORE!

Gregory Mannarino, Published on Sep 25, 2017

“People Are Going To Start Dying” – Puerto Rico’s Battered Hospitals On Verge Of Failure

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017 

A week after then-category 4 Hurricane Maria made landfall in densely populated eastern Puerto Rico, electricity remains offline across most of the island, while supplies of staples like gas, food and water are dwindling. Shelters on the island are reportedly running low on food, and the government managers of the emergency response effort are scrambling to evacuate 70,000 people from a river valley that’s in danger of being completely submerged after a nearby dam failed.

And now, Reuters is reporting that hospitals across the island are struggling to continue providing medical services to patients after the storm left many of them flooded, strewn with rubble or relying on diesel-powered generators that will soon run out of fuel. For some, the only option is to evacuate to the United States for treatment.

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Is This Why The Rally In Gold & Silver Is Happening? A Shocking Game-Changer For Gold & Silver Is Now Unfolding…

kingworldnews.com / September 25, 2017

With gold rallying above the key $1,300 level and silver breaking back above $17, is this why the rally in gold and silver is happening?  Today King World News is reporting on a shocking game-changer in the gold and silver markets that is now unfolding.

Eric King:  “Keith, as you know the mid-cycle correction in the gold bull market ended last year.  It was more brutal in terms of duration (over 5 years) vs what we saw in the mid-cycle correction in the 1970s.  I don’t know what it is about this leg of the secular bull market in gold where we are having this correction, but some people are losing it and these are people who have been in the market for 20, 30, 40 years.  There is just something about sentiment in the gold and silver markets right now where some market veterans can’t handle the normal pullbacks, shakeouts, whatever you want to call them, and the usual drama that you see in the gold market.  What are your thoughts on what’s happening?”

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Curious Results: Hurricane Harvey Impacts National Activity, Not Dallas Region Activity

mishtalk.com / Mike “Mish” Shedlock / September 25, 2017

Those looking for further proof that the Fed regional activity reports are totally bogus can find it in a pair of Fed economic reports today.

Let’s investigate the divergence between the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index.

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Production

***

The survey states “Texas factory activity continued to increase in September. The production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, edged down to 19.5 from 20.3 in August, indicating output grew at about the same pace as last month.”

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Apple Does Right By Its Users… And Advertisers Are Displeased

zerohedge.com / by Andres Arrieta via The Electronic Frontier Foundation / Sep 25, 2017 

With the new Safari 11 updateApple takes an important step to protect your privacy, specifically how your browsing habits are tracked and shared with parties other than the sites you visit.

***

In response, Apple is getting criticized by the advertising industry for “destroying the Internet’s economic model.” While the advertising industry is trying to shift the conversation to what they call the economic model of the Internet, the conversation must instead focus on the indiscriminate tracking of users and the violation of their privacy.

When you browse the web, you might think that your information only lives in the service you choose to visit. However, many sites load elements that share your data with third parties. First-party cookies are set by the domain you are visiting, allowing sites to recognize you from your previous visits but not to track you across other sites. For example, if you visit first examplemedia.com and then socialmedia.com, your visit would only be known to each site. In contrast, third-party cookies are those set by any other domains than the one you are visiting, and were created to circumvent the original design of cookies. In this case, when you would visit examplemedia.com and loads tracker.socialmedia.com as well, socialmedia.com would be able to track you an all sites that you visit where its tracker is loaded.

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Great Graphic: Potential Head and Shoulders Bottom in the Dollar Index

marctomarket.com / by Marc Chandler / September 26, 2017

This Great Graphic was composed on Bloomberg.  It shows the recent price action of the Dollar Index.  There seems to be a head and shoulders bottoming pattern that has been traced out over the last few weeks.  The right shoulder was carved last week, and today, the Dollar Index is pushing through the neckline, which is found by connecting the bounces after the shoulders were formed.
One of the important contributions of technical chart patterns is that they offer measuring objectives.  The measuring objective of a head and shoulder pattern is the distance from the head to the neckline.  In this case,the head is near 91.00 and that the neckline is found near 92.60 today.  The 160 point pattern projects toward 94.20.  That corresponds to the mid-August highs, and the lesser used 23.6% retracement of the down move since the start of the year.

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50K Evacuated From Bali, As Nation Is On Volcano Alert For Imminent Eruption

shtfplan.com / Mac Slavo / September 25th, 2017

Fears of an imminent eruption on the Indonesian tourist island of Bali have led to the evacuation of an estimated 50,000 people.  The Mount Agung volcano is going to erupt, scientists say.

Waskita Sutadewa, the spokesman for the disaster mitigation agency in Bali, said people have scattered to all corners of the island and some have crossed to the neighboring island of Lombok. Indonesian authorities raised the volcano’s alert status to the highest level on Friday following a dramatic increase in seismic activity. It last erupted in 1963, killing about 1,100 people.

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North Korea Says “Trump Declared War”, Threatens To Shoot Down US Bombers

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017 11:00 AM

Having raged at President Trump’s “suicide mission” on Friday, North Korea’s foreign minister Ri Yong Ho called for an impromptu press conference this morning following President Trump’s extended travel ban, in which the diplomat said that Trump’s comments that the DPRK’s leadership would not be around much longer “amount to a declaration of war” and added that North Korea has “every right to take countermeasures against the United States,  including to shoot down American jets outside the DPRK’s airspace” as part of its right to self-defense under the United Nations charter.

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Two Key Indicators Show the S&P 500 Becoming the New ‘Cash’

financialsense.com / FF WILEY / 09/25/2017

Pension plan administrators do it. Their actuaries and consultants do it. Professional endowment and foundation investors do it. Financial advisors do it. Private investors may or may not do it, but they probably should.

Do what?

All of these folks already are or should be asking themselves the following question: What’s a reasonable expectation for the long-term return on a broad-market equity investment?

You may also like Ryan Puplava on Market Rotations; Dan Steffens on Energy Outlook

Professionals usually answer the question using complex models, and there’s nothing wrong with that, but we’ll keep it simple here. Simple often beats the snot out of a long white paper, and two recent developments beg for simple.

First, on Thursday the Fed released its flow-of-funds data, which includes an estimate for the household sector’s overall asset allocation. Data show allocations to corporate equities reaching 25.1% of total household (and nonprofit) assets, a level only before seen between Q4 1998 and Q3 2000. Here’s the full history:

equities percent total assets

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Can The Fed “Normalize” Without Collapsing The System?

investmentresearchdynamics.com / Dave Kranzler / 

The official lies about the economy keep mounting.  The Dallas Fed reports that its regional economic activity metric surged in early September, despite the complete shut-down of Houston for a few days during the “measurement” period.  The “general activity” index spiked up to a 7-month high. Clearly the quality of this report is suspect, to say the least.

Contrary to this report, the Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index plunged to -0.31.  It was the weakest reading since last August and a huge plunged from the July reading of 0.03. The Street was expecting 0.11.  Because of the nature of this index (85 sub-components measured at the national level) it takes a lot to “move the needle” for this metric.  A negative point-three-one reading implies that the national economy broadly contracted during August.

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Angry NFL Fans Lash Out, Burn Jerseys Over Protests: “You Can Take Your NFL And Shove It”

zerohedge.com / by Tyler Durden / Sep 25, 2017 11:24 AM

With all of the grandstanding and emotional reactions from the NFL over the weekend, the sport’s smartest executives seemingly proved that they have no idea they’re fighting a battle that simply can’t be won.

While it is clear as day to anyone who can disassociate themselves from the emotional response to being verbally attacked by a tweetstorm (as truly ‘terrifying’ as such a thing can be), the NFL doesn’t seem to understand that while almost every American can agree that football is a great sport, roughly 50% of them will vehemently disagree with whatever political stance any given player or league exec decides to publicly announce.  And, since the NFL’s future depends on selling overpriced ad spots to massive corporations looking for a consistent number of eyeballs, alienating any group of viewers, for whatever reason, is just bad for business.

But don’t take our word for it…here’s just a couple of examples for what the fans had to say over the weekend.

 “It’s a disgrace. It’s disgusting. They’re getting paid to do a job…to play ball and do whatever the fans want them to do.”

“They’re paying these guys to do a job.  They’re not supposed to be involved in politics.”

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The Third Hurricane in a Month: Last Minute Warnings Issued for North Carolina and the East Coast

theorganicprepper.ca / Daisy Luther / September 25, 2017

The warnings may be coming too late for the eastern United States as Hurricane Maria pushes Northwest. Whether Maria will be a tropical storm or hurricane when she hits North Carolina remains to be seen, but it’s almost certain that some kind of major storm will strike tomorrow with direct force. Unlike Harvey and Irma, the third hurricane in a month won’t have a week-long warning period for people to get prepared. Meteorologists have been uncertain up until now whether the storm will affect the coast or head harmlessly out to sea and have said that a hit is unlikely up until now.

To keep up to date, be sure and bookmark my site, Preppers Daily News. The middle column is currently dedicated to hurricane news.

The predictions for Hurricane Maria

The good thing is that Maria has lost power after absolutely devastating Dominica and Puerto Rico. The eye is predicted to remain about 10 miles of shore, so we may not sustain a direct hit, but the storm will be close enough to cause serious damage and flooding. This map from the National Weather Service shows us when and where the winds are expected to arrive.

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Top 10 Reasons I Buy Gold & Silver (#3) – Busting The Biggest Gold Myth Of All

GoldSilver (w/ Mike Maloney)Published on Sep 25, 2017